Great Herring Pond Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 20 12 32
2 Boston University Boston University Terriers 26 18 44
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 24 22 46
4 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 26 28 54
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 35 44 79
6 Mariners Mariners Mariners 63 25 88
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 49 54 103
8 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 31 73 104
9 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 50 66 116
10 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 70 57 127
11 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 68 63 131
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 1 1 3 2 2 7 4 20 Sean Beaulieu '18
Jennifer Ryan '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 2 4 6 5 1 1 24 Zachary Bresnick '21
Katherine Alfond '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 3 8 1 5 1 6 2 26 Frank Reeg '19
Sydney Clays '21
Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 4 2 3 3 4 3 26 Allison Cahn '20
Olivia Cronin-Golomb '20
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 8 3 5 1 4 2 8 31 Ben Brown '18
Casey Astiz '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 2 6 6 4 7 3 7 35 Brian Baker '18
Allison Gilson '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 5 8 7 8 5 5 49 Charlotte Lenz '20
Elena Gonick '20
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 4 9 7 9 6 9 6 50 Nicholas Memoli '20
Peter Lillys '20
Mariners Mariners Mariners 6 10 10 8 9 10 10 63
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 10 7 9 10 10 11 11 68 Isabel Rombult '19
Alix Blair '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 9 11 11 11 11 8 9 70 William Tagliamonte '21 [1-4]
Auguste Pizzano '21 [5-7]
Rachael Mckeown '21 [1-4]
Maya Stephani '20 [5-7]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 2 2 1 1 1 4 1 12 Jennifer Killian '19
Madeline Lark '20
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 1 2 5 2 3 2 18 Charles Honke '20
Megan Blagden '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 5 4 4 4 1 3 22 Caleb Niles '22
Coleen Ross '20
Mariners Mariners Mariners 5 3 5 3 3 2 4 25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 4 4 3 2 5 5 5 28 Alexander Bowen '20
Sergio Gratta '18
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 44 Allison Deluca '21
Emma Sexton '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 7 8 7 7 7 9 54 Matthew Galbraith '21
Alexandra Arsenault '20
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 6 10 7 9 9 9 7 57 Kyle Boucher '21
Maeve Glancy '21
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 7 8 10 10 10 8 10 63 Shannon Mckeown '18
Melanie Muzyka '19
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 11 9 9 8 8 10 11 66 Nicole Owens '19
Rachael Krawiecki '21
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 11 11 11 11 11 8 73 Nick Jaczko '19
Gabrielle Beaulieu '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons1133557
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers221212668
MarinersMariners Mariners33557714
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11212668810
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 25577141411
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers668810101
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies77141411112
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 1881010113
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 2141411112212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos101011335
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs11112212126

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons221212668
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33557714
MarinersMariners Mariners1212668810
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 15577141411
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2668810101
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers77141411112
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies881010113
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 1141411112212
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 2101011335
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos11112212126
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs1133557

Conditions — 10/14/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1023.3 hPa

Temperature

65°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 12.8 kn
From NE (55°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine0.2 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1023.3 hPa Rain0.54 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn* · SW 11 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.29 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →