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Lake Champlain Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 50 67 117
2 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 62 57 119
3 Providence College Providence College Friars 54 73 127
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 55 79 134
5 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 104 46 150
6 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 105 89 194
7 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 99 99 198
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 83 MRP 119 MRP 202 MRP
9 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 119 86 205
10 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 136 74 210
11 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 114 104 218
12 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 144 106 250
13 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 140 155 295
14 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 142 155 297
15 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 140 178 318
16 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 146 194 340
17 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 185 MRP 196 MRP 381 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 2 3 2 4 6 4 5 5 4 8 6 50 Rob Struckett '12
Isabel Elliman '12
Providence College Providence College Friars 15 3 5 5 5 5 1 1 1 7 3 3 54 Ian Sutherland '12
Pamela Decatur '11
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 10 4 1 2 3 5 3 8 2 2 10 55 William Hutchings '13
Reeves Bright '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 14 1 10 10 2 3 7 2 3 4 4 62 Quentin Chafee '11 [1-12]
Paige Baeder '12 [1-4, 9-12]
Mackenzie Spencer '12 [5-8]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 1 6 3 1 1 12 8 3 DSQ 1 5 83 MRP Ryan Pesch '12
Lalitha Kumaresan '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 3 7 7 11 7 14 8 6 12 12 11 1 99 Samuel Parish '13
Mae Lortie '11
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 6 12 10 4 8 13 14 4 16 1 14 2 104 Peter Hughes '11
Catherine O'Sullivan '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 13 8 8 14 3 4 7 9 6 10 16 7 105 Stephen Hansel '11
Emma De Aguiar '11
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 9 6 15 13 15 8 6 2 OCS 6 5 11 114 Sean Andrew '11
Kerry Duffy '11
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 5 14 8 12 15 16 14 4 8 7 9 119 Ryan White '11
Sydney Rey '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 16 11 11 15 6 12 2 10 11 11 15 16 136 Bradley Milliken '14
Justine Morrison '13
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 12 9 2 12 17 17 13 12 7 13 13 13 140 Bianca Dragone '12
Kathryn Desutter '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 14 4 13 16 13 11 10 11 9 16 6 17 140 David Pierce '12
Sean Auth '12
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 11 16 17 9 16 9 11 13 10 5 10 15 142 Neal Drake '12
Rebecca Rothman '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 15 9 7 11 16 9 16 13 9 17 12 144 Jeff Goodrich '12
Benjmain Berg '12
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 8 13 16 6 14 10 15 17 15 15 9 8 146 Wesley Yland '13
Leila Pike '12
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 17 17 12 17 9 7 17 15 14 14 12 14 185 MRP Max Fleischfresser '14
Hadley Neale '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 2 11 2 2 2 3 4 2 9 4 3 46 Christopher Price '14
Rachel Moncton '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 4 10 3 4 1 4 7 8 4 7 2 57 Hunter Mumma '12
Taylor Maguire '12
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 6 1 6 1 10 10 1 3 10 10 1 8 67 Andrew Kurzrok '11
Grace Zimmerly '13
Providence College Providence College Friars 1 8 1 5 1 17 6 6 1 11 10 6 73 Mike Bloomstine '13 [1-12]
Julie Antonovich '11 [1-6, 9-12]
Peter Van Name '11 [7-8]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears RAF 11 5 4 3 4 5 1 4 6 9 4 74 Rian Bareuther '13 [1-12]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [1-2, 9-12]
Elise Maher '11 [3-8]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 13 9 10 7 8 2 2 9 5 2 1 79 James Altreuter '11
Katherine Hitchner '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 5 7 6 5 6 11 5 5 1 14 14 86 Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14
Estelle Beguin '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 3 3 7 14 5 8 10 11 13 5 5 89 Andrew Moakes '13
Danielle Fougere '12
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 10 7 8 9 8 3 7 8 13 12 3 11 99 Gabriel Salk '14 [1, 3-12]
Ig Schottlaender '14 [2]
Iraz Korezlioglu '11 [1-2, 9-12]
Lucy Wallace '13 [3-8]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 10 4 11 6 9 10 14 7 3 6 12 104 Michael Moulthrop '12
Vanessa Martã­Nez '11
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 9 9 12 14 12 7 9 11 3 2 11 7 106 Billy Rohman '11
Mae Speight '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 6 2 8 11 11 15 12 6 7 8 9 119 MRP Trevor Burd '12
Alejandra Higgins '13
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 16 13 12 9 14 12 9 16 14 17 15 155 Justin Marks '14
Patrick Connelly '14
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 13 14 14 13 13 13 14 15 15 8 13 10 155 Nicholas Dragone '14
Emily Cordner '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 14 15 16 15 16 12 13 13 17 16 15 16 178 Edward Moan '14 [1-12]
Brendan Donnelly '14 [1-2, 9-12]
Christopher Calahan '12 [3-8]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 15 17 17 16 17 16 17 17 12 17 16 17 194 Natalie Fohl '11
Joshua Bullen '13
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 16 12 15 17 15 15 16 16 14 15 12 13 196 MRP Tyler Nemsdale '14
Kyle Robbins '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11335577991111
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2218181616141412121010
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3355779911111313
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears44221818161614141212
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1515171711335577
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels557799111113131515
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green664422181816161414
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners77991111131315151717
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds8866442218181616
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers99111113131515171711
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1010886644221818
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies11111313151517171133
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1212101088664422
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams131315151717113355
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos141412121010886644
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts16161414121210108866
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs17171133557799

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2244668810101212
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11171715151313111199
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears446688101012121414
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears33111717151513131111
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1616181822446688
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels66881010121214141616
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green553311171715151313
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners8810101212141416161818
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds7755331117171515
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers1010121214141616181822
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats99775533111717
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies12121414161618182244
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars11119977553311
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams141416161818224466
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1313111199775533
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts151513131111997755
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818224466881010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College David Pierce '12 Sean Auth '12
Bobcats Edward Moan '14 [1-12] Brendan Donnelly '14 [1-2, 9-12]
Christopher Calahan '12 [3-8]
Boston University Boston University Ryan Pesch '12 Lalitha Kumaresan '13
Terriers Trevor Burd '12 Alejandra Higgins '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Jeff Goodrich '12 Benjmain Berg '12
Polar Bears Billy Rohman '11 Mae Speight '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Samuel Parish '13 Mae Lortie '11
Camels Gabriel Salk '14 [1, 3-12]
Ig Schottlaender '14 [2]		 Iraz Korezlioglu '11 [1-2, 9-12]
Lucy Wallace '13 [3-8]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Peter Hughes '11 Catherine O'Sullivan '14
Big Green Christopher Price '14 Rachel Moncton '12
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Max Fleischfresser '14 Hadley Neale '13
Mariners Tyler Nemsdale '14 Kyle Robbins '13
McGill University McGill University Wesley Yland '13 Leila Pike '12
Redbirds Natalie Fohl '11 Joshua Bullen '13
Middlebury College Middlebury College Bianca Dragone '12 Kathryn Desutter '13
Panthers Nicholas Dragone '14 Emily Cordner '13
Northeastern University Northeastern University Ryan White '11 Sydney Rey '13
Huskies Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14 Estelle Beguin '14
Providence College Providence College Ian Sutherland '12 Pamela Decatur '11
Friars Mike Bloomstine '13 [1-12] Julie Antonovich '11 [1-6, 9-12]
Peter Van Name '11 [7-8]
Tufts University Tufts University William Hutchings '13 Reeves Bright '12
Jumbos James Altreuter '11 Katherine Hitchner '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bradley Milliken '14 Justine Morrison '13
Bears Rian Bareuther '13 [1-12] Jaimie Chicoine '14 [1-2, 9-12]
Elise Maher '11 [3-8]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Sean Andrew '11 Kerry Duffy '11
Huskies Michael Moulthrop '12 Vanessa Martã­Nez '11
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Neal Drake '12 Rebecca Rothman '13
Wildcats Justin Marks '14 Patrick Connelly '14
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Stephen Hansel '11 Emma De Aguiar '11
Rams Andrew Moakes '13 Danielle Fougere '12
University of Vermont University of Vermont Quentin Chafee '11 [1-12] Paige Baeder '12 [1-4, 9-12]
Mackenzie Spencer '12 [5-8]
Catamounts Hunter Mumma '12 Taylor Maguire '12
Yale University Yale University Rob Struckett '12 Isabel Elliman '12
Bulldogs Andrew Kurzrok '11 Grace Zimmerly '13

Conditions — 09/18/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1021.5 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.6 kn
Gusts to 18.7 kn
From S (173°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine10.3 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1021.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn · N 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Vermont: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Vermont by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Vermont).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →