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66th Timme Angsten Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 16 17 33
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 23 18 41
3 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 23 28 51
4 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 24 27 51
5 Bates College Bates College Tomcats 35 22 57
6 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 48 43 91
7 Michigan State University Michigan State University Michigan State 48 60 108
8 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 61 52 113
9 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 62 71 133
10 Miami University Miami University Miami University 72 65 137
11 University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 65 74 139
12 Bowling Green State University Bowling Green State University Bowling Green 70 71 141
13 University of Toledo University of Toledo Toledo 91 93 184
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 2 4 2 1 2 3 16 Ryan Seago '14
Evelyn Hull '13
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 1 3 3 5 3 6 2 23 Griffin Orr '15
Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 5 4 2 4 2 5 1 23 Brendan Boylan '13
Kelsea Kierstead '15
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 4 1 1 1 10 3 4 24 Drake Lundeen '14
Sarah Ellis '14
Bates College Bates College Tomcats 3 5 7 9 4 1 6 35 Tommy Holmberg '13
Hannah Kiesler '16
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 6 6 6 7 9 9 5 48 Phil Holt '14
Jean Ruggiero '15
Michigan State University Michigan State University Michigan State 9 9 5 3 6 7 9 48 Bill Weiland '14
Andrew Lauten '15
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 8 11 12 11 5 4 10 61 Travis Cottle '15 [1-4, 7]
Michael Cornew '13 [5-6]
Megan Mcevily '14 [1-6]
Gina Krupp '15 [7]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 7 8 10 10 8 8 11 62 Zi Chong Kao '14
Abigail Lapier '14
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 11 7 8 8 7 12 12 65 Adelheid Rittmeyer '13 [1-6]
Dustin Domer '13 [7]
Brian Moy '14 [1-6]
Bowling Green State University Bowling Green State University Bowling Green 13 10 11 6 12 11 7 70 William Kyle '14
Sam Logan '14
Miami University Miami University Miami University 10 12 9 12 11 10 8 72 Stuart Fisher '16 [1-7]
John Salisbury '16 [1-3, 5-7]
Max Burson '16 [4]
University of Toledo University of Toledo Toledo 12 13 13 13 13 13 DNS 91 Eric Frissell '11
Taylor Linder '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 1 1 3 5 1 3 17 Will Cyr '14
Sophie Lucente '16
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 5 2 2 4 3 1 18 John Kinzel '14
Arielle Henderson '13
Bates College Bates College Tomcats 2 3 3 1 1 8 4 22 Edward Moan '14
Katlyn Flynn '15
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Minnesota Women 6 2 5 5 2 2 5 27 Emily Oltrogge '15
Paige Boegeman '14
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Bulls 4 6 4 4 3 5 2 28 Luke Miller '15
Melissa Eiffert '14
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 8 7 6 6 6 4 6 43 Grant Pollock '16
Maria Krutikova '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 7 10 8 7 7 6 7 52 Gabrielle Salvaterra '14
Matthew Sullivan '14
Michigan State University Michigan State University Michigan State 11 9 7 9 8 7 9 60 Colton Radenbaugh '15
Nickolas Burr '16
Miami University Miami University Miami University 5 DSQ 9 8 9 9 11 65 Connor Doyle '13 [1-7]
William Andreae '13 [1, 3-7]
Max Burson '16 [2]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 9 4 11 11 12 12 12 71 Katy Carlyle '15 [1-6]
Madeline Sovie '16 [7]
Rachelle Koch '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Leah Chapman '15 [3-4, 7]
Bowling Green State University Bowling Green State University Bowling Green 12 11 10 10 10 10 8 71 Cory Vanhouten '13
William Wiegand '15
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Flames 10 8 12 12 11 11 10 74 Brenden Jacobs '16
Taylor Valentor '16
University of Toledo University of Toledo Toledo 13 12 13 13 DNS DNS DNS 93 Andrew Logan '15
Adam Robertson '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bates CollegeBates College Tomcats131322446
Bowling Green State UniversityBowling Green State University Bowling Green1133557
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls99111113132
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons2244668
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames10101212113
Miami UniversityMiami University Miami University55779911
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines3355779
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Michigan State44668810
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women11111313224
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats6688101012
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers7799111113
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Toledo88101012121
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers121211335

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bates CollegeBates College Tomcats1133557
Bowling Green State UniversityBowling Green State University Bowling Green2244668
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Bulls10101212113
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons3355779
University of Illinois - ChicagoUniversity of Illinois - Chicago Flames11111313224
Miami UniversityMiami University Miami University6688101012
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines44668810
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Michigan State55779911
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Minnesota Women121211335
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats7799111113
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers88101012121
University of ToledoUniversity of Toledo Toledo99111113132
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers131322446
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College Tommy Holmberg '13 Hannah Kiesler '16
Tomcats Edward Moan '14 Katlyn Flynn '15
Bowling Green State University Bowling Green State University William Kyle '14 Sam Logan '14
Bowling Green Cory Vanhouten '13 William Wiegand '15
Miami University Miami University Stuart Fisher '16 [1-7] John Salisbury '16 [1-3, 5-7]
Max Burson '16 [4]
Miami University Connor Doyle '13 [1-7] William Andreae '13 [1, 3-7]
Max Burson '16 [2]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Bill Weiland '14 Andrew Lauten '15
Michigan State Colton Radenbaugh '15 Nickolas Burr '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Travis Cottle '15 [1-4, 7]
Michael Cornew '13 [5-6]		 Megan Mcevily '14 [1-6]
Gina Krupp '15 [7]
Wildcats Gabrielle Salvaterra '14 Matthew Sullivan '14
Purdue University Purdue University Phil Holt '14 Jean Ruggiero '15
Boilermakers Grant Pollock '16 Maria Krutikova '16
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Griffin Orr '15 Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
Bulls Luke Miller '15 Melissa Eiffert '14
University of Chicago University of Chicago Zi Chong Kao '14 Abigail Lapier '14
Maroons Katy Carlyle '15 [1-6]
Madeline Sovie '16 [7]		 Rachelle Koch '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Leah Chapman '15 [3-4, 7]
University of Illinois - Chicago University of Illinois - Chicago Adelheid Rittmeyer '13 [1-6]
Dustin Domer '13 [7]		 Brian Moy '14 [1-6]
Flames Brenden Jacobs '16 Taylor Valentor '16
University of Michigan University of Michigan Ryan Seago '14 Evelyn Hull '13
Wolverines Will Cyr '14 Sophie Lucente '16
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Drake Lundeen '14 Sarah Ellis '14
Minnesota Women Emily Oltrogge '15 Paige Boegeman '14
University of Toledo University of Toledo Eric Frissell '11 Taylor Linder '16
Toledo Andrew Logan '15 Adam Robertson '14
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Brendan Boylan '13 Kelsea Kierstead '15
Badgers John Kinzel '14 Arielle Henderson '13

Conditions — 11/17/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1033.8 hPa

Temperature

44°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 12.4 kn
From SSE (158°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover62% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1033.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 4 kn · SE 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northwestern: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.19)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.66 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.19 means a rating gap counts about 16% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northwestern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Northwestern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →