Navigate

VISA Christchurch Parents Weekend Fleet Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 13 10 23
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 26 14 40
3 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 19 31 50
4 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 41 17 58
5 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 52 32 84
6 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 29 56 85
7 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 46 39 85
8 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 51 52 103
9 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 81 31 112
10 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 3 27 90 117
11 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 72 52 124
12 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 36 90 126
13 The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 72 62 134
14 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 74 90 164
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 2 5 2 1 2 13 Bo Angus '25
Bennett Moss '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 3 3 1 3 3 6 19 Wylder Smith '27
Simone Moss '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 9 1 2 5 6 3 26 Elliott Lipp '26
Suzie Nguyen '25
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 3 6 5 7 1 7 1 27 Parker Moore '25
Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 4 4 6 8 2 5 29 Madeline Janzen '25
Chloe Shurr '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 2 12 10 4 4 4 36 Sam De Los Reyes '26
Adelaide Matzky '25
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 5 8 9 6 5 8 41 Leila Pfrang '25
Patrick Bielewicz '28
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 11 9 4 7 8 7 46 Brandt Adams '30
Michael Wattenbarger '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 12 7 3 11 9 9 51 Aaron Griffith '27 [1-6]
Olivia Wolff '27 [1-3]
George Zhao '27 [4-6]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 7 6 8 10 10 11 52 Tucker Mcgrady '26
Madeline Ballard '25
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 13 13 13 9 12 12 72 Emily Priest '25
Lenox Wakefield '27
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 14 11 14 12 11 10 72 Levi Stillman '25
Aniyah Lang '28
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 8 10 11 DNS DNS DNS 74 Sarah Moore '29
Daphne Ambrosino '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 10 14 12 DNS DNS DNS 81 Maddie Murphy '25
Emma Horton '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 3 1 3 1 1 1 10 Wyatt Lipp '28
Cindy Zhang '28
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 2 3 1 3 2 3 14 Duncan Hardy '27
Millicent Branflick '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 1 2 4 5 3 2 17 Will Chapman '28
Josie Brindley '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 5 7 2 4 7 6 31 Gp Keating '27
Anson Huang '26
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 8 6 7 2 4 4 31 Anna Lenox '28
Finian Bohan '27
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 4 4 6 6 5 7 32 Lillian Rippel '25
Colin Moorhouse '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 6 5 5 7 8 8 39 Chase Duhon-Kovach '29
Mollie Armentrout '28
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 9 9 9 9 6 10 52 Samuel Rogge '28 [1-6]
Rylie Bowen '27 [1-3]
Genevieve Collett '25 [4-6]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 10 10 10 8 9 5 52 Kaia Deane '28
Graham Friesner '25
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 4 7 8 8 11 11 11 56 Pierson Teer '27
Olwen Nguyen '27
The Hague School The Hague School Tritons 11 11 11 10 10 9 62 Elias Bowes '27 [1-6]
Ryan Mouak '28 [1-3, 6]
Aline Hughes '30 [4-5]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 3 DSQ DSQ DSQ DNS DSQ DSQ 90 Parker Moore '25 [1-6]
Nicholas Bielewicz '26 [1-3]
Madeline Monteith '29 [4-6]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 5 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 90 Brooke Mertz '26
George Zhao '27
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 90 Charlie Moore '27
Madeline Monteith '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 4444444
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 5555555
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 6666666
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1777777
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2888888
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 3999999
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 1101010101010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 2111111111111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1121212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2131313131313
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons141414141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1111111
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 2222222
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3333333
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 4444444
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 5555555
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 6666666
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1777777
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2888888
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 3999999
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 1101010101010
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 2111111111111
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1121212121212
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2131313131313
The Hague SchoolThe Hague School Tritons141414141414
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Bo Angus '25 Bennett Moss '26
Seahorses 1 Wyatt Lipp '28 Cindy Zhang '28
Christchurch School Christchurch School Wylder Smith '27 Simone Moss '25
Seahorses 2 Gp Keating '27 Anson Huang '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Elliott Lipp '26 Suzie Nguyen '25
Seahorses 3 Duncan Hardy '27 Millicent Branflick '26
Christchurch School Christchurch School Madeline Janzen '25 Chloe Shurr '25
Seahorses 4 Pierson Teer '27 Olwen Nguyen '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Sam De Los Reyes '26 Adelaide Matzky '25
Seahorses 5 Brooke Mertz '26 George Zhao '27
Christchurch School Christchurch School Aaron Griffith '27 [1-6] Olivia Wolff '27 [1-3]
George Zhao '27 [4-6]
Seahorses 6 Kaia Deane '28 Graham Friesner '25
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Leila Pfrang '25 Patrick Bielewicz '28
Navigators 1 Will Chapman '28 Josie Brindley '26
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Sarah Moore '29 Daphne Ambrosino '27
Navigators 2 Charlie Moore '27 Madeline Monteith '29
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Parker Moore '25 Nicholas Bielewicz '26
Navigators 3 Parker Moore '25 [1-6] Nicholas Bielewicz '26 [1-3]
Madeline Monteith '29 [4-6]
Maury High School Maury High School Tucker Mcgrady '26 Madeline Ballard '25
Commodores 1 Lillian Rippel '25 Colin Moorhouse '27
Maury High School Maury High School Emily Priest '25 Lenox Wakefield '27
Commodores 2 Samuel Rogge '28 [1-6] Rylie Bowen '27 [1-3]
Genevieve Collett '25 [4-6]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Maddie Murphy '25 Emma Horton '25
Oaks 1 Anna Lenox '28 Finian Bohan '27
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Brandt Adams '30 Michael Wattenbarger '27
Oaks 2 Chase Duhon-Kovach '29 Mollie Armentrout '28
The Hague School The Hague School Levi Stillman '25 Aniyah Lang '28
Tritons Elias Bowes '27 [1-6] Ryan Mouak '28 [1-3, 6]
Aline Hughes '30 [4-5]

Conditions — 04/12/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1014.4 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.3 kn
avg  ·  max 12.6 kn
Gusts to 27.0 kn
From NNW (335°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine1.1 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1014.4 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christchurch School: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christchurch School by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Christchurch School).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →