Commonwealth Invitational

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 26 23 49
2 Boston University Boston University Terriers 51 24 75
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 31 46 77
4 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 60 27 87
5 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 39 50 89
6 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 49 70 119
7 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 58 62 120
8 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 92 61 153
9 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 73 88 161
10 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 74 99 173
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 5 1 1 3 3 2 5 3 2 26 John Rolander '17 [1-6]
Casey Gowrie '16 [7-10]
Natalie Danziger '17 [1-6]
Sadie Woolf '17 [7-10]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 3 8 7 2 1 1 3 3 2 1 31 Kurran Singh '19
Abigail Duclos '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 7 2 8 3 2 4 1 1 5 6 39 Jeffrey Adam '18
Jamie Hayes '18
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 2 6 2 6 4 7 5 6 7 4 49 Kelsey Delosh '17
Hanna Desilets '17
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 1 3 5 8 2 9 7 9 3 51 Joseph Benoit '16 [1-6]
Solomon Tarlin '17 [7-10]
Madison Sparber '17 [1-6]
Jonathan Dicesare '18 [7-10]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 5 3 5 DSQ 5 5 4 9 4 5 58 Hã©Lã¨Ne Osterman '17
Hã©Lã¨Ne Osterman '17
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 8 7 4 4 6 6 7 4 6 8 60 George Luber '17
Gregory Hollstein '18
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 6 4 6 7 9 8 8 8 8 9 73 Brendan Sleight '17
Kendall Young '17
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 10 10 10 8 10 10 6 2 1 7 74 Christine Reighley '15
Jon Aker '18
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 9 9 9 9 7 9 10 10 10 10 92 Ryan Lovering '18
John Tersoni '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 4 1 2 2 4 1 3 1 4 23 Alexander Tong '17 [1-4]
Molly Pleskus '18 [5-10]
Lara Dienemann '18 [1-4]
Lucy Zwigard '18 [5-10]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 3 4 5 1 1 2 1 3 1 24 Simon Bertocci '16 [1-4]
Samuel Campbell '17 [5-10]
Danielle Stonely '17 [1-4]
Nicole Lukas '18 [5-10]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 2 1 2 1 3 5 6 2 2 3 27 Karl Ryder '16
Scott Ledoux '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 5 3 3 7 2 9 4 4 5 46 Madeleine Whittier '19 [1-4]
William Manning '18 [5-10]
John Hughes '18 [1-4]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 5 6 6 4 5 8 3 5 6 2 50 Alexander Calderwood '18
Paige Mentuck '18
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 8 9 5 6 4 3 4 7 7 8 61 Nathaniel Douglass '18
Joe Manduca '18
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 7 2 9 7 8 6 5 6 5 7 62 Francis Guiton '16
Jessica Horne '17
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 6 7 7 8 6 7 7 8 8 6 70 Kelsey Martins '16
Jennifer Moore '16
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 9 8 8 9 9 9 8 9 10 9 88 Carl Noble '17 [1-6]
Molly Ohman '15 [7-10]
Emily Peabody '16 [1-6]
Lia Windt '16 [7-10]
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 10 99 Regan Yeung '16 [1-2, 5-10]
Andrew Snodgrass '17 [3-4]
Sean Kiely '18 [1-2]
Daniel Gibbs '18 [3-4]
Steph Chidelle '18 [5-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons1133557799
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers224466881010
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners3355779911
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1446688101022
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 25577991133
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds668810102244
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats101022446688
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies7799113355
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos881010224466
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs9911335577

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons224466881010
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers3355779911
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners446688101022
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 15577991133
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2668810102244
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds7799113355
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1133557799
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies881010224466
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos9911335577
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs101022446688
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bentley University Bentley University Christine Reighley '15 Jon Aker '18
Falcons Regan Yeung '16 [1-2, 5-10]
Andrew Snodgrass '17 [3-4]
Sean Kiely '18 [1-2]
Daniel Gibbs '18 [3-4]
Steph Chidelle '18 [5-10]
Boston University Boston University Joseph Benoit '16 [1-6]
Solomon Tarlin '17 [7-10]
Madison Sparber '17 [1-6]
Jonathan Dicesare '18 [7-10]
Terriers Simon Bertocci '16 [1-4]
Samuel Campbell '17 [5-10]
Danielle Stonely '17 [1-4]
Nicole Lukas '18 [5-10]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Ryan Lovering '18 John Tersoni '17
Mariners Nathaniel Douglass '18 Joe Manduca '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Jeffrey Adam '18 Jamie Hayes '18
Buccaneers 1 Alexander Calderwood '18 Paige Mentuck '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy George Luber '17 Gregory Hollstein '18
Buccaneers 2 Karl Ryder '16 Scott Ledoux '18
McGill University McGill University Hã©Lã¨Ne Osterman '17 Hã©Lã¨Ne Osterman '17
Redbirds Francis Guiton '16 Jessica Horne '17
Northeastern University Northeastern University Kurran Singh '19 Abigail Duclos '18
Huskies Madeleine Whittier '19 [1-4]
William Manning '18 [5-10]
John Hughes '18 [1-4]
Tufts University Tufts University John Rolander '17 [1-6]
Casey Gowrie '16 [7-10]
Natalie Danziger '17 [1-6]
Sadie Woolf '17 [7-10]
Jumbos Alexander Tong '17 [1-4]
Molly Pleskus '18 [5-10]
Lara Dienemann '18 [1-4]
Lucy Zwigard '18 [5-10]
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Kelsey Delosh '17 Hanna Desilets '17
Corsairs Kelsey Martins '16 Jennifer Moore '16
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Brendan Sleight '17 Kendall Young '17
Wildcats Carl Noble '17 [1-6]
Molly Ohman '15 [7-10]
Emily Peabody '16 [1-6]
Lia Windt '16 [7-10]

Conditions — 09/27/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 66%  ·  Pressure 1021.5 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.3 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 10.9 kn
From NW (320°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity66% Pressure1021.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 7 kn · S 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →