Frosh-Soph Regatta

HostUC San Diego
Date10/05/2013
TypeNOT ALLOWED In-Conference
BoatFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 1	24	28	52
2	University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 2	49	37	86
3	University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 3	73	70	143
4	University of California at Berkeley	Golden Bears 3	87	58	145
5	California State University Long Beach	49ers	80	71	151
6	University of California at San Diego	Tritons 2	67	96	163
7	University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 4	83	82	165
8	University of Southern California	Trojans 2	97	105	202
9	University of Southern California	Trojans 1	88	115	203
10	University of Southern California	Trojans 3	121	141	262
11	University of California at Berkeley	Golden Bears 1	132	134	266
12	University of California at San Diego	Tritons 1	158	144	302
13	University of California at Los Angeles	Bruins 1	202	116	318
14	University of California at Berkeley	Golden Bears 2	125	194	319
15	California State University Monterey Bay	Otters	171	156	327
16	University of California at Davis	Aggies	147	199	346
17	University of California at Irvine	Anteaters	202	158	360
18	University of California at Los Angeles	Bruins 2	213	167	380
19	Arizona State University	Sun Devil's 1	209	232	441
20	University of California at Los Angeles	Bruins 3	229	229	458
21	Arizona State University	Sun Devil's 2	219	243	462

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	TOT	Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 1	1	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	2	3	8	1	24	Ian Stokes '16 Natalie Davidson '16
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 2	4	3	4	DSQ	2	2	2	2	1	2	1	4	49	Stephen Long '17 Kristina Miller '17
University of California at San Diego	Tritons 2	2	8	5	8	10	4	3	6	9	8	2	2	67	Brett Farrell '17 Hannah Alford '17
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 3	3	5	12	6	3	11	7	7	4	7	3	5	73	Olivia Godfrey '17 Gregory Coumes '17
California State University Long Beach	49ers	11	6	1	5	12	5	8	3	3	1	13	12	80	Sunny Scarbrough '17 [1-7] Mark Ryan '15 [8-12] Sarah Costa '15 [1-7] Gloria Haddad '15 [8-12]
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 4	6	10	7	2	9	8	4	5	8	9	12	3	83	Remy Margerum '17 [1-12] Kevin Leddy '17 [1-10] Jordan Shelby '17 [11-12]
University of California at Berkeley	Golden Bears 3	14	7	6	9	4	3	5	11	7	4	9	8	87	Ian Markowitz '17 Jan Tore Horn '15
University of Southern California	Trojans 1	9	1	13	4	5	6	10	8	5	11	7	9	88	John Coakley '16 [1-12] Antonia Hockmann '17 [1-6] Veda Vuligonda '16 [7-12]
University of Southern California	Trojans 2	5	4	3	3	8	7	6	4	10	18	15	14	97	Kendall Sanson '15 Nicole Bosetti '15
University of Southern California	Trojans 3	7	9	14	10	13	13	14	14	11	5	4	7	121	Taylor Dupont '17 James Morris '15
University of California at Berkeley	Golden Bears 2	16	11	11	14	6	12	12	9	6	12	5	11	125	Dylan Skeffington '14 Charlotte Blondel '13
University of California at Berkeley	Golden Bears 1	18	15	10	7	11	10	9	12	18	6	10	6	132	Jacob Hiew '15 Lauren Stefanowski '17
University of California at Davis	Aggies	17	16	8	12	7	14	11	13	15	10	14	10	147	Lucas Murray '15 Daniel Baldassare '15
University of California at San Diego	Tritons 1	10	12	9	13	16	9	OCS	15	14	19	6	13	158	Nicolas Delfino '16 Cheyenne Wright '16
California State University Monterey Bay	Otters	12	13	18	16	15	15	13	10	16	17	11	15	171	Parker Smith '17 [1-7] Lauren Orloff '16 [8-12] Olivia Gibbons '17 [1-7]
University of California at Los Angeles	Bruins 1	15	17	16	11	17	20	15	18	17	21	18	17	202	Sarah Wyman '17 [1-12] Elizabeth Hays '17 [1-7] Anoop Galivanche '16 [8-12]
University of California at Irvine	Anteaters	21	18	15	17	14	16	DNF	16	12	16	16	19	202	Ellen Suder '16 [1-7] Daniel Diaz '15 [8-12] James Heller '15 [1-7]
Arizona State University	Sun Devil's 1	13	14	20	20	20	18	17	19	13	20	17	18	209	Conor Mcgee '17 Shaun Murray '17
University of California at Los Angeles	Bruins 2	8	21	19	15	18	17	19	21	21	13	20	21	213	Kevin Chao '14 [1-2] John Beutter '17 [3-4] Andrew Cross '15 [5-12] Kimberly Alcorn '15 [1-7] Kevin Chao '14 [8-12]
Arizona State University	Sun Devil's 2	20	19	17	18	19	19	16	17	20	15	19	20	219	Ryan Olehausen '13 Joseph Elvig '17
University of California at Los Angeles	Bruins 3	19	20	21	19	21	21	18	20	19	14	21	16	229	Jonas Sota '15 [1-12] Brenna Hensley '17 [1-2] Kylie Sullivan '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12] Gabrielle Robertson '16 [5-6] Sara Stratte '16 [9-10]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	R8	R9	R10	R11	R12	TOT	Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 1	6	2	3	1	2	5	1	1	2	2	2	1	28	Grant Rickon '16 Ginger Luckey '16
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 2	2	1	1	7	7	2	4	2	4	1	3	3	37	Cobi Allen '16 Marina Fennell '17
University of California at Berkeley	Golden Bears 3	1	8	8	4	1	1	3	3	1	12	9	7	58	Eric Witte '17 Zachary Brown '17
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 3	7	3	13	2	6	4	11	4	8	3	4	5	70	Joseph Schiff '17 Paige Tripp '17
California State University Long Beach	49ers	9	14	9	3	4	3	10	6	5	5	1	2	71	Tyler Webb '15 [1-12] Anna Rubino '16 [1-7] Lauren Urrea '16 [8-12]
University of California at Santa Barbara	Gauchos 4	4	6	4	10	9	7	12	8	3	4	7	8	82	Lucas Ryder '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Hayden Christensen '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12] Alexandra Levine '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Ellen Gable '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of California at San Diego	Tritons 2	11	4	6	5	8	15	5	5	10	10	11	6	96	Calum Finlayson '17 Elsa Felgar '16
University of Southern California	Trojans 2	13	10	11	6	3	14	2	11	7	8	10	10	105	Hollis Barth '16 Caroline Carney '16
University of Southern California	Trojans 1	3	9	12	15	12	12	7	7	12	9	5	12	115	Brandon Yuen '14 [1-12] Tianyue Huang '16 [1-6] Aditya Radhakrishna '17 [7-12]
University of California at Los Angeles	Bruins 1	5	5	2	16	10	8	18	17	6	7	13	9	116	Ana Leticia Ma '14 [1-2] Daniel Allen '15 [3-4, 7-8] James Brazil '15 [5-6] Naveed Ziari '16 [9-12] Justina Leo '15 [1-2] Naveed Ziari '16 [3-4] Jordan Ross '15 [5-6, 9-12] Rahul Iyengar '17 [7-8]
University of California at Berkeley	Golden Bears 1	17	12	10	12	5	16	9	12	13	16	8	4	134	Jennifer Hays '17 Delaney Evans '17
University of Southern California	Trojans 3	8	7	7	14	13	11	16	13	17	15	6	14	141	Avery Regen '16 Miranda Yearous '17
University of California at San Diego	Tritons 1	16	16	14	8	11	9	6	9	9	17	16	13	144	Brett Farrell '17 Oliver Kelton '17
California State University Monterey Bay	Otters	10	13	5	11	19	18	8	10	11	14	19	18	156	Isabella Perris Berggren '17 [1-7] Claudia Marino '17 [8-12] Levi Matsushima '17 [1-7]
University of California at Irvine	Anteaters	12	15	16	9	15	10	14	14	15	11	12	15	158	Kathryn Benight '15 [1-7] Paul Traverso '15 [8-12] Finnian Sheehan '16 [1-7] Shan Wu '15 [8-12]
University of California at Los Angeles	Bruins 2	14	11	15	17	14	6	13	15	16	13	17	16	167	Carissa Chan '17 [1-2] Marlene Uribe '14 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12] Anoop Galivanche '16 [5-6] Taylor Bacon '15 [9-10] Kylie Sullivan '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Justina Leo '15 [3-4] Andrew Cross '15 [7-8] Brenna Hensley '17 [11-12]
University of California at Berkeley	Golden Bears 2	20	19	20	13	16	13	15	16	18	19	14	11	194	Ted Chavkin '14 Samantha Marsland '15
University of California at Davis	Aggies	18	18	18	21	17	17	19	19	14	6	15	17	199	Jessica Brown '14 Alexandra Labouff '15
University of California at Los Angeles	Bruins 3	15	17	19	20	18	19	20	18	20	21	21	21	229	Robert Loughnan '15 [1-12] Ashley Ko '16 [1-4] Marlene Uribe '14 [5-6] Muhammed Khan '16 [7-8] Yi Yuan '15 [9-12]
Arizona State University	Sun Devil's 1	19	20	17	18	DNF	DNS	17	20	19	18	20	20	232	Anthony Betz '17 [1-12] Kristin Enzenauer '17 [1-7] Eric Williams '17 [8-12]
Arizona State University	Sun Devil's 2	21	21	21	19	20	20	21	DNS	21	20	18	19	243	Kylie Jenkins '16 [1-12] Elena Sacco '17 [1-7] Eric Williams '17 [8-12]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.180+0.18

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A	8A	9A	10A	11A	12A
Arizona State University Sun Devil's 1	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39
Arizona State University Sun Devil's 2	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140
University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1	241	241	241	241	241	241	241	241	241	241	241	241
University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2	123	123	123	123	123	123	123	123	123	123	123	123
University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 3	24	24	24	24	24	24	24	24	24	24	24	24
California State University Long Beach 49ers	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
California State University Monterey Bay Otters	42	42	42	42	42	42	42	42	42	42	42	42
University of Southern California Trojans 1	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37
University of Southern California Trojans 2	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38
University of Southern California Trojans 3	371	371	371	371	371	371	371	371	371	371	371	371
University of California at Davis Aggies	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47
University of California at Irvine Anteaters	25	25	25	25	25	25	25	25	25	25	25	25
University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2	221	221	221	221	221	221	221	221	221	221	221	221
University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
University of California at San Diego Tritons 1	293	293	293	293	293	293	293	293	293	293	293	293
University of California at San Diego Tritons 2	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3	131	131	131	131	131	131	131	131	131	131	131	131
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B	8B	9B	10B	11B	12B
Arizona State University Sun Devil's 1	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39	39
Arizona State University Sun Devil's 2	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140	140
University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 1	241	241	241	241	241	241	241	241	241	241	241	241
University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 2	123	123	123	123	123	123	123	123	123	123	123	123
University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 3	24	24	24	24	24	24	24	24	24	24	24	24
California State University Long Beach 49ers	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7
California State University Monterey Bay Otters	42	42	42	42	42	42	42	42	42	42	42	42
University of Southern California Trojans 1	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37	37
University of Southern California Trojans 2	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38	38
University of Southern California Trojans 3	371	371	371	371	371	371	371	371	371	371	371	371
University of California at Davis Aggies	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47	47
University of California at Irvine Anteaters	25	25	25	25	25	25	25	25	25	25	25	25
University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5
University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2	221	221	221	221	221	221	221	221	221	221	221	221
University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3
University of California at San Diego Tritons 1	293	293	293	293	293	293	293	293	293	293	293	293
University of California at San Diego Tritons 2	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129	129
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31	31
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32	32
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3	131	131	131	131	131	131	131	131	131	131	131	131
University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291	291

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Arizona State University	Conor Mcgee '17	Shaun Murray '17
Sun Devil's 1	Anthony Betz '17 [1-12]	Kristin Enzenauer '17 [1-7] Eric Williams '17 [8-12]
Arizona State University	Ryan Olehausen '13	Joseph Elvig '17
Sun Devil's 2	Kylie Jenkins '16 [1-12]	Elena Sacco '17 [1-7] Eric Williams '17 [8-12]
California State University Long Beach	Sunny Scarbrough '17 [1-7] Mark Ryan '15 [8-12]	Sarah Costa '15 [1-7] Gloria Haddad '15 [8-12]
49ers	Tyler Webb '15 [1-12]	Anna Rubino '16 [1-7] Lauren Urrea '16 [8-12]
California State University Monterey Bay	Parker Smith '17 [1-7] Lauren Orloff '16 [8-12]	Olivia Gibbons '17 [1-7]
Otters	Isabella Perris Berggren '17 [1-7] Claudia Marino '17 [8-12]	Levi Matsushima '17 [1-7]
University of California at Berkeley	Jacob Hiew '15	Lauren Stefanowski '17
Golden Bears 1	Jennifer Hays '17	Delaney Evans '17
University of California at Berkeley	Dylan Skeffington '14	Charlotte Blondel '13
Golden Bears 2	Ted Chavkin '14	Samantha Marsland '15
University of California at Berkeley	Ian Markowitz '17	Jan Tore Horn '15
Golden Bears 3	Eric Witte '17	Zachary Brown '17
University of California at Davis	Lucas Murray '15	Daniel Baldassare '15
Aggies	Jessica Brown '14	Alexandra Labouff '15
University of California at Irvine	Ellen Suder '16 [1-7] Daniel Diaz '15 [8-12]	James Heller '15 [1-7]
Anteaters	Kathryn Benight '15 [1-7] Paul Traverso '15 [8-12]	Finnian Sheehan '16 [1-7] Shan Wu '15 [8-12]
University of California at Los Angeles	Sarah Wyman '17 [1-12]	Elizabeth Hays '17 [1-7] Anoop Galivanche '16 [8-12]
Bruins 1	Ana Leticia Ma '14 [1-2] Daniel Allen '15 [3-4, 7-8] James Brazil '15 [5-6] Naveed Ziari '16 [9-12]	Justina Leo '15 [1-2] Naveed Ziari '16 [3-4] Jordan Ross '15 [5-6, 9-12] Rahul Iyengar '17 [7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles	Kevin Chao '14 [1-2] John Beutter '17 [3-4] Andrew Cross '15 [5-12]	Kimberly Alcorn '15 [1-7] Kevin Chao '14 [8-12]
Bruins 2	Carissa Chan '17 [1-2] Marlene Uribe '14 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12] Anoop Galivanche '16 [5-6] Taylor Bacon '15 [9-10]	Kylie Sullivan '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Justina Leo '15 [3-4] Andrew Cross '15 [7-8] Brenna Hensley '17 [11-12]
University of California at Los Angeles	Jonas Sota '15 [1-12]	Brenna Hensley '17 [1-2] Kylie Sullivan '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12] Gabrielle Robertson '16 [5-6] Sara Stratte '16 [9-10]
Bruins 3	Robert Loughnan '15 [1-12]	Ashley Ko '16 [1-4] Marlene Uribe '14 [5-6] Muhammed Khan '16 [7-8] Yi Yuan '15 [9-12]
University of California at San Diego	Nicolas Delfino '16	Cheyenne Wright '16
Tritons 1	Brett Farrell '17	Oliver Kelton '17
University of California at San Diego	Brett Farrell '17	Hannah Alford '17
Tritons 2	Calum Finlayson '17	Elsa Felgar '16
University of California at Santa Barbara	Ian Stokes '16	Natalie Davidson '16
Gauchos 1	Grant Rickon '16	Ginger Luckey '16
University of California at Santa Barbara	Stephen Long '17	Kristina Miller '17
Gauchos 2	Cobi Allen '16	Marina Fennell '17
University of California at Santa Barbara	Olivia Godfrey '17	Gregory Coumes '17
Gauchos 3	Joseph Schiff '17	Paige Tripp '17
University of California at Santa Barbara	Remy Margerum '17 [1-12]	Kevin Leddy '17 [1-10] Jordan Shelby '17 [11-12]
Gauchos 4	Lucas Ryder '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Hayden Christensen '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]	Alexandra Levine '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10] Ellen Gable '17 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of Southern California	John Coakley '16 [1-12]	Antonia Hockmann '17 [1-6] Veda Vuligonda '16 [7-12]
Trojans 1	Brandon Yuen '14 [1-12]	Tianyue Huang '16 [1-6] Aditya Radhakrishna '17 [7-12]
University of Southern California	Kendall Sanson '15	Nicole Bosetti '15
Trojans 2	Hollis Barth '16	Caroline Carney '16
University of Southern California	Taylor Dupont '17	James Morris '15
Trojans 3	Avery Regen '16	Miranda Yearous '17

Conditions — 10/05/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky

Humidity 21% · Pressure 1017.7 hPa

Temperature

78°F

↑ 85°F ↓ 58°F

Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from ▲ toward

4.5 kn

avg · max 8.7 kn

Gusts to 11.9 kn

From NW (316°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity21% Pressure1017.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn · W 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)

In this breeze at UC San Diego: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)

Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.

Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01

Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC San Diego by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at UC San Diego).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

Navigate

Menu