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MISSA Autumn Classic

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 15 9 24
2 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 18 20 38
3 Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 4 35 39
4 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 27 20 47
5 Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 35 12 47
6 Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 38 26 64
7 Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 47 18 65
8 Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 41 26 67
9 Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 27 50 77
10 Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 18 60 78
11 University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 39 39 78
12 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 45 34 79
13 Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 32 54 86
14 Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 54 45 99
15 Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 64 38 102
16 Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 46 59 105
17 Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles 67 72 139
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 1 1 1 1 4 Ian Moran '18
Spencer Asmar '18
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 6 2 2 5 15 Lolly Vasilion '18 [1-4]
Quinn Keenan '19 [1-3]
Ben Spring '18 [4]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 2 4 10 2 18 Marleigh Belsley '19 [1-4]
Nikolas Chambers '19 [1-3]
James Nappo '20 [4]
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 5 6 4 3 18 Harry Bearrows '18 [1-4]
John Hultquist '20 [1-3]
Allison Lang '18 [4]
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 3 7 6 11 27 Owen Patterson '19
Asha Baddi '20
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 7 10 3 7 27 Emma Aubuchon '19
Ellen Tovb '19
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 12 5 5 10 32 George Moore '20
Gracie Drought '20
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 10 3 13 9 35 Sherman Thompson '18
Evan Fallon '18
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 13 8 11 6 38 Austin Suvari '19
Lucy Mulvihill '18
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 15 13 7 4 39 Lillian Nemeth '18
Emerson Wright '20
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 9 12 8 12 41 Caroline Sandoval '19
Nicholas Alfano '18
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 11 11 15 8 45 Genna Viggiano '18
Anika Liner '21
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 4 15 12 15 46 Beckett Kumler '20
Hanna Siwek '19
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 8 14 9 16 47 Luke Hosek '20 [1-4]
Bradley Hill '20 [1-3]
No Show [4]
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 14 9 14 17 54 Thomas Jagielski '18 [1-4]
Gints Pelecis '21 [1-2]
James Jagielski '21 [3-4]
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 16 DNS 16 14 64 Chris Hummel '18 [1-4]
Jack O'Brien '20 [1]
Abbey Walls '20 [2-4]
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles DNF DNS DNS 13 67 Emmett Nevel '21 [1-4]
Molly Sheridan '21 [1-3]
William Gardner '19 [4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
New Trier HS New Trier HS Trevian 1 3 2 3 9 Dylan Cotter '18
Nathan Whisner '19
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Varsity 3 1 4 4 12 David Phlamm '18
Berenger Jeannides '18
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Varsity 6 4 6 2 18 Jemima Korbel '18
William Frendreiss '20
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 4 8 3 5 20 Wiley Hunt '19
Maria Pumper '19
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 5 2 1 12 20 Will Davies '18
Cj Ricci '20
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack 2 5 DSQ 1 26 Aisling Sullivan '18
Cristina Dombrowski '19
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Wildkits 8 7 5 6 26 Will Robinson '18
Lily Allen '19
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 9 9 7 9 34 Clara Brown '18
Kristen Geib '20
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Pirates 10 10 8 7 35 Maggie Swasey '19
Natalie Dugan '18
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Lions 11 6 11 10 38 Lily Wojcik '18
Sam Wojcik '20
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons 7 14 10 8 39 Sam Morin '18
Otto Brown '20
Southwest High School Southwest High School Varsity 13 12 9 11 45 Nicole Giuliani '20
Mason Pirner '21
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity 12 11 13 14 50 Liliana Taub '19
Alessandra Torres '20
Edina High School Edina High School Varsity 16 13 12 13 54 Kate Higgins '18 [1-4]
Marit Lebakken '20 [1]
Reilly Hannula '20 [2-4]
Culver Academies Culver Academies Eagles 15 BKD 14 15 59 Nathaniel Barret '19
Jacqueline Oeschger '18
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Friars 14 15 15 16 60 John Hultquist '20
Maura Hopkinson '20
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Eagles DNS DNS DNS DNS 72 Molly Sheridan '21
Sophia Rhodes '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons15151517
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles1113
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity2224
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits3335
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars4446
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity5557
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles6668
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity7779
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity88810
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions99911
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs10101012
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian11111113
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates12121214
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity13131315
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack14141416
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity1616161
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy1717172

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of Chicago Laboratory SchoolsUniversity of Chicago Laboratory Schools Maroons1616161
Culver AcademiesCulver Academies Eagles2224
Edina High SchoolEdina High School Varsity3335
Evanston Township HSEvanston Township HS Wildkits4446
Fenwick High SchoolFenwick High School Friars5557
Hinsdale Central High SchoolHinsdale Central High School Varsity6668
Jones College PrepJones College Prep Eagles7779
Lane Tech College PrepLane Tech College Prep Varsity88810
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity99911
Lyons Township High SchoolLyons Township High School Lions10101012
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs11111113
New Trier HSNew Trier HS Trevian12121214
Rocky River High SchoolRocky River High School Pirates13131315
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Varsity14141416
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, ILSaint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Wolfpack15151517
Walter Payton College Preparatory High SchoolWalter Payton College Preparatory High School Varsity1717172
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy1113
School / Team SkipperCrew
Culver Academies Culver Academies Beckett Kumler '20 Hanna Siwek '19
Eagles Nathaniel Barret '19 Jacqueline Oeschger '18
Edina High School Edina High School George Moore '20 Gracie Drought '20
Varsity Kate Higgins '18 [1-4] Marit Lebakken '20 [1]
Reilly Hannula '20 [2-4]
Evanston Township HS Evanston Township HS Austin Suvari '19 Lucy Mulvihill '18
Wildkits Will Robinson '18 Lily Allen '19
Fenwick High School Fenwick High School Harry Bearrows '18 [1-4] John Hultquist '20 [1-3]
Allison Lang '18 [4]
Friars John Hultquist '20 Maura Hopkinson '20
Hinsdale Central High School Hinsdale Central High School Sherman Thompson '18 Evan Fallon '18
Varsity David Phlamm '18 Berenger Jeannides '18
Jones College Prep Jones College Prep Emmett Nevel '21 [1-4] Molly Sheridan '21 [1-3]
William Gardner '19 [4]
Eagles Molly Sheridan '21 Sophia Rhodes '20
Lane Tech College Prep Lane Tech College Prep Luke Hosek '20 [1-4] Bradley Hill '20 [1-3]
No Show [4]
Varsity Jemima Korbel '18 William Frendreiss '20
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Marleigh Belsley '19 [1-4] Nikolas Chambers '19 [1-3]
James Nappo '20 [4]
Varsity Will Davies '18 Cj Ricci '20
Lyons Township High School Lyons Township High School Chris Hummel '18 [1-4] Jack O'Brien '20 [1]
Abbey Walls '20 [2-4]
Lions Lily Wojcik '18 Sam Wojcik '20
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Genna Viggiano '18 Anika Liner '21
Zephyrs Clara Brown '18 Kristen Geib '20
New Trier HS New Trier HS Lolly Vasilion '18 [1-4] Quinn Keenan '19 [1-3]
Ben Spring '18 [4]
Trevian Dylan Cotter '18 Nathan Whisner '19
Rocky River High School Rocky River High School Ian Moran '18 Spencer Asmar '18
Pirates Maggie Swasey '19 Natalie Dugan '18
Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Saint Ignatius College Prep, Chicago, IL Caroline Sandoval '19 Nicholas Alfano '18
Wolfpack Aisling Sullivan '18 Cristina Dombrowski '19
Southwest High School Southwest High School Thomas Jagielski '18 [1-4] Gints Pelecis '21 [1-2]
James Jagielski '21 [3-4]
Varsity Nicole Giuliani '20 Mason Pirner '21
University of Chicago Laboratory Schools University of Chicago Laboratory Schools Lillian Nemeth '18 Emerson Wright '20
Maroons Sam Morin '18 Otto Brown '20
Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Walter Payton College Preparatory High School Owen Patterson '19 Asha Baddi '20
Varsity Liliana Taub '19 Alessandra Torres '20
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Emma Aubuchon '19 Ellen Tovb '19
Navy Wiley Hunt '19 Maria Pumper '19

Conditions — 10/14/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Moderate drizzle
Humidity 86%  ·  Pressure 1015.0 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.6 kn
avg  ·  max 12.7 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From S (170°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine2.4 hrs Humidity86% Pressure1015.0 hPa Rain0.71 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn* · NW 16 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hinsdale Central/Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.58 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hinsdale Central/Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Hinsdale Central/Latin of Chicago/New Trier HS/St. Ignatius (IL)/Walter Payton Colleg, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →