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NWISA Islands Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Plaid 28 37 65
2 Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 71 45 116
3 Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 1 73 54 127
4 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 63 84 147
5 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Stripes 102 45 147
6 Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 48 128 176
7 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 117 74 191
8 Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks 86 111 197
9 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Gold 141 59 200
10 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 3 133 80 213
11 Wilson High School Wilson High School Trojans 132 85 217
12 Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 104 114 218
13 Franklin High School Franklin High School Quakers 71 147 218
14 Oregon City High School Oregon City High School Pioneers 55 168 223
15 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 1 163 64 227
16 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Varsity 102 130 232
17 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 152 85 237
18 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 127 135 262
19 Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 1 100 194 294
20 Everett High School Everett High School Seagulls 173 128 301
21 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Blue 189 122 311
22 Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2 141 175 316
23 Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 2 182 139 321
24 Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 74 253 327
25 Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 2 179 172 351
26 Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 160 216 376
27 Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 198 204 402
28 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 207 195 402
29 Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 204 211 415
30 Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 3 189 226 415
31 Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 2 243 204 447
32 Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 229 249 478
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Plaid 3 3 1 1 4 3 8 5 28 Stasi Burzycki '15 [1-8]
Kathryn Smith '17 [1-2, 7-8]
Sophia Kasper '18 [3-6]
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 8 7 9 6 1 1 15 1 48 Chloe Dawson '16
Alejandro Montanez '17
Oregon City High School Oregon City High School Pioneers 7 6 5 10 7 6 2 12 55 Grant Gridley '18
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 4 10 16 15 6 2 1 9 63 Liam Hood '16
Quinn Shultis '16
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 1 2 15 4 3 7 29 10 71 Drew Bennett '15
Rebecca Reynolds '17
Franklin High School Franklin High School Quakers 16 27 2 8 2 11 3 2 71 Thomas Hope '16
No Show
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 1 2 1 10 14 13 17 12 4 73 Adam Didomizio '15 [1-2]
Tim Player '16 [3-8]
Tim Player '16 [1-2]
Megan Didomizio '17 [3-8]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 9 11 3 9 18 12 6 6 74 Jeffrey Werner '16
Mallory Hood '23
Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks 13 13 13 5 5 13 17 7 86 John Ped '16
Sydney Stanion '15
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 1 15 18 6 20 11 5 9 16 100 Marina West '22
Alanna Halliday '16
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Varsity 6 12 8 12 9 21 5 29 102 Liam Sherry '16 [1-8]
Julia Sherry '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Nathan Grundmeier '19 [3-4]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Stripes 11 9 4 2 OCS 15 11 17 102 William Brown '15
Joshua Rentz '15
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 5 8 14 3 12 32 4 26 104 Taj Howe '15
Matia Schwartz '17
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 24 19 7 13 23 10 10 11 117 Wylie Kau '16
Kajetan Bullock '18
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 18 21 17 31 17 4 16 3 127 Kian Patrick '16
Devanne Jager '17
Wilson High School Wilson High School Trojans 22 22 21 7 8 8 26 18 132 Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15
Kendall Kracke '15
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 3 17 5 22 17 20 18 13 21 133 Dominick Wareham '19
Ronan Rankin '19
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Gold 19 15 26 25 22 19 7 8 141 Lucas Burzycki '15 [1-2]
Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [3-8]
Christoph Webber '18 [1-4]
Harrison Saliba '17 [5-8]
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2 21 14 24 11 16 9 19 27 141 Orrick Waddell '17
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 12 4 11 24 24 24 28 25 152 Max Van Dam '16
Dylan Angell '18
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears 23 17 19 26 DSQ 14 14 14 160 Max Miller '18 [1-8]
Farzana Mohamedali '16 [1-2]
Leo Brine '16 [3-8]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 1 20 25 25 18 10 23 23 19 163 Zeke Ward '16
Bekah Ashpole '15
Everett High School Everett High School Seagulls 29 16 12 16 25 22 22 31 173 No Show
No Show
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 2 14 DNF 30 23 14 31 21 13 179 Rachel May '16 [1-8]
Uma Hu '16 [1-2]
Robby Miller '18 [3-8]
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 2 10 20 29 21 21 30 27 24 182 Karl Skeel '16 [1-2]
Marijke Jorna '16 [3-8]
Nicolai Blasdel '17 [1-6]
Grant Barton '16 [7-8]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 3 26 24 20 22 28 16 30 23 189 Julia Houppermans '16
Tammie Jorgensen '16
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Blue RAF RAF 31 19 15 20 18 20 189 Cole Garthwaite '16 [1-2]
Nicholas Dresel '15 [3-8]
Francine Brownell '15 [1-2, 5-8]
Zachary Mellin '16 [3-4]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 28 DNF 18 27 27 26 24 15 198 Chase Travers '17 [1-8]
Sophia Carpenter '17 [1-2]
Cailin Arnold '17 [3-8]
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 25 23 28 29 19 25 25 30 204 Avery Fulford '17 [1-8]
Marijke Jorna '16 [1-2]
Haru Yokota '16 [3-8]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 30 26 23 28 30 28 20 22 207 Liam Patrick '18
Alex Stephens '15
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 27 28 27 30 26 27 31 DNS 229 Shawn O'Connor '17 [1-8]
No Show [1-2]
Matt Dixon '17 [3-8]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 2 31 29 32 32 29 29 DNF 28 243 Jayden Moomaw '19
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Plaid 1 3 7 3 2 12 4 5 37 Jackson Mccoy '15
Hannah Harrison '15
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals 2 1 24 4 7 2 1 4 45 Matthew Reynolds '16
Gavin Ross '16
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Stripes 8 9 2 2 1 1 20 2 45 Caelan Juckniess '16 [1-8]
Nicole Sanford '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Harrison Saliba '17 [3-4]
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 1 4 2 8 13 12 4 2 9 54 Connor Hughes '15 [1-8]
Nina Sayed '15 [1, 3-8]
Karl Skeel '16 [2]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Gold 10 10 5 8 3 5 5 13 59 Arianna Fiore '21 [1-8]
Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [1-2]
Sophie Crandell '18 [3-6]
Christoph Webber '18 [7-8]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 1 7 14 6 5 4 3 14 11 64 Alyosha Strum-Palerm '17
Kara Ashpole '17
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 2 3 4 9 12 8 18 10 10 74 Axel Greening '17
Lilly Miller '16
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 3 17 12 10 11 13 6 3 8 80 Maggie Toombs '18
William Coe '15
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 1 9 7 20 1 20 14 6 7 84 Benjamin Stark '16 [1-8]
Peyton Nienaber '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Stephanie Kirker '18 [3-4]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 2 6 8 4 9 19 11 22 6 85 Jordan Wood-Pina '18
Matt Hallahan '16
Wilson High School Wilson High School Trojans 16 DNF 3 7 10 8 7 1 85 Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15
Kendall Kracke '15
Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks 18 16 12 6 16 7 24 12 111 Claire Siegel-Wilson '18
Orcas High School Orcas High School Vikings 1 5 5 1 15 22 25 17 24 114 Michael Chesher '17
Jadyn Kopp '18
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Blue 21 13 13 14 6 24 15 16 122 Karl Anderson '16 [1-8]
Nicholas Dresel '15 [1-2]
Quinn Ring '18 [3-8]
Everett High School Everett High School Seagulls 11 DNF 23 16 9 9 12 15 128 No Show
No Show
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1 12 20 18 10 14 13 21 20 128 Mckenzie Ginther '16
Kaya Wiant '17
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Varsity 14 6 19 23 5 22 23 18 130 Maddie Ekin '16 [1-8]
Anna Sherry '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Jonna O'Keefe '16 [3-4]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 1 19 18 16 25 25 10 8 14 135 Heather Rolph '17
Julia Soes '17
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Falcons 2 15 17 11 19 23 17 16 21 139 Erik Skeel '16 [1-2]
Margot Watts '19 [3-8]
Reya Fore '18 [1]
Margot Watts '19 [2]
Reilly Hearne '17 [3-8]
Franklin High School Franklin High School Quakers DNF DNF 15 18 18 BKD 9 3 147 No Show
No Show
Oregon City High School Oregon City High School Pioneers DNF 15 27 21 27 15 13 17 168 Grant Gridley '18
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 2 22 DNF 14 17 17 19 25 25 172 No Show [1-2]
Peter Correa '17 [3-8]
No Show [1-2]
Ben Reneau '19 [3-8]
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 2 DNF DNF 25 20 15 16 11 22 175 Anda Yoshina '16
Ella Ashford '19
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Wolverines 1 13 11 28 29 26 29 31 27 194 Conrad Borman '16 [1-2]
No Show [3-8]
Gavia Boyden '22 [1-2]
April Esposito '17 [3-8]
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 2 DNF 19 17 27 21 28 19 31 195 Eliot Briefer '17
Brynna Bone '19
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Raiders 23 DNF 29 22 31 21 26 19 204 Hannah Roy '17 [1-8]
Sophia Carpenter '17 [1-2]
Stephanie Kirker '18 [3-8]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Tides 2 DNF DNF 21 28 11 26 29 23 204 Ryan Squires '18 [1-4]
Jack Frazier '17 [5-8]
Jack Frazier '17 [1-4]
Ryan Squires '18 [5-8]
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Rams 20 DNF 31 31 28 20 18 30 211 Grant Barton '16 [1, 5-6]
Joe Ubelhart '17 [2-4, 7-8]
Max Kauffman '18 [1, 3-8]
Reilly Hearne '17 [2]
Olympia High School Olympia High School Bears DNF DNF 22 24 24 27 27 26 216 Konrad Brine '16
Abby Larsen '17
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Seahawks 3 DNF DNF 26 26 29 23 28 28 226 Peter Correa '17
Ben Reneau '19
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Wildcats 1 DNF DNF 30 32 30 30 32 29 249 Skyler Hovey '16 [1-2]
No Show [3-8]
Matt Dixon '17 [1-2]
No Show [3-8]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Mariners 2 DNF DNF 32 30 32 BKD 30 32 253 Connor Mcgreevy '16 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Nina Hooper '18 [2, 4, 6, 8]
Nina Hooper '18 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Connor Mcgreevy '16 [2, 4, 6, 8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2014 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Blue6677882727
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Gold336677
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Plaid88272728282929
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Stripes778827272828
Everett High SchoolEverett High School Seagulls2121222223232424
Franklin High SchoolFranklin High School Quakers2727282829293030
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides 12222232324242525
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides 22323242425252626
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals2828292930302121
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1113366
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 233667788
Oregon Episcopal SchoolOregon Episcopal School Aardvarks2929303021212222
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 1242425252626
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 225252626
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 32626
Oregon City High SchoolOregon City High School Pioneers3030212122222323
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 211
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons 111
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons 21133

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 128283030
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 228283030
Anacortes High SchoolAnacortes High School Seahawks 33030
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Blue232324242626
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Gold2727292923232424
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Plaid262633
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Stripes24242626
Bellingham High SchoolBellingham High School Raiders303011
Everett High SchoolEverett High School Seagulls6677
Franklin High SchoolFranklin High School Quakers33
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines 1112525
Friday Harbor High SchoolFriday Harbor High School Wolverines 2112525
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides 16677
Gig Harbor High SchoolGig Harbor High School Tides 2667788
Ingraham High SchoolIngraham High School Rams112525
Lincoln High School - Portland, ORLincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals33
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 1272729292323
Lycee Francais de ChicagoLycee Francais de Chicago Red Hawks 22929232324242626
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Varsity2121
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 12121
Oak Harbor High SchoolOak Harbor High School Wildcats 221212222
Oregon Episcopal SchoolOregon Episcopal School Aardvarks33
Olympia High SchoolOlympia High School Bears21212222
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 17788
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 2882828
Orcas High SchoolOrcas High School Vikings 3882828
Oregon City High SchoolOregon City High School Pioneers66
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 12222
Sehome High SchoolSehome High School Mariners 22222
Wilson High SchoolWilson High School Trojans2525
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons 12727
Woodinville High SchoolWoodinville High School Falcons 227272929
School / Team SkipperCrew
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Kian Patrick '16 Devanne Jager '17
Seahawks 1 Heather Rolph '17 Julia Soes '17
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Liam Patrick '18 Alex Stephens '15
Seahawks 2 Eliot Briefer '17 Brynna Bone '19
Anacortes High School Anacortes High School Julia Houppermans '16 Tammie Jorgensen '16
Seahawks 3 Peter Correa '17 Ben Reneau '19
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Cole Garthwaite '16 [1-2]
Nicholas Dresel '15 [3-8]		 Francine Brownell '15 [1-2, 5-8]
Zachary Mellin '16 [3-4]
Blue Karl Anderson '16 [1-8] Nicholas Dresel '15 [1-2]
Quinn Ring '18 [3-8]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Lucas Burzycki '15 [1-2]
Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [3-8]		 Christoph Webber '18 [1-4]
Harrison Saliba '17 [5-8]
Gold Arianna Fiore '21 [1-8] Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [1-2]
Sophie Crandell '18 [3-6]
Christoph Webber '18 [7-8]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Stasi Burzycki '15 [1-8] Kathryn Smith '17 [1-2, 7-8]
Sophia Kasper '18 [3-6]
Plaid Jackson Mccoy '15 Hannah Harrison '15
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School William Brown '15 Joshua Rentz '15
Stripes Caelan Juckniess '16 [1-8] Nicole Sanford '16 [1-2, 5-8]
Harrison Saliba '17 [3-4]
Bellingham High School Bellingham High School Chase Travers '17 [1-8] Sophia Carpenter '17 [1-2]
Cailin Arnold '17 [3-8]
Raiders Hannah Roy '17 [1-8] Sophia Carpenter '17 [1-2]
Stephanie Kirker '18 [3-8]
Everett High School Everett High School No Show No Show
Seagulls No Show No Show
Franklin High School Franklin High School Thomas Hope '16 No Show
Quakers No Show No Show
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Marina West '22 Alanna Halliday '16
Wolverines 1 Conrad Borman '16 [1-2]
No Show [3-8]		 Gavia Boyden '22 [1-2]
April Esposito '17 [3-8]
Friday Harbor High School Friday Harbor High School Rachel May '16 [1-8] Uma Hu '16 [1-2]
Robby Miller '18 [3-8]
Wolverines 2 No Show [1-2]
Peter Correa '17 [3-8]		 No Show [1-2]
Ben Reneau '19 [3-8]
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Zeke Ward '16 Bekah Ashpole '15
Tides 1 Alyosha Strum-Palerm '17 Kara Ashpole '17
Gig Harbor High School Gig Harbor High School Jayden Moomaw '19 No Show
Tides 2 Ryan Squires '18 [1-4]
Jack Frazier '17 [5-8]		 Jack Frazier '17 [1-4]
Ryan Squires '18 [5-8]
Ingraham High School Ingraham High School Avery Fulford '17 [1-8] Marijke Jorna '16 [1-2]
Haru Yokota '16 [3-8]
Rams Grant Barton '16 [1, 5-6]
Joe Ubelhart '17 [2-4, 7-8]		 Max Kauffman '18 [1, 3-8]
Reilly Hearne '17 [2]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Drew Bennett '15 Rebecca Reynolds '17
Cardinals Matthew Reynolds '16 Gavin Ross '16
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Chloe Dawson '16 Alejandro Montanez '17
Red Hawks 1 Mckenzie Ginther '16 Kaya Wiant '17
Lycee Francais de Chicago Lycee Francais de Chicago Orrick Waddell '17
Red Hawks 2 Anda Yoshina '16 Ella Ashford '19
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Liam Sherry '16 [1-8] Julia Sherry '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Nathan Grundmeier '19 [3-4]
Varsity Maddie Ekin '16 [1-8] Anna Sherry '19 [1-2, 5-8]
Jonna O'Keefe '16 [3-4]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Shawn O'Connor '17 [1-8] No Show [1-2]
Matt Dixon '17 [3-8]
Wildcats 1 Skyler Hovey '16 [1-2]
No Show [3-8]		 Matt Dixon '17 [1-2]
No Show [3-8]
Oak Harbor High School Oak Harbor High School Max Van Dam '16 Dylan Angell '18
Wildcats 2 Jordan Wood-Pina '18 Matt Hallahan '16
Olympia High School Olympia High School Max Miller '18 [1-8] Farzana Mohamedali '16 [1-2]
Leo Brine '16 [3-8]
Bears Konrad Brine '16 Abby Larsen '17
Orcas High School Orcas High School Taj Howe '15 Matia Schwartz '17
Vikings 1 Michael Chesher '17 Jadyn Kopp '18
Orcas High School Orcas High School Wylie Kau '16 Kajetan Bullock '18
Vikings 2 Axel Greening '17 Lilly Miller '16
Orcas High School Orcas High School Dominick Wareham '19 Ronan Rankin '19
Vikings 3 Maggie Toombs '18 William Coe '15
Oregon City High School Oregon City High School Grant Gridley '18
Pioneers Grant Gridley '18
Oregon Episcopal School Oregon Episcopal School John Ped '16 Sydney Stanion '15
Aardvarks Claire Siegel-Wilson '18
Sehome High School Sehome High School Liam Hood '16 Quinn Shultis '16
Mariners 1 Benjamin Stark '16 [1-8] Peyton Nienaber '23 [1-2, 5-8]
Stephanie Kirker '18 [3-4]
Sehome High School Sehome High School Jeffrey Werner '16 Mallory Hood '23
Mariners 2 Connor Mcgreevy '16 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Nina Hooper '18 [2, 4, 6, 8]		 Nina Hooper '18 [1, 3, 5, 7]
Connor Mcgreevy '16 [2, 4, 6, 8]
Wilson High School Wilson High School Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 Kendall Kracke '15
Trojans Annabelle 'Belle' Lemoine '15 Kendall Kracke '15
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Adam Didomizio '15 [1-2]
Tim Player '16 [3-8]		 Tim Player '16 [1-2]
Megan Didomizio '17 [3-8]
Falcons 1 Connor Hughes '15 [1-8] Nina Sayed '15 [1, 3-8]
Karl Skeel '16 [2]
Woodinville High School Woodinville High School Karl Skeel '16 [1-2]
Marijke Jorna '16 [3-8]		 Nicolai Blasdel '17 [1-6]
Grant Barton '16 [7-8]
Falcons 2 Erik Skeel '16 [1-2]
Margot Watts '19 [3-8]		 Reya Fore '18 [1]
Margot Watts '19 [2]
Reilly Hearne '17 [3-8]

Conditions — 04/11/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1013.6 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 38°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.3 kn
Gusts to 26.6 kn
From SW (231°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover43% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1013.6 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 11 kn · S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Anacortes: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Anacortes by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Anacortes, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →