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Harvard Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 8 31 39
2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 22 22 44
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 33 11 44
4 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 22 22 44
5 Harvard University Harvard University Cantabs 32 23 55
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 26 29 55
7 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 53 38 91
8 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 35 59 94
9 Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Holy Cross 47 61 108
10 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 57 52 109
11 Williams College Williams College Ephs 67 48 115
12 Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 67 72 139
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 1 1 1 2 1 8 Matthew Mollerus '17
Emma Wheeler '17
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 2 6 4 7 2 22 William Livernois '16
Christina Wettersten '15
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 3 5 5 1 3 22 Christian Houston-Floyd '16
Paige Speight '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 7 4 2 3 6 4 26 Matteo Alampi '17
Laura Tschiegg '17
Harvard University Harvard University Cantabs 6 6 4 2 8 6 32 Matthew Clarida '16
Victor Kamenker '17
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 7 8 7 3 5 33 Solomon Krevans '14
Chrisanthe Salemis '16
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 4 5 3 8 5 10 35 Lewis Fowler-Gerace '15
Frances Williams '14
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Holy Cross 9 8 7 6 9 8 47 Briana Travers '17
Katherine Mccarthy '13
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers DNS 9 9 9 4 9 53 Meghan Colwell '16
Parker Peltzer '17
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 8 10 10 10 12 7 57 Vicky Zeamer '15
Kelley Haverstock '14
Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 10 11 12 11 11 12 67 Matthew Peter '14
Jared Reineck '17
Williams College Williams College Ephs 11 12 11 12 10 11 67 Conor Mook '16
Alex Paseltiner '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 2 1 1 2 2 11 Margaret Bacon '14
Kathleen Kwasniak '14
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 1 6 6 3 5 22 Cali Warner '16
Victoria Stivanello '16
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 4 7 4 4 1 22 Philip Koch '16
Emily Kushner Salitan '16
Harvard University Harvard University Cantabs 6 3 5 5 1 3 23 William Bloxham '17
Adam Brodheim '16
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 6 3 2 5 8 29 Victoria Mcgruer '17
Elizabeth Sczerzenie '15
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 4 7 2 3 6 9 31 Julia Lord '17 [1-2, 5]
Bennett Capozzi '17 [3-4, 6]
Bennett Capozzi '17 [1-2, 5]
Julia Lord '17 [3-4, 6]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 7 5 4 9 7 6 38 Peter Kerby-Miller '17
Jade Forsberg '17
Williams College Williams College Ephs 10 8 11 7 8 4 48 William Gomez '16
Abigail Dalzell '16
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 9 10 9 8 9 7 52 Alexa Lee '15
Christopher Mark '14
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 8 9 10 10 11 11 59 Earl Lin '15
Rachel Kurlander '16
Holy Cross College Holy Cross College Holy Cross 11 11 8 11 10 10 61 Robert Bueti '15
Joe Dalton '15
Colleges of the Fenway Colleges of the Fenway Fenway 12 12 12 12 12 12 72 John Zupkud '16
Josh Mandelbaum '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (43 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears14142233
Colleges of the FenwayColleges of the Fenway Fenway223344
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Cantabs447799
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson334477
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Holy Cross77991111
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers9911111212
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers111112121515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies121215151616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos151516161717
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue161617171818
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals171718181414
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1818141422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears111112121515
Colleges of the FenwayColleges of the Fenway Fenway121215151616
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Cantabs161617171818
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson151516161717
Holy Cross CollegeHoly Cross College Holy Cross171718181414
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers1818141422
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers14142233
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies223344
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos334477
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue447799
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals77991111
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs9911111212

Conditions — 09/15/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1019.9 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 12.6 kn
From WSW (243°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover44% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1019.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Harvard: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →