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MDISA Maryland Championship

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Severn School Severn School Admirals 111
2 Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins 182
3 Key School Key School Zags 195
4 Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets 230
5 Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders 244
6 South River High School South River High School Seahawks 279
7 Severna Park Severna Park Falcons 335
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Severn School Severn School Admirals A 9 1 6 2 2 4 3 2 1 4 7 1 3 1 2 48 Will Friedell '24
John Szynal '24
Key School Key School Zags A 4 7 1 1 4 5 4 1 2 1 3 9 5 3 3 53 Mason Cook '25
Stella Kim '23
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets A 3 8 2 7 3 1 6 4 3 2 4 3 4 4 5 59 Eli Leopold '24
Eliza Szymendera '25
Severn School Severn School Admirals B 1 4 3 5 DSQ 2 1 7 10 3 1 7 1 2 1 63 Sam De Los Reyes '26
Helena English '24
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins A 2 10 4 3 1 3 2 8 6 5 2 8 2 5 4 65 Marco Welch '24 [1-15]
Jack Lefever-Farino '25 [1-6]
James O'Leary '25 [7-15]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders A 7 12 8 6 10 14 7 3 4 11 6 6 6 6 10 116 David Abbott '23 [1-15]
Isabelle Merritt '23 [1-6]
Kyle Engel '23 [7-15]
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Bruins B 10 5 5 4 6 8 13 5 11 8 9 5 9 7 12 117 Justin Marquez '24 [1-6]
Chris White '24 [7-15]
No Show [1-6]
Aden Keithley '24 [7-15]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School Raiders B 6 11 7 13 11 7 8 9 9 7 11 4 8 8 9 128 Douglass Abbott '23
Timothy Berman '23
South River High School South River High School Seahawks B 5 3 11 12 9 12 14 6 12 6 8 10 10 10 6 134 William Lovelace '23 [1-15]
Lily Moss '25 [1-9]
Beatrice Bello '22 [10-15]
Key School Key School Zags B 13 14 9 8 7 9 9 12 7 10 5 12 7 9 11 142 Andrew Baker '24 [1-15]
James Rizek '23 [1-9]
Annabelle Ulak '26 [10-15]
South River High School South River High School Seahawks A 8 2 10 10 12 6 10 11 8 9 12 13 12 14 8 145 Austin Latimer '22 [1-15]
Gus Keish '24 [1-9, 13-15]
Keely Flynn '26 [10-12]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons B 12 6 14 11 13 13 11 14 13 13 13 2 13 12 7 167 Ben Howard '22 [1-9]
Johnny Riganati '23 [10-15]
Madison Cannon '25 [1-9]
Severna Park Severna Park Falcons A 11 9 12 14 5 11 12 13 5 14 10 14 11 13 14 168 Peter Judge '25
Ella Bowen '23
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Hornets B 14 13 13 9 8 10 5 10 14 12 14 11 14 11 13 171 Peter Morris '23 [1-12]
Adam Nilsson '25 [13-15]
Daniel Aaron '23 [1-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2016 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins222333555666777
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets333555666777888
Key SchoolKey School Zags555666777888999
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders666777888999101010
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals777888999101010111111
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons888999101010111111131313
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks999101010111111131313151515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Broadneck High SchoolBroadneck High School Bruins101010111111131313151515161616
Great Mills High SchoolGreat Mills High School Hornets111111131313151515161616171717
Key SchoolKey School Zags131313151515161616171717181818
Leonardtown High SchoolLeonardtown High School Raiders151515161616171717181818222
Severn SchoolSevern School Admirals161616171717181818222333
Severna ParkSeverna Park Falcons171717181818222333555
South River High SchoolSouth River High School Seahawks181818222333555666
School / Team SkipperCrew
Broadneck High School Broadneck High School Marco Welch '24 [1-15] Jack Lefever-Farino '25 [1-6]
James O'Leary '25 [7-15]
Bruins Justin Marquez '24 [1-6]
Chris White '24 [7-15]		 No Show [1-6]
Aden Keithley '24 [7-15]
Great Mills High School Great Mills High School Eli Leopold '24 Eliza Szymendera '25
Hornets Peter Morris '23 [1-12]
Adam Nilsson '25 [13-15]		 Daniel Aaron '23 [1-12]
Key School Key School Mason Cook '25 Stella Kim '23
Zags Andrew Baker '24 [1-15] James Rizek '23 [1-9]
Annabelle Ulak '26 [10-15]
Leonardtown High School Leonardtown High School David Abbott '23 [1-15] Isabelle Merritt '23 [1-6]
Kyle Engel '23 [7-15]
Raiders Douglass Abbott '23 Timothy Berman '23
Severn School Severn School Will Friedell '24 John Szynal '24
Admirals Sam De Los Reyes '26 Helena English '24
Severna Park Severna Park Peter Judge '25 Ella Bowen '23
Falcons Ben Howard '22 [1-9]
Johnny Riganati '23 [10-15]		 Madison Cannon '25 [1-9]
South River High School South River High School Austin Latimer '22 [1-15] Gus Keish '24 [1-9, 13-15]
Keely Flynn '26 [10-12]
Seahawks William Lovelace '23 [1-15] Lily Moss '25 [1-9]
Beatrice Bello '22 [10-15]

Conditions — 05/21/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

86°F
↑ 94°F   ↓ 76°F
Feels like 91°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 20.6 kn
From SSW (204°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1017.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Great Mills/Leonardtown High: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Great Mills/Leonardtown High by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (16 labelled days at Great Mills/Leonardtown High).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →