Navigate

Timme Angsten

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Washington University Washington University Bears 25 9 34
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 45 33 78
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Honey Badgers 41 41 82
4 Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 52 71 123
5 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 86 40 126
6 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 57 72 129
7 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 32 102 134
8 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 71 64 135
9 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 80 58 138
10 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 92 59 151
11 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 86 71 157
12 University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 104 92 196
13 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 88 120 208
14 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 116 126 242
15 University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 132 MRP 145 MRP 277 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Washington University Washington University Bears 1 6 5 1 1 1 5 3 2 25 James Harvey '17
Rachel Westrate '16
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 4 7 1 3 3 3 3 4 4 32 Noah Rosenthal '18
Kelly Logacho '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Honey Badgers 3 3 3 6 2 6 1 5 12 41 Amelia Shankwitz '17
Korina Hendricks '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 8 2 2 7 4 5 8 1 8 45 Soren Walljasper '17
Caya Mcfalls '16
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 2 4 6 5 5 4 9 10 7 52 Ian Schappe '16 [1-9]
Laura Woldt '18 [1-2, 5-9]
Celia Woldt '18 [3-4]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 9 9 4 8 6 2 4 6 9 57 Ryan Clulo '18 [1-9]
Robert Michielutti '18 [1-6]
Gabriel Thalji '19 [7-8]
Connor Skelton '19 [9]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 11 1 10 10 8 12 6 8 5 71 Rachel Rantanen '19
Miranda Madden '19
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 6 8 13 4 10 9 12 12 6 80 Libby Reeg '17 [1-9]
Caroline Ritter '18 [1-6]
Mason Hunt '18 [7-9]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 5 10 RAF RAF RAF RAF 2 2 3 86 Mason Wolters '18 [1-9]
Jason Liu '19 [1-2, 7-9]
Michael Gapuz '18 [3-6]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 7 5 7 13 13 10 13 7 11 86 Isabella Hamilton '17 [1-4]
Michael Valverde '18 [5-9]
John O'Leary '16 [1-4]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 15 15 12 2 11 14 7 11 1 88 William Norris '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Melinda Lee '16 [5-6, 9]
No Show [1-4, 7-8]
Diana Perez '17 [5-6, 9]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 14 12 8 9 7 8 11 13 10 92 David Aspery '16 [1-9]
Luke Lecoche '18 [1-8]
Amy Cilensek '16 [9]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 12 13 9 11 14 13 10 9 13 104 Andre Deriaz '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Anthony Tieso '17 [5-6, 9]
Anthony Tieso '17 [1-4]
Jordyn Noennig '17 [5-9]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 13 14 14 14 12 7 14 14 14 116 Geoffrey Owens '18 [1-9]
Alexander Slajus '17 [1-6]
Chuan Yin '18 [7-9]
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 10 11 11 12 9 11 DNS DNS DNS 132 MRP No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Washington University Washington University Bears 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 Nathan Ross '18
Clare Zhang '19
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 11 2 4 3 3 2 2 4 2 33 Charlie Kutschenreuter '19
Tate Castro '17
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 9 6 5 2 6 4 2 3 40 Alexandra Anderson '16
Michael Gapuz '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Honey Badgers 2 11 2 2 4 3 7 5 5 41 Katherine Zimmerman '18
Emily Anaya '18
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 4 7 11 12 7 4 3 3 7 58 Evan Rodgers '16 [1-9]
Mason Hunt '18 [1-4]
Caroline Ritter '18 [5-9]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 7 5 3 6 9 5 5 10 9 59 William Lewis '17
Emily Robinson '16
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 5 4 8 10 8 7 9 7 6 64 Max Vinocur '18
Alexandria Zimmerman '19
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 8 6 9 7 11 9 11 6 4 71 Eric Villadsen '17
Cailin Oakes '18
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Foresters 10 10 7 9 5 8 6 8 8 71 Charles Koules '17
Paul Dunham '17
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 9 8 5 4 6 10 8 12 10 72 Mason Chrabaszcz '18 [1-6]
Learon Mcginn '19 [7-9]
Patrick Barry '17 [1-6]
Michael Carpenter '19 [7-9]
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers 6 3 14 11 10 11 14 11 12 92 Zachary Aasen '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Noah Vodisek '17 [3-4, 7-9]
Susie Voltz '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 14 14 10 8 14 12 10 9 11 102 Susan Riley '17
Lincoln Oliver-O'Neil '16
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 15 12 15 15 12 13 12 13 13 120 Paul Detrempe '18 [1-6]
Bryan Wong '19 [7-9]
Joseph Turano '17 [1-6]
No Show [7-9]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 13 15 13 14 15 15 13 14 14 126 Connor Lynch '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Kevin Zen '17 [3-4]
David Millstein '18 [7-9]
Chuan Yin '18 [1-6]
Haozhe Shan '17 [7-9]
University of Kansas University of Kansas Jayhawks 12 13 12 13 13 14 DNS DNS DNS 145 MRP No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons77991111131321
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen113355779
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini881010202014142
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks991111131321211
Lake Forest CollegeLake Forest College Foresters2244668810
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles3355779911
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines101012121414224
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans446688101020
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers111113132121113
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats557799111113
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes66881010121214
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers14142244668
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears21211133557
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers2020141422446
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Honey Badgers1313212111335

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons881010202014142
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen2244668810
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini991111131321211
University of KansasUniversity of Kansas Jayhawks101020201414224
Lake Forest CollegeLake Forest College Foresters3355779911
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles446688101020
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines111113132121113
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans557799111113
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers2020141422446
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats66881010202014
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes77991111131321
University of Wisconsin MilwaukeeUniversity of Wisconsin Milwaukee Panthers21211133557
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears113355779
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers1313212111335
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Honey Badgers14142244668
School / Team SkipperCrew
Hope College Hope College Libby Reeg '17 [1-9] Caroline Ritter '18 [1-6]
Mason Hunt '18 [7-9]
Flying Dutchmen Evan Rodgers '16 [1-9] Mason Hunt '18 [1-4]
Caroline Ritter '18 [5-9]
Lake Forest College Lake Forest College Ian Schappe '16 [1-9] Laura Woldt '18 [1-2, 5-9]
Celia Woldt '18 [3-4]
Foresters Charles Koules '17 Paul Dunham '17
Marquette University Marquette University Ryan Clulo '18 [1-9] Robert Michielutti '18 [1-6]
Gabriel Thalji '19 [7-8]
Connor Skelton '19 [9]
Golden Eagles Mason Chrabaszcz '18 [1-6]
Learon Mcginn '19 [7-9]		 Patrick Barry '17 [1-6]
Michael Carpenter '19 [7-9]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Rachel Rantanen '19 Miranda Madden '19
Spartans Max Vinocur '18 Alexandria Zimmerman '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Noah Rosenthal '18 Kelly Logacho '18
Wildcats Susan Riley '17 Lincoln Oliver-O'Neil '16
Ohio State University Ohio State University David Aspery '16 [1-9] Luke Lecoche '18 [1-8]
Amy Cilensek '16 [9]
Buckeyes William Lewis '17 Emily Robinson '16
University of Chicago University of Chicago Geoffrey Owens '18 [1-9] Alexander Slajus '17 [1-6]
Chuan Yin '18 [7-9]
Maroons Connor Lynch '16 [1-2, 5-6]
Kevin Zen '17 [3-4]
David Millstein '18 [7-9]		 Chuan Yin '18 [1-6]
Haozhe Shan '17 [7-9]
University of Illinois University of Illinois William Norris '16 [1-4, 7-8]
Melinda Lee '16 [5-6, 9]		 No Show [1-4, 7-8]
Diana Perez '17 [5-6, 9]
Illini Paul Detrempe '18 [1-6]
Bryan Wong '19 [7-9]		 Joseph Turano '17 [1-6]
No Show [7-9]
University of Kansas University of Kansas No Show No Show
Jayhawks No Show No Show
University of Michigan University of Michigan Mason Wolters '18 [1-9] Jason Liu '19 [1-2, 7-9]
Michael Gapuz '18 [3-6]
Wolverines Alexandra Anderson '16 Michael Gapuz '18
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Isabella Hamilton '17 [1-4]
Michael Valverde '18 [5-9]		 John O'Leary '16 [1-4]
Gophers Eric Villadsen '17 Cailin Oakes '18
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Soren Walljasper '17 Caya Mcfalls '16
Badgers Charlie Kutschenreuter '19 Tate Castro '17
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Amelia Shankwitz '17 Korina Hendricks '17
Honey Badgers Katherine Zimmerman '18 Emily Anaya '18
University of Wisconsin Milwaukee University of Wisconsin Milwaukee Andre Deriaz '18 [1-4, 7-8]
Anthony Tieso '17 [5-6, 9]		 Anthony Tieso '17 [1-4]
Jordyn Noennig '17 [5-9]
Panthers Zachary Aasen '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Noah Vodisek '17 [3-4, 7-9]		 Susie Voltz '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Washington University Washington University James Harvey '17 Rachel Westrate '16
Bears Nathan Ross '18 Clare Zhang '19

Conditions — 09/26/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1023.6 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.1 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 15.7 kn
From ENE (78°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover39% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1023.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 10 kn · SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northwestern: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.20
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northwestern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Northwestern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →