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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 23 10 33
2 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 27 18 45
3 University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 32 19 51
4 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 14 43 57
5 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 27 32 59
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 26 41 67
7 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 50 24 74
8 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 27 50 77
9 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 50 38 88
10 University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers 56 58 114
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 5 3 1 1 1 3 14 Lily Grimshaw '15
Molly Utter '14
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 1 3 6 5 6 23 Karl Haelsig '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Sam Parish '15 [3-4]
Sarah Redmond '15 [1-2, 5-6]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 1 4 7 3 7 4 26 Paul Foley '15
Alexander Halliday '16
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 5 4 7 3 5 27 Brian Hickman '15
Cragan Smith '14
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 4 6 5 8 2 2 27 Lea Fetterman '17
Jasmine Gerraty '17
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 8 2 2 2 6 7 27 Hanno Kite-Powell '17
Gregory Woollgar '17
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 6 9 8 4 4 1 32 David Berry '16
Jacqui Martindale '17
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 7 7 10 9 8 9 50 Eliza Pearce '15 [1-6]
Nate Silverglate '17 [1-2, 5-6]
Joseph Albertine '15 [3-4]
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 9 8 6 10 9 8 50 Brianne Busey '14
Alyssa Staples '14
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers DNS DNS 9 5 10 10 56 Emma Franz '15
Hannah Schneider-Lynch '11
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 3 2 1 2 1 10 Kris Thompson '16
Caylin Cordray '13
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 6 1 4 2 3 2 18 Josef Schwan '16
Minna Schwan '15
University of Victoria University of Victoria Thunder 3 8 1 3 1 3 19 Reid Cannon '15
Sarah Berry '15
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 2 4 3 6 4 5 24 Charlie Shoemaker '16
Quanah Green '17
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 8 2 5 5 8 4 32 Austin Sandifer '16 [1-6]
Aike Burger '16 [1-4]
Alexander Muschler '16 [5-6]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 7 6 7 4 6 8 38 Ryan Fritsen '14 [1-2, 5-6]
Stephen Moran '16 [3-4]
Chelsea Sussman '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Heather Calvert '15 [3-4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 9 5 9 7 5 6 41 Jake Fetterman '15 [1-6]
Hope Odendahl '16 [1-2]
Kalli Light '17 [3-6]
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 4 9 6 10 7 7 43 Kate Flanagan '17
Cory Baranski '16
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 5 7 DNS 8 10 9 50 Rachael Mccrady '14
Emily Levalley '16
University of Puget Sound University of Puget Sound Loggers DNS DNS 8 9 9 10 58 Lauren Engstrom '16
Elisabeth Dornisch '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds8873737575
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks737375757878
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers757578788181
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings787881818282
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers838387878888
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder8484887373
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818182828383
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women828283838787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1878788888484
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 28888848488

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds8873737575
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks737375757878
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers757578788181
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings787881818282
University of Puget SoundUniversity of Puget Sound Loggers838387878888
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Thunder8484887373
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818182828383
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women828283838787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1878788888484
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 28888848488

Conditions — 11/02/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1005.8 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From WNW (283°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover40% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1005.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 20 kn · S 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Washington: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.11)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.61 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →