PC Invite 2017

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 17 12 29
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 20 10 30
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 17 20 37
4 Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 15 32 47
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 33 18 51
6 Redbirds Redbirds Redbirds 34 19 53
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 21 39 60
8 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 45 33 78
9 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 33 52 85
10 Providence College Providence College Friars 43 46 89
11 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 55 53 108
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 2 3 3 4 3 15 Thomas Pluchino '18
Caoilinn Boyle '20
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 8 1 1 6 17 Ben Palmer '22
Kelley Phippen '22
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 2 9 2 1 17 James Amaral '19
Kendolyn Roe '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 4 7 2 3 4 20 Bridget Lawless '21
Michelle Frias '21
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 1 8 5 2 21 Zachary Jordan '21
Julia Reynolds '22
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 6 6 4 9 8 33 Lucie Ford '20
Mary Grace Bean '18
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 10 4 6 8 5 33 Peter Galloway '21
Connor Cahill '17
Redbirds Redbirds Redbirds 11 5 5 6 7 34
Providence College Providence College Friars 8 9 10 7 9 43 John Burgess '20
Cicely Dahn '19
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 7 11 7 10 10 45 Martin Hooker '18
Ellen Quintana '20
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 9 10 DNS DNS DNS 55 Patrick Buehler '18
Kathleen Wells '21
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 5 2 1 1 1 10 Joey Lark '21
Grace Benzal '21
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 1 4 2 4 12 Nathan Borovick '21
Madysen Delosh '19
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 2 6 2 6 2 18 Caroline King '21
Alexa Percell '20
Redbirds Redbirds Redbirds 3 5 3 3 5 19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 4 4 5 4 3 20 Victoria Pajak '21
Liz Silva '21
Johnson and Wales University Johnson and Wales University Wildcats 7 7 7 5 6 32 Brett Doty '20
Anneliese Knutson '21
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 6 3 8 9 7 33 Anne Cathrine Longo '20
Colby Brennan '20
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 8 6 8 8 39 Juan Briano '21
Jack Papetti '21
Providence College Providence College Friars 11 10 9 7 9 46 Kevin Lynch '19
Wade Cobb '18
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 10 DNF 10 10 10 52 Hannah Lucas '21
Catherine Casaz '20
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 8 9 DNF DNS DNS 53 Jonathan Schwartz '21
Kathleen Wells '21
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11335
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears22447
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies101012122
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats33558
RedbirdsRedbirds Redbirds44779
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1111113
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies558810
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars779911
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 188101012
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 29911111
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1212224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats22447
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears33558
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1111113
Johnson and Wales UniversityJohnson and Wales University Wildcats44779
RedbirdsRedbirds Redbirds558810
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1212224
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies779911
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars88101012
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 19911111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 2101012122
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs11335

Conditions — 10/14/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 95%  ·  Pressure 1023.3 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 65°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 4.9 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From N (11°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity95% Pressure1023.3 hPa Rain0.20 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 7 kn · SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Providence: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.28 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Providence by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 7 labelled days at Providence, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →