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VISA Norfolk Academy Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 8 11 19
2 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 19 33 52
3 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 29 35 64
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 32 43 75
5 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 57 22 79
6 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 30 55 85
7 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 48 37 85
8 Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 51 38 89
9 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 49 57 106
10 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 67 39 106
11 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 48 64 112
12 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 58 63 121
13 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 67 74 141
14 Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 84 70 154
15 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 81 87 168
16 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 90 82 172
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 8 Bo Angus '25
Brooke Mertz '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 1 3 2 3 8 2 19 Leila Pfrang '25
Josie Brindley '26
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 3 6 5 5 4 6 29 Maddie Murphy '25
Emma Horton '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 4 2 DSQ 1 3 3 30 Madeline Janzen '25
Bennett Moss '26
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 5 5 4 4 2 12 32 Chase Duhon Kovach '29
Tucker Peltier '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 8 7 6 DSQ 6 4 48 Jackson Mcgrady '26
Carly Moss '28
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 9 10 3 8 10 8 48 Duncan Hardy '27
Suzie Nguyen '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 6 8 11 6 5 13 49 Grant Fernandez '27 [1-4]
Andrew Allgeier '30 [5-6]
Will Poynter '27 [1-4]
Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 11 4 8 10 13 5 51 Sophia Lopez '30
Rozlyn Theriault '29
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 7 9 7 7 11 16 57 Charlie Moore '27
Patrick Bielewicz '28
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 13 13 9 9 7 7 58 Angelo Bellecci '25
Piper Cartwright '27
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 10 14 10 12 12 9 67 Mady Mcgee '27 [1-6]
Owen Peluso '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Addie Lesley '26 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 12 11 14 11 9 10 67 Anna Lenox '28
Evangelia Bredologos '27
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 15 12 13 14 16 11 81 Hunter Walton '25 [1-6]
Meadow Page '26 [1-2]
Akito Leslie '26 [3-4]
Andrew Buyalos '27 [5-6]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 14 16 12 13 15 14 84 Madison Bivins '25
Aidan Murphy '25
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 16 15 15 15 14 15 90 Sebastian Rodriguez '25
Noah Webber '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 2 1 1 1 3 3 11 Wylder Smith '27
Malia Deane '25
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 4 2 3 5 4 4 22 Sarah Moore '29 [1-6]
Madeline Monteith '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Duggan '28 [3-4]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 3 3 RAF 2 6 2 33 Will Chapman '28
Daphne Ambrosino '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 5 4 4 11 RDG 5 35 Alex Salzberg '25
Michael Wattenbarger '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 9 12 9 4 2 1 37 Chloe Shurr '25
Adelaide Matzky '25
Tabb High School Tabb High School Tigers 6 16 2 7 1 6 38 Raquel Theriault '26
Katherine Michael '26
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 1 5 14 3 8 8 39 Margaret Poston '28
Amanda Wong '25
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 7 11 5 8 5 7 43 Graham Stevens '28
Phoenix Weaver '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 12 8 8 6 11 10 55 Simone Moss '25
Emma Ho '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 8 7 13 10 7 12 57 Vera Hartz '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28 [3-4]
Juliana Libby '28 [1-2, 5-6]
David Martin '26 [3-4]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 11 9 10 15 9 9 63 Chase Young '28
Tyler Slemp '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 13 6 6 9 13 DSQ 64 Pierson Teer '27
Brock Miller '28
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 10 10 11 14 14 11 70 Thatcher Elliott '27 [1-6]
Ashlynn Kopaskey '25 [1-2]
Olivia Jensen '27 [3-4]
Nate Isaac '28 [5-6]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 14 14 7 12 10 DNS 74 Finian Bohan '27
Adam Hauselman '30
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 15 13 15 13 12 14 82 Brandon Skaredoff '27
Matthew Woodard '27
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 16 15 12 16 15 13 87 Jackson Raymond '27 [1-6]
Caiden Williams '29 [1-3, 5]
Aiden Westcott '25 [4, 6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (30 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders113355
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1224466
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2335577
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3446688
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 4557799
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 166881111
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 277991212
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors8811111313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 19912121414
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2111113131515
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1121214141616
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 21313151511
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3171717171717
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights1414161622
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders15151133
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Tigers16162244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders224466
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1335577
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2446688
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3557799
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 466881111
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 177991212
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 28811111313
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors9912121414
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1111113131515
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2121214141616
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 11313151511
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 21414161622
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3171717171717
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights15151133
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders16162244
Tabb High SchoolTabb High School Tigers113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Catholic High School Catholic High School Sebastian Rodriguez '25 Noah Webber '26
Crusaders Brandon Skaredoff '27 Matthew Woodard '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Bo Angus '25 Brooke Mertz '26
Seahorses 1 Wylder Smith '27 Malia Deane '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Madeline Janzen '25 Bennett Moss '26
Seahorses 2 Simone Moss '25 Emma Ho '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Jackson Mcgrady '26 Carly Moss '28
Seahorses 3 Chloe Shurr '25 Adelaide Matzky '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Duncan Hardy '27 Suzie Nguyen '25
Seahorses 4 Pierson Teer '27 Brock Miller '28
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Leila Pfrang '25 Josie Brindley '26
Navigators 1 Will Chapman '28 Daphne Ambrosino '27
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Charlie Moore '27 Patrick Bielewicz '28
Navigators 2 Sarah Moore '29 [1-6] Madeline Monteith '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Jack Duggan '28 [3-4]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Angelo Bellecci '25 Piper Cartwright '27
Warriors Chase Young '28 Tyler Slemp '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Mady Mcgee '27 [1-6] Owen Peluso '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Addie Lesley '26 [3-4]
Bulldogs 1 Margaret Poston '28 Amanda Wong '25
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Grant Fernandez '27 [1-4]
Andrew Allgeier '30 [5-6]		 Will Poynter '27 [1-4]
Bulldogs 2 Vera Hartz '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Emma Tartiere-Martinez '28 [3-4]		 Juliana Libby '28 [1-2, 5-6]
David Martin '26 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Maddie Murphy '25 Emma Horton '25
Oaks 1 Alex Salzberg '25 Michael Wattenbarger '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Chase Duhon Kovach '29 Tucker Peltier '26
Oaks 2 Graham Stevens '28 Phoenix Weaver '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Anna Lenox '28 Evangelia Bredologos '27
Oaks 3 Finian Bohan '27 Adam Hauselman '30
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Madison Bivins '25 Aidan Murphy '25
Knights Thatcher Elliott '27 [1-6] Ashlynn Kopaskey '25 [1-2]
Olivia Jensen '27 [3-4]
Nate Isaac '28 [5-6]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Hunter Walton '25 [1-6] Meadow Page '26 [1-2]
Akito Leslie '26 [3-4]
Andrew Buyalos '27 [5-6]
Islanders Jackson Raymond '27 [1-6] Caiden Williams '29 [1-3, 5]
Aiden Westcott '25 [4, 6]
Tabb High School Tabb High School Sophia Lopez '30 Rozlyn Theriault '29
Tigers Raquel Theriault '26 Katherine Michael '26

Conditions — 10/26/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1021.9 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.4 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From N (4°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover27% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1021.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.16 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at Norfolk Yacht and Country Club).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →