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MN Conference #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 13 10 23
2 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 22 12 34
3 Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 23 36 59
4 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 47 16 63
5 White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 39 42 81
6 Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 55 33 88
7 Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 32 62 94
8 Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 51 45 96
9 Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 3 73 28 101
10 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 29 77 106
11 Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 48 59 107
12 Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 51 68 119
13 Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 63 58 121
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 3 1 1 1 6 1 13 Wyatt Tait '23
Evan Holmes '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 10 3 4 2 1 2 22 Teddy Bower '26
Parker Laing '24
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 7 4 2 3 2 5 23 Nick Ross '25
Claire Schendel '26
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 1 7 5 10 3 3 29 Dominik Moncur '25
Cooper Cullen '27
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 5 2 6 6 9 4 32 Ella Wisely '23 [1-6]
Joshua Drivdahl '25 [1-2]
Aliya Determan '26 [3-6]
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 2 11 3 9 7 7 39 Robbie Dresen '25
No Show
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 13 6 10 5 4 9 47 Max Barrett '25
Joey Kim '26
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 12 8 7 7 8 6 48 Jack Colosi '25
No Show
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 4 5 11 11 12 8 51 Stonewall Anderson '26
Ella Fritz '27
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 6 9 8 4 13 11 51 Lorenzo Good '25
Huxley Westemeier '24
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 8 10 9 8 10 10 55 Hunter Wheaton '23
Caleb Thompson '25
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 9 12 12 13 5 12 63 No Show
No Show
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 3 11 13 13 12 11 13 73 Ray Taha '26
Anastasia Gilbert '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. Paul Academy (MN) St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans 2 2 1 1 3 1 10 Adi Narayan '27
Griffin Sack '23
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 1 1 1 2 3 1 4 12 Owen Ostbye '28
Gloria Jorczak '24
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 2 3 4 3 2 2 2 16 Jack Brellenthin '26
Jack Siefker '26
Minnetonka High School Minnetonka High School Mixed 3 8 5 4 4 4 3 28 Reese Kottke '26
Adra Jasper '26
Orono High School Orono High School Spartans 4 8 5 5 6 5 33 Harper Gordon '26
Aiden Ide '25
Washburn High School Washburn High School Millers 6 3 7 9 5 6 36 Mickey Fraser '26
Claire Norman '26
White Bear Lake High School White Bear Lake High School Bears 5 7 10 6 7 7 42 Natalya Triplett '26
Parker Ziegler '24
Southwest High School Southwest High School Lakers 7 6 6 10 8 8 45 Leif Rush '27
Soren Miller-Sardelis '24
Mounds Park Academy Mounds Park Academy Panthers 11 9 9 8 10 11 58 No Show
Marek Roe '27
Mounds View High School Mounds View High School Mustangs 9 10 12 7 12 9 59 No Show
Sofie Muschenheim '25
Mahtomedi Mahtomedi Zephyrs 12 11 8 12 9 10 62 No Show [1-6]
Aliya Determan '26 [1-2]
Joshua Drivdahl '25 [3-6]
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Navy 10 12 11 11 11 13 68 Mara Lysaght '24
Lauren Reichert '24
Wayzata High School Wayzata High School Mixed 13 13 13 13 13 12 77 Cooper Cullen '27
Maggie Hewitt '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs41417227722766986698
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 171947194272772287228
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 2722772276698669872267226
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 327277228722872167216
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers669866987226722672477247
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mustangs7228722872167216612612
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans722672267247724772467246
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers7216721661261271937193
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans724772477246724661426142
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers612612719371934141
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed71937193414172277227
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy724672466142614271947194
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears61426142719471942727

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
MahtomediMahtomedi Zephyrs71947194272772287228
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 1722772276698669872267226
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 227277228722872167216
Minnetonka High SchoolMinnetonka High School Mixed 3669866987226722672477247
Mounds Park AcademyMounds Park Academy Panthers7228722872167216612612
Mounds View High SchoolMounds View High School Mustangs722672267247724772467246
Orono High SchoolOrono High School Spartans7216721661261271937193
Southwest High SchoolSouthwest High School Lakers724772477246724661426142
St. Paul Academy (MN)St. Paul Academy (MN) Spartans612612719371934141
Washburn High SchoolWashburn High School Millers724672466142614271947194
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Mixed61426142719471942727
Wayzata High SchoolWayzata High School Navy71937193414172277227
White Bear Lake High SchoolWhite Bear Lake High School Bears41417227722766986698

Conditions — 05/06/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1011.1 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 11.0 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From ESE (115°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine4.6 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1011.1 hPa Rain0.59 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Edina/St. Paul Academy - M: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.27 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Edina/St. Paul Academy - M by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Edina/St. Paul Academy - M, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →