It's The Crew's Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 19 11 30
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 22 8 30
3 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 18 18 36
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 28 11 39
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 22 20 42
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 11 32 43
7 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 12 33 45
8 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 39 26 65
9 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 38 37 75
10 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 37 39 76
11 Saints Saints Saints 43 41 84
12 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 44 41 85
13 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 44 50 94
14 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 45 54 99
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 1 3 2 11 Ian Light '20
Franco Fróes '20
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 1 2 6 3 12 Elizabeth Obermaier '21
Zoe Lallas '20
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 8 4 2 4 18 Liam Shanahan '18
Frank Egan '18
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 4 6 4 5 19 Megan Laurie '20
Rachael Mckeown '21
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 7 7 6 22 Kelley Phippen '22
Coleen Ross '20
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 DNS 5 1 1 22 Taylor Hart '19
Molly Pleskus '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 13 3 5 7 28 Marley Hillman '21
Grace Materne '20
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 6 8 8 DSQ 37 Abby Smurzynski '21
Wenli Bao '18
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 11 9 9 9 38 Holden Koivu '18
Lara Younh '19
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 3 13 10 13 39 Tara Schwenzfeier '18
Maxwell Miller '21
Saints Saints Saints 10 11 12 10 43
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 9 14 13 8 44 Benjamin Dohan '21
Nathaniel Wiener '18
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 12 10 11 11 44 Madison Joslin '18
Sofia Lombardo '21
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 7 12 14 12 45 Olivia Dube '20
Nicole Plona '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 2 3 2 1 8 Lucy Robison '18
Sabina Van Mell '19
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 2 3 5 11 Maya Stephani '20
Sydney Clays '21
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 5 1 1 4 11 Maria Brush '21
Lindsay Powers '21
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 3 7 6 2 18 Theodore Lynn '18
James Kenney '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 4 4 8 20 Jon Ewing '21
Zachary Bresnick '21
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 7 9 7 3 26 Colby Brennan '20
Lucca Frieri '20
Brown University Brown University Bears 13 8 5 6 32 Julia Kim '18 [1]
Grace Gagnon '18 [2, 4]
Lauren Haller '18 [3]
Grace Gagnon '18 [1]
Julia Kim '18 [2-3]
Lauren Haller '18 [4]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 6 5 RAF 7 33 Julia Cho '20
Isabelle Yen '21
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 9 6 10 12 37 Ayden Watt '20
Livia Kelly '21
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 10 10 8 11 39 Eddie Hou '18
Sabrina Mcdonnell '18
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 8 12 12 9 41 Jeanelle Tsai '21
Robert Kelley '19
Saints Saints Saints 11 11 9 10 41
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 12 14 11 13 50 Zachery Frangman '21
Darian Tilton '19
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 14 13 13 14 54 Timothy Readdean '20
Sarah Parenti '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges1133
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2244
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies11111313
SaintsSaints Saints3355
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers5577
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds6688
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers7799
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers4466
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 112121414
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 2131311
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies881010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1991111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 210101212
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech141422

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges2244
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3355
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies12121414
SaintsSaints Saints4466
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers6688
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds7799
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers881010
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers5577
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 1131311
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 2141422
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies991111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 110101212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 211111313
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech1133

Conditions — 11/05/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1025.5 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 57°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 51°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From SE (124°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine1.8 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1025.5 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northeastern: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.15
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northeastern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at Northeastern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →