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Central Series One

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 91
2 Boston University Boston University Terriers 140
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 146
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 166
5 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 172
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 188
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 196
8 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 261
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson B 5 2 6 4 2 1 9 1 1 10 41 Jackson Wagner '19
Olivia Kjorlien '17
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson A 3 9 3 6 3 7 8 4 6 1 50 Nick Digiovanni '19 [1-10]
Divya Arya '19 [1-4]
Cara Kennedy Cuomo '17 [5-10]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 6 8 8 2 9 3 2 3 2 8 51 Peter Christensen '18
Lindsay Martinez '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 B 7 4 13 5 1 2 1 2 4 13 52 Aaron Klein '18
Lucy Robison '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 2 5 2 11 6 12 3 12 9 3 65 Robby Gearon '19 [1-10]
Lexi Pline '19 [1-4]
Sydney Cairns '19 [5-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 B 1 1 1 1 10 14 15 13 11 4 71 James Beatty '17 [1-4]
Emma Haley '19 [5-10]
Taylor Hart '19 [1-4]
Sabina Van Mell '19 [5-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 16 3 11 7 4 5 5 9 8 6 74 John Gieseke '18
Ian Martin '18
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 4 10 7 15 5 6 10 6 5 7 75 Emily Croteau '19
Hannah Davis '19
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 B 13 12 5 14 12 9 4 7 3 5 84 John Duncan '19 [1-4]
Jackson Mccoy '19 [5-10]
Andrew Savage '19 [1-4]
Kahler Newsham '19 [5-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 A 9 7 16 8 8 4 7 14 10 11 94 Tyler Paige '18
Ryan Epprecht '18
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 15 11 9 9 7 8 13 5 12 9 98 Patrick Isherwood '17
Ellis Havelock '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 A 11 13 14 10 14 11 14 10 13 2 112 Taylor Fasolo '18 [1-4]
Nicholas Giacobbe '19 [5-10]
Bobby Mclaughlin '17 [1-4]
Isabelle Sennett '17 [5-10]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 10 16 4 13 11 10 6 15 14 15 114 James Amaral '19
Luke Violette '18
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 12 14 12 12 13 13 12 8 7 12 115 Evan Gregory '16
Claire Lockard '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 A 8 6 10 3 16 16 16 11 15 16 117 Rolfe Glover '16 [1-4]
Steven Honig '19 [5-10]
Margaret Veltri '20 [1-4]
Anna Robling '19 [5-6]
Bubakar Bah '19 [7-10]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 14 15 15 16 15 15 11 16 16 14 147 Judas Taylor '18
Jamison Cwiak '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1122445566
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson2211181817171616
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats8899101011111212
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies4455667788
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams9988776655
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1554422111818
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2667788991010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 37766554422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers10101111121213131414
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson11111010998877
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats17171818112244
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies12121313141416161717
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams18181717161614141313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1131312121111101099
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2141416161717181811
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 316161414131312121111

Conditions — 09/12/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1010.8 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.0 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From ESE (109°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover81% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1010.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 4 kn · E 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tufts: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tufts by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (60 labelled days at Tufts).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →