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Nicholas J. Barnett Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 60 77 137
2 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 47 92 139
3 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 104 35 139
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 75 93 168
5 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 118 82 200
6 Boston College Boston College Eagles 99 106 205
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 95 119 214
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 117 107 224
9 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 139 103 242
10 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 117 132 249
11 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 120 161 281
12 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 164 120 284
13 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 159 172 331
14 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 185 201 386
15 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 202 202 404
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 2 1 1 6 5 3 4 3 1 3 2 5 1 6 47 Samuel Ingham '11
Amanda Hamlet '12
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 7 7 2 1 3 5 9 1 6 4 5 4 2 2 60 Daniel Perkins '11 [1-15]
Matt Johnson '12 [1-6]
Elizabeth Santovasi '11 [7-15]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 3 5 2 4 4 2 6 5 5 4 9 9 10 3 4 75 Mackenzie Spencer '12
Trudy Crowley '13
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 1 3 5 10 1 9 13 2 10 1 11 8 6 10 95 John Meleney '13
Mackenzie Loy '13
Boston College Boston College Eagles 11 13 11 8 3 8 2 6 6 3 6 6 7 8 1 99 Stephanie Hudson '13
Laura Mckenna '13
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 6 12 4 6 8 6 10 3 10 12 5 3 2 10 7 104 Maggie Shea '11
Katrina Salk '11
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 3 5 7 5 7 4 10 11 9 2 14 12 12 15 117 Jeff Goodrich '12
Benjmain Berg '12
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 9 8 8 9 9 11 1 7 9 2 12 12 11 4 5 117 Weston Barlow '11
Kristin Horn '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 13 14 6 13 7 12 8 2 7 5 11 4 6 7 3 118 Chandler Salisbury '13
Madilyn Gamble '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 8 4 10 10 11 4 13 8 12 8 8 8 3 5 8 120 Tommy Holmberg '13 [1-15]
Edward Moan '14 [1-10]
Eve Boyce '13 [11-15]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 9 9 3 13 9 7 1 14 11 15 10 9 11 11 139 Conor Lodge '14
Becker Awqatty '14
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 6 12 11 15 15 11 12 8 7 13 1 14 13 9 159 Sean Andrew '11
Olivia Kamisher '14
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks DNF 10 14 12 12 13 14 11 13 13 7 7 1 9 12 164 Kyle Carney '13
Hilary Dees '14
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 11 15 15 2 10 12 15 15 15 10 15 13 14 13 185 Sean Willerford '14
Emily Cordner '13
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 14 15 13 14 14 14 15 14 4 14 14 13 15 15 14 202 Lucas Campbell '13
James Gorman '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 4 1 2 1 2 5 3 2 1 4 1 2 3 2 2 35 Michael Marshall '11 [1-15]
Samuel Parish '13 [1-6]
Stephanie Kapinos '13 [7-15]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 2 4 10 7 5 13 1 7 8 2 2 1 2 9 4 77 Tripp Cashel '11 [1-6]
Matt Johnson '12 [7-15]
Rebecca Bar '12 [1-6]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 6 12 4 3 6 7 4 1 2 8 8 5 5 5 6 82 Kelsey Wheeler '14
Margaret Wilson '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 2 3 2 1 6 2 12 10 1 11 14 4 13 8 92 Rian Bareuther '13
Tanya Cuprak '11
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 9 5 4 8 2 8 8 3 11 9 6 9 1 9 93 Steven Pelissier '14
Lillian Pillsbury '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 14 3 1 5 11 4 7 6 9 5 4 7 10 10 7 103 Ryan White '11
Angela Lukstein '11
Boston College Boston College Eagles 9 10 6 10 3 1 13 5 4 6 6 9 11 12 1 106 Ryan Mullins '13
Kelly Roy '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 7 8 6 4 9 9 3 14 13 5 4 8 7 5 107 D.J. Hatch '11 [1-6]
Peter Edmunds '14 [7-15]
Clare-Elizabeth Henry '12 [1-6]
Mae Speight '13 [7-15]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 11 12 11 10 10 6 10 5 12 12 3 1 3 3 119
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 6 7 8 7 12 5 11 12 3 7 10 7 4 13 120 Matthew Schon '11
Mary Zeolla '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 7 5 13 9 14 3 10 4 11 7 10 11 6 11 11 132 Andy Camarda '??
William Snyder '13
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 11 8 11 14 9 11 12 13 6 9 15 13 13 6 10 161 David Pierce '12 [1-15]
Conor Smith '14 [1-8]
Ellie Wallett '13 [9-15]
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 12 14 9 12 12 15 11 9 DNF 10 3 8 12 14 15 172 Brian Pracon '11
Vanessa Martã­Nez '11
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers DNF 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 7 15 13 12 14 8 14 201 Ted Netland '14
Elizabeth Morris '14
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 13 13 14 13 13 8 15 15 13 14 14 15 15 15 12 202 Andrew Mchenry '13
Kyle Robbins '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11335577991111131315
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22161614141212101088664
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers335577991111131315151
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44221616141412121010886
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears557799111113131515113
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1414121210108866442216
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels66442216161414121210108
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green779911111313151511335
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners8866442216161414121210
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers991111131315151133557
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1010886644221616141412
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams111113131515113355779
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1212101088664422161614
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos13131515113355779911
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts15151133557799111113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats2244668810101212141416
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles111515131311119977553
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers44668810101212141416162
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears331115151313111199775
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears66881010121214141616224
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies13131111997755331115
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels553311151513131111997
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green88101012121414161622446
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners775533111515131311119
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers10101212141416162244668
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99775533111515131311
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1212141416162244668810
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks11119977553311151513
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1414161622446688101012
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1616224466881010121214
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College Tommy Holmberg '13 [1-15] Edward Moan '14 [1-10]
Eve Boyce '13 [11-15]
Bobcats David Pierce '12 [1-15] Conor Smith '14 [1-8]
Ellie Wallett '13 [9-15]
Boston College Boston College Stephanie Hudson '13 Laura Mckenna '13
Eagles Ryan Mullins '13 Kelly Roy '13
Boston University Boston University Daniel Perkins '11 [1-15] Matt Johnson '12 [1-6]
Elizabeth Santovasi '11 [7-15]
Terriers Tripp Cashel '11 [1-6]
Matt Johnson '12 [7-15]		 Rebecca Bar '12 [1-6]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Jeff Goodrich '12 Benjmain Berg '12
Polar Bears D.J. Hatch '11 [1-6]
Peter Edmunds '14 [7-15]		 Clare-Elizabeth Henry '12 [1-6]
Mae Speight '13 [7-15]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Maggie Shea '11 Katrina Salk '11
Camels Michael Marshall '11 [1-15] Samuel Parish '13 [1-6]
Stephanie Kapinos '13 [7-15]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Chandler Salisbury '13 Madilyn Gamble '13
Big Green Kelsey Wheeler '14 Margaret Wilson '13
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Lucas Campbell '13 James Gorman '13
Mariners Andrew Mchenry '13 Kyle Robbins '13
Middlebury College Middlebury College Sean Willerford '14 Emily Cordner '13
Panthers Ted Netland '14 Elizabeth Morris '14
Northeastern University Northeastern University Conor Lodge '14 Becker Awqatty '14
Huskies Ryan White '11 Angela Lukstein '11
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Kyle Carney '13 Hilary Dees '14
Seahawks Matthew Schon '11 Mary Zeolla '13
Tufts University Tufts University John Meleney '13 Mackenzie Loy '13
Jumbos
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Samuel Ingham '11 Amanda Hamlet '12
Bears Rian Bareuther '13 Tanya Cuprak '11
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Sean Andrew '11 Olivia Kamisher '14
Huskies Brian Pracon '11 Vanessa Martã­Nez '11
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Weston Barlow '11 Kristin Horn '14
Rams Andy Camarda '?? William Snyder '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Mackenzie Spencer '12 Trudy Crowley '13
Catamounts Steven Pelissier '14 Lillian Pillsbury '14

Conditions — 10/09/2010 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1009.8 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.6 kn
avg  ·  max 13.3 kn
Gusts to 29.4 kn
From NW (317°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1009.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn · W 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Bowdoin: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Bowdoin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →