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VISA Kecoughtan Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 25 12 37
2 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 23 25 48
3 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 54 32 86
4 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 37 50 87
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 42 62 104
6 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 46 60 106
7 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 62 74 136
8 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 92 46 138
9 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 57 86 143
10 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 48 113 161
11 Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 99 63 162
12 Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 97 78 175
13 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 68 109 177
14 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 104 73 177
15 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 128 96 224
16 Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 133 107 240
17 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 124 138 262
18 Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 130 152 282
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 6 1 4 1 1 6 3 1 23 Parker Moore '25
Josie Brindley '26
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 3 6 1 2 2 2 7 2 25 Sean Trudell '24 [1-8]
Jack Poynter '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sabrina Casagrande '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 2 4 2 3 11 3 6 6 37 Bo Angus '25
Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 5 2 6 13 3 1 9 3 42 Hunter Wheary '24
Addie Lesley '26
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 7 5 5 4 7 5 1 12 46 Tucker Mcgrady '26
Madeline Ballard '25
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 4 10 3 6 6 7 8 4 48 Jackson Mcgrady '26
Gabby Cloe '24
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 1 12 7 5 4 9 11 5 54 Maddie Murphy '25
Finian Bohan '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 8 3 8 9 13 4 4 8 57 Cal King '27 [1-2, 5-8]
Brandt Adams '28 [3-4]
Brandt Adams '28 [1-2, 5-8]
Cal King '27 [3-4]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 12 11 10 7 5 8 2 7 62 Leila Pfrang '25
Ryan Foretich '25
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 9 7 9 8 9 12 5 9 68 Cam Brewer '24
Evan Harris '24
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 13 9 14 14 8 10 13 11 92 Adelaide Matzky '25 [1-8]
Chloe Shurr '25 [1-6]
Suzie Nguyen '25 [7-8]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 14 13 13 12 10 13 12 10 97 Felix Susta '27
Ezekiel Hurst '25
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 10 8 12 10 12 16 16 15 99 Angelo Bellecci '25
Piper Cartwright '27
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 11 16 11 11 16 11 10 18 104 Kieran Mason '26
Anna Leigh Anderson '27
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 15 14 16 17 14 15 17 16 124 Benjamin Muckian '24 [1-8]
Noah Webber '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Brandon Skaredoff '27 [3-4]
Sebastian Rodriguez '25 [7-8]
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 17 17 17 18 18 14 14 13 128 Nathan Libby '26
Levi Stillman '25
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons 18 18 15 15 17 18 15 14 130 Olivia Jensen '27
Thatcher Elliott '27
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 16 15 DNF 16 15 17 18 17 133 Mary Patterson '27
Zoe Hughes '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 1 1 2 4 1 1 1 1 12 James Allgeier '27
Marin Soderberg '24
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 2 2 1 2 5 5 2 6 25 Pierce Brindley '24
Daphne Ambrosino '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 7 8 5 1 2 3 4 2 32 Kiana Beachy '24
Emma Horton '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 6 11 6 9 4 4 3 3 46 Wylder Smith '27
Simone Moss '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 3 6 3 3 10 8 9 8 50 Duncan Hardy '27
Cherry Phan '25
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 14 3 7 11 8 2 5 10 60 Emily Priest '25 [1-8]
Annika Fox '27 [1-2]
Charlotte Mccoy '24 [3-8]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 4 4 9 8 7 9 10 11 62 Eliana Mopper '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Margaret Poston '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Amanda Wong '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Iacobucci '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 11 5 8 5 6 7 7 14 63 Ryan Stokes '28
Chase Young '28
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 9 13 10 7 3 11 13 7 73 Chloe Anderson '24 [1-6]
Caleb Kyle '25 [7-8]
Caleb Kyle '25 [1-6]
Chloe Anderson '24 [7-8]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 RDG RDG 4 6 15 14 8 9 74 Charlie Moore '27 [1-4]
Nicholas Bielewicz '26 [5-8]
Patrick Bielewicz '28 [1-4]
Abigail Adams '28 [5-8]
Grafton High School Grafton High School Clippers 5 7 11 14 12 6 11 12 78 Nathan Shaw '27
Leonidas Winslow '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 15 12 14 16 9 10 6 4 86 Alex Salzberg '25 [1-8]
Joshua Ortiz '27 [1-4]
Tucker Peltier '26 [5-8]
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 10 10 16 10 13 16 16 5 96 Mady Mcgee '27 [1-8]
Iro Catravas '25 [1-2]
Eraj Zaidi '25 [3-8]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 12 14 12 12 14 13 14 16 107 Madison Bivins '25
Aidan Murphy '25
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 8 15 17 13 16 15 12 13 109 Hunter Walton '25
Cate Rutter '24
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 16 16 13 15 11 12 15 15 113 Lillian Rippel '25 [1-8]
Lenox Wakefield '27 [1-2]
Lillian Bowes '25 [3-8]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders DNF DSQ 15 17 17 17 17 17 138 Hunter Heckman '26 [1-8]
Sebastian Rodriguez '25 [1-4]
Brandon Skaredoff '27 [5-6]
Noah Webber '26 [7-8]
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Falcons DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 152 Olivia Jensen '27
Elizabeth Jensen '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.290+0.29
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders11335577
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 122446688
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 233557799
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons4466881010
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers5577991111
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1668810101212
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2779911111313
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors88101012121414
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 199111113131515
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 21010121214141616
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 11111131315151717
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 21212141416161818
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 113131515171711
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 214141616181822
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights151517171133
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms161618182244
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders1717113355
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons1818224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders22446688
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 133557799
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 24466881010
Frank W. Cox High SchoolFrank W. Cox High School Falcons5577991111
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Clippers668810101212
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1779911111313
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 288101012121414
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors99111113131515
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 11010121214141616
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 21111131315151717
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 11212141416161818
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 213131515171711
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 114141616181822
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2151517171133
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights161618182244
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms1717113355
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders1818224466
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Catholic High School Catholic High School Benjamin Muckian '24 [1-8] Noah Webber '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Brandon Skaredoff '27 [3-4]
Sebastian Rodriguez '25 [7-8]
Crusaders Hunter Heckman '26 [1-8] Sebastian Rodriguez '25 [1-4]
Brandon Skaredoff '27 [5-6]
Noah Webber '26 [7-8]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Bo Angus '25 Alders Kulynych-Irvin '25
Seahorses 1 Duncan Hardy '27 Cherry Phan '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Adelaide Matzky '25 [1-8] Chloe Shurr '25 [1-6]
Suzie Nguyen '25 [7-8]
Seahorses 2 Wylder Smith '27 Simone Moss '25
Frank W. Cox High School Frank W. Cox High School Olivia Jensen '27 Thatcher Elliott '27
Falcons Olivia Jensen '27 Elizabeth Jensen '25
Grafton High School Grafton High School Felix Susta '27 Ezekiel Hurst '25
Clippers Nathan Shaw '27 Leonidas Winslow '27
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Parker Moore '25 Josie Brindley '26
Navigators 1 Pierce Brindley '24 Daphne Ambrosino '27
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Leila Pfrang '25 Ryan Foretich '25
Navigators 2 Charlie Moore '27 [1-4]
Nicholas Bielewicz '26 [5-8]		 Patrick Bielewicz '28 [1-4]
Abigail Adams '28 [5-8]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Kieran Mason '26 Anna Leigh Anderson '27
Warriors Chloe Anderson '24 [1-6]
Caleb Kyle '25 [7-8]		 Caleb Kyle '25 [1-6]
Chloe Anderson '24 [7-8]
Maury High School Maury High School Tucker Mcgrady '26 Madeline Ballard '25
Commodores 1 Emily Priest '25 [1-8] Annika Fox '27 [1-2]
Charlotte Mccoy '24 [3-8]
Maury High School Maury High School Jackson Mcgrady '26 Gabby Cloe '24
Commodores 2 Lillian Rippel '25 [1-8] Lenox Wakefield '27 [1-2]
Lillian Bowes '25 [3-8]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Sean Trudell '24 [1-8] Jack Poynter '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Sabrina Casagrande '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Bulldogs 1 James Allgeier '27 Marin Soderberg '24
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Hunter Wheary '24 Addie Lesley '26
Bulldogs 2 Eliana Mopper '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Margaret Poston '28 [3-4, 7-8]		 Amanda Wong '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Iacobucci '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Maddie Murphy '25 Finian Bohan '27
Oaks 1 Kiana Beachy '24 Emma Horton '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Cal King '27 [1-2, 5-8]
Brandt Adams '28 [3-4]		 Brandt Adams '28 [1-2, 5-8]
Cal King '27 [3-4]
Oaks 2 Alex Salzberg '25 [1-8] Joshua Ortiz '27 [1-4]
Tucker Peltier '26 [5-8]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Mary Patterson '27 Zoe Hughes '25
Knights Madison Bivins '25 Aidan Murphy '25
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Angelo Bellecci '25 Piper Cartwright '27
Phantoms Ryan Stokes '28 Chase Young '28
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Cam Brewer '24 Evan Harris '24
Islanders Hunter Walton '25 Cate Rutter '24
The Hague School The Hague School Nathan Libby '26 Levi Stillman '25
Tritons Mady Mcgee '27 [1-8] Iro Catravas '25 [1-2]
Eraj Zaidi '25 [3-8]

Conditions — 09/30/2023 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1020.6 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 71°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.9 kn
avg  ·  max 13.3 kn
Gusts to 25.7 kn
From N (7°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover47% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1020.6 hPa Rain0.05 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Kecoughtan: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kecoughtan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Kecoughtan, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →