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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 91 21 112
2 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 70 59 129
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 52 89 141
4 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 88 69 157
5 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 105 74 179
6 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 111 96 207
7 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 102 134 236
8 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 153 92 245
9 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 105 149 254
10 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 90 165 255
11 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 151 MRP 142 MRP 293 MRP
12 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 189 157 346
13 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 149 198 347
14 Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 217 192 409
15 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 197 MRP 223 MRP 420 MRP
16 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 225 231 456
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 1 1 1 4 2 12 1 10 1 9 1 4 3 1 52 Joshua Paper '20
Allison Gingerich '21
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 3 6 4 6 7 7 7 12 4 3 1 3 1 1 5 70 Matthew Roleke '19
Alex Wiggins '22
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 4 7 5 2 3 3 8 6 9 6 4 11 8 8 4 88 William Sunkler '20
Eloise Lienert '20
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 6 10 9 3 2 4 1 2 7 2 3 4 11 11 15 90 Connor Mraz '23 [1-15]
Jack Nusbaum '22 [1-12]
Catherine Kruse '22 [13-15]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 2 2 7 1 1 6 4 8 10 10 10 10 4 14 91 Spencer Charney '20 [1-8, 11-12]
Daniel Hodges '22 [9-10]
Anna Patterson '20 [13-15]
Henry Clune '21 [1-8, 11-12]
Anna Patterson '20 [9-10]
Bailey Hurst '20 [13-15]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 12 5 12 8 6 10 2 10 3 4 11 8 3 6 2 102 Liliana Loosbrock '21
Elizabeth Keeney '19
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 5 3 7 5 5 5 14 8 14 5 12 5 5 9 3 105 Nicholas Manfredi '19
Julia Chapman '21
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 7 9 6 11 14 8 4 11 1 7 5 2 7 5 8 105 Madeline Delvescovo '20
Elizabeth Calio '20
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 15 8 13 9 8 11 10 3 2 8 2 7 2 2 11 111 Reid Shanabrook '22 [1-4]
Christopher Magno '22 [5-15]
Olivia Bule '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Gustav Berner '21 [3-4]
Reid Shanabrook '22 [7-15]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 11 15 11 10 12 12 3 5 13 11 7 14 6 7 12 149 Ian Palmer '19
Kieran Mcmahon '22
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 8 4 3 4 10 9 11 14 6 12 8 6 DNF 12 7 151 MRP Ava Haag '21 [1-15]
Cathryn Martinez '21 [1-8, 11-15]
Whitney Kopp '21 [9-10]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 10 13 10 12 15 13 5 7 5 9 6 15 13 14 6 153 Curtis Aaron '21 [1-15]
Brooklyn Curtin '20 [1-14]
Dylan Crider '19 [15]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 9 16 14 15 11 6 9 15 11 14 14 12 DNS DNS 9 189 Henry Sanders '18
Emily Baum '21
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 14 12 8 14 9 DNF 13 9 15 15 13 9 9 10 10 197 MRP Ian Taylor '18
William Siegener '23
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 13 11 15 13 13 14 15 13 12 13 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 217 Veronica Lane '19 [1-10]
No Show [11-15]
Bronson Gallagher '21 [1-10]
No Show [11-15]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 16 14 16 16 16 15 16 16 16 16 DNS 13 12 13 13 225 Jennifer Suter '19
Emily Robinson '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 3 21 Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1-14]
Bailey Hurst '20 [15]
Mackenzie Conner '20 [1-14]
Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [15]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 2 3 1 8 2 5 6 2 6 3 7 4 4 2 4 59 Andrew O'Brien '19
Jesse Stevenson '19
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 3 5 4 1 4 6 3 3 4 5 9 2 3 6 11 69 Paul Hart '19
Andrew Vernon '20
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 9 8 9 5 8 2 4 4 2 4 4 3 2 4 6 74 James Gilmore Iii '19
Micayla Beyer '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 6 9 13 9 10 4 2 8 3 6 1 7 5 5 1 89 Hunter Cutting '21 [1-4, 13-15]
Jessica Bennett '20 [5-12]
Sam Muir '22 [1-4, 13-15]
Genna Viggiano '22 [5-12]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 8 4 10 7 3 3 5 5 5 2 5 6 12 8 9 92 Max Gillette '20 [1-10]
Brian Tiernan '21 [11-15]
Claire Coppola '21 [1-10]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 5 6 2 4 5 12 9 13 7 8 3 5 8 7 2 96 Nathan Gibson '19 [1-15]
Christopher Magno '22 [1-4]
Gustav Berner '21 [5-15]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 12 2 5 14 13 11 11 7 12 9 6 13 6 3 10 134 Pierre Casenave-Pere '20 [1-10]
Isabel De La Torre '20 [11-15]
Isabel De La Torre '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Zoe Novello '21 [7-8]
Pierre Casenave-Pere '20 [11-15]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Greyhounds 4 7 8 6 9 7 8 12 9 10 8 10 7 9 8 142 MRP Brendan O’Connor '21
Ann Bell '20
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 13 13 11 10 7 10 7 9 10 11 13 8 9 13 5 149 Abigail Proko '20
Alison Reed '21
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 11 12 7 11 11 9 15 10 8 7 11 12 10 10 13 157 Chris Trentham '22
Anne Caldwell '20
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 7 11 6 13 15 15 13 11 11 12 12 9 11 12 7 165 Zak Dasaro '21 [1-2, 7-10, 15]
Connor Larson '22 [3-6, 11-14]
Catherine Kruse '22 [1-12]
Jack Nusbaum '22 [13-15]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Hawks 14 14 12 3 6 8 10 6 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 192 Katherine Foley '19 [1-8]
No Show [9-15]
Nina Van De Vaarst '19 [1-8]
No Show [9-15]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 15 10 14 12 16 13 14 14 13 DSQ 10 14 13 11 12 198 Alexander Knoop '20
Alyssa Price '21
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 10 15 15 15 12 14 12 16 14 13 14 11 14 14 14 223 MRP Benjamin Wilson '19 [1-15]
Tyler Tomasik '20 [1-12, 14-15]
Douglas Cochran '21 [13]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 16 16 16 16 14 16 16 15 DNF 14 15 15 15 15 15 231 Chloe Headrick '21 [1-8, 11-15]
Clara Bartram '22 [9-10]
Clara Bartram '22 [1-8, 11-15]
Alexa Zammit '22 [9-10]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights141412121010886644181816
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains3355779911111313151517
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions4418181616141412121010886
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons55779911111313151517173
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds6644181816161414121210108
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks77991111131315151717335
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers886644181816161414121210
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers99111113131515171733557
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks11111313151517173355779
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks121210108866441818161614
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves101088664418181616141412
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange1313151517173355779911
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats161614141212101088664418
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1515171733557799111113
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1717335577991111131315
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1818161614141212101088664

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights1313111199775533171715
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains446688101012121414161618
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions33171715151313111199775
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons6688101012121414161618184
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Greyhounds55331717151513131111997
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Hawks8810101212141416161818446
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers77553317171515131311119
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers1010121214141616181844668
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks121214141616181844668810
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks1111997755331717151513
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves9977553317171515131311
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange141416161818446688101012
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats1515131311119977553317
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos161618184466881010121214
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies181844668810101212141416
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen17171515131311119977553
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Spencer Charney '20 [1-8, 11-12]
Daniel Hodges '22 [9-10]
Anna Patterson '20 [13-15]		 Henry Clune '21 [1-8, 11-12]
Anna Patterson '20 [9-10]
Bailey Hurst '20 [13-15]
Captains Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1-14]
Bailey Hurst '20 [15]		 Mackenzie Conner '20 [1-14]
Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [15]
Columbia University Columbia University Liliana Loosbrock '21 Elizabeth Keeney '19
Lions Pierre Casenave-Pere '20 [1-10]
Isabel De La Torre '20 [11-15]		 Isabel De La Torre '20 [1-6, 9-10]
Zoe Novello '21 [7-8]
Pierre Casenave-Pere '20 [11-15]
Drexel University Drexel University Madeline Delvescovo '20 Elizabeth Calio '20
Dragons Abigail Proko '20 Alison Reed '21
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Ava Haag '21 [1-15] Cathryn Martinez '21 [1-8, 11-15]
Whitney Kopp '21 [9-10]
Greyhounds Brendan O’Connor '21 Ann Bell '20
Monmouth University Monmouth University Veronica Lane '19 [1-10]
No Show [11-15]		 Bronson Gallagher '21 [1-10]
No Show [11-15]
Hawks Katherine Foley '19 [1-8]
No Show [9-15]		 Nina Van De Vaarst '19 [1-8]
No Show [9-15]
Princeton University Princeton University Connor Mraz '23 [1-15] Jack Nusbaum '22 [1-12]
Catherine Kruse '22 [13-15]
Tigers Zak Dasaro '21 [1-2, 7-10, 15]
Connor Larson '22 [3-6, 11-14]		 Catherine Kruse '22 [1-12]
Jack Nusbaum '22 [13-15]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Ian Taylor '18 William Siegener '23
Tigers Benjamin Wilson '19 [1-15] Tyler Tomasik '20 [1-12, 14-15]
Douglas Cochran '21 [13]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Nicholas Manfredi '19 Julia Chapman '21
Seawolves James Gilmore Iii '19 Micayla Beyer '19
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Joshua Paper '20 Allison Gingerich '21
Seahawks Hunter Cutting '21 [1-4, 13-15]
Jessica Bennett '20 [5-12]		 Sam Muir '22 [1-4, 13-15]
Genna Viggiano '22 [5-12]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Matthew Roleke '19 Alex Wiggins '22
Ducks Andrew O'Brien '19 Jesse Stevenson '19
Syracuse University Syracuse University Henry Sanders '18 Emily Baum '21
Orange Chris Trentham '22 Anne Caldwell '20
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Jennifer Suter '19 Emily Robinson '22
Black Knights Chloe Headrick '21 [1-8, 11-15]
Clara Bartram '22 [9-10]		 Clara Bartram '22 [1-8, 11-15]
Alexa Zammit '22 [9-10]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Ian Palmer '19 Kieran Mcmahon '22
Wahoos Alexander Knoop '20 Alyssa Price '21
Villanova University Villanova University Curtis Aaron '21 [1-15] Brooklyn Curtin '20 [1-14]
Dylan Crider '19 [15]
Wildcats Max Gillette '20 [1-10]
Brian Tiernan '21 [11-15]		 Claire Coppola '21 [1-10]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Reid Shanabrook '22 [1-4]
Christopher Magno '22 [5-15]		 Olivia Bule '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Gustav Berner '21 [3-4]
Reid Shanabrook '22 [7-15]
Hokies Nathan Gibson '19 [1-15] Christopher Magno '22 [1-4]
Gustav Berner '21 [5-15]
Washington College Washington College William Sunkler '20 Eloise Lienert '20
Shoremen Paul Hart '19 Andrew Vernon '20

Conditions — 09/22/2018 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1019.1 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 73°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.4 kn
avg  ·  max 11.9 kn
Gusts to 25.5 kn
From N (350°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1019.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 7 kn · NE 13 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →