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Stoney Burke Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 29 36 65
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 45 40 85
3 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 73 67 140
4 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 74 MRP 74 MRP 148 MRP
5 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 123 90 213
6 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 123 120 243
7 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 149 101 250
8 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 103 148 251
9 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 163 95 258
10 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 92 191 283
11 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 178 MRP 127 MRP 305 MRP
12 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 145 MRP 168 MRP 313 MRP
13 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 147 182 329
14 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 193 MRP 140 MRP 333 MRP
15 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 138 MRP 219 MRP 357 MRP
16 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 199 175 374
17 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 172 232 404
18 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 238 177 415
19 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 196 219 415
20 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 178 248 426
21 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 217 259 476
22 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 249 MRP 249 MRP 498 MRP
23 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 287 MRP 227 MRP 514 MRP
24 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 293 MRP 243 MRP 536 MRP
25 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 286 MRP 255 MRP 541 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 1 2 8 6 3 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 29 David Eastwood '22
Robert Johnson '19
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 4 1 5 5 2 2 3 2 11 2 5 3 45 Michael Pacholski '19
Devon Stapleton '22
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 9 3 9 3 1 6 6 10 4 9 6 7 73 Sarah Alexander '19
Sabrina Moreno '19
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 6 5 10 2 7 3 5 4 3 4 1 4 74 MRP Johannes Mcelvain '18 [1-6, 9-12]
Brock Paquin '22 [7-8]
Bennett Zemke '19 [1-4, 7-12]
Lucas Earley '19 [5-6]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 14 4 4 1 6 12 9 11 5 11 4 11 92 Kate Madigan '20
Claire Hunt '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 15 8 11 4 12 11 13 9 2 5 3 10 103 Ciara Dorsay '21 [1-12]
Kylie Fawcett '20 [1-7]
Paris Sato '21 [8-12]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 12 1 17 5 7 1 DSQ OCS 10 11 5 123 Ben Brough '19
Grace Vandervort '21
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 7 11 6 22 11 10 4 6 6 18 10 12 123 Karl Skeel '20
Cora Knauss '18
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 16 17 2 15 23 4 14 3 7 8 7 2 138 MRP Neil Marcellini '21
Cynthia Kerby '22
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 13 9 3 19 13 5 7 7 OCS 7 8 8 145 MRP Emi Stephanoff '21
Savannah Boyd '21
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 8 10 12 8 8 18 12 17 13 15 12 14 147 Annika Garrett '19
Megan Lucas '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 12 16 23 14 10 8 10 12 OCS 3 9 6 149 Drake Hayes '21 [1-12]
Anna O'Regan '20 [1-7]
Gina Canzona '19 [8-12]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 22 14 7 13 19 13 21 5 10 6 15 18 163 Julia Jaynes '19
Joseph Presley '19
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 10 19 14 10 18 14 18 13 8 14 18 16 172 Shaan Shridhar '19
Avery Wolf '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 13 25 9 4 15 24 8 12 16 20 9 178 MRP Leah Ford '19
Hallie Muller '20
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 5 15 15 18 14 19 23 14 9 13 13 20 178 Jayden Potter '21
Jenna Rutledge '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 11 7 13 7 9 9 15 21 18 19 23 21 193 MRP Erika Barth '16 [1-7]
Mckenna Roonan '21 [8-12]
Chieko Imai '20 [1-7]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 20 6 18 21 16 24 11 15 14 12 17 22 196 Drake Baldwin '20
Paulo Garcia Lopez '21
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 17 18 24 16 15 17 8 20 17 20 14 13 199 Julian Weiswasser '19
Dylan Yong '21
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 21 20 20 12 20 16 17 16 19 17 24 15 217 Alexis Miller '20
Nina-Katreen Hipkins '21
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 18 22 22 20 21 22 19 18 16 22 21 17 238 Caila Devlin '21
Clover Stubbert '20
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 23 25 16 11 17 20 20 23 15 24 16 19 249 MRP Adam Wild '18
Kim Clemins '20
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 25 24 21 25 25 23 16 22 22 21 19 23 286 MRP Peter Collins '20
John Rzepczynski '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 19 21 19 23 22 25 25 19 20 23 25 DNS 287 MRP Charlotte Clark '21
Shawna Eggleston '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 24 23 17 24 24 21 22 24 21 25 22 DNS 293 MRP Colin Bishop '20 [1-2, 5-12]
Lukas Koch '21 [3-4]
Francesca Jasinski '21 [1-2, 5-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 1 2 5 1 2 1 5 1 12 1 2 3 36 Matt Long '20
Samantha Obel '21
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 2 1 4 2 6 3 1 8 1 2 8 2 40 Patrick Wilkinson '20
Danielle Ahir '20
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 9 10 OCS 1 5 2 2 2 3 1 1 67 Will Paulsen '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Upamanyu Dutta '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Lorea Mendiguren '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 3 4 2 3 4 2 9 5 5 6 5 6 74 MRP Benjamin Rohr '19 [1-12]
Matthew Thomas '21 [1-8]
Brock Paquin '22 [9-12]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 4 16 6 4 10 4 14 7 7 4 10 4 90 Will Cefali '19
Alyson Crowley '20
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 7 3 8 13 21 6 4 4 13 5 6 5 95 Timothy Zimmermann '19
Connor Kobel '19
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 13 7 1 10 7 DNF 3 12 3 7 3 9 101 Nicolai Sponholtz '19 [1-12]
Avery Burke '20 [1-7]
Makena Cunningham Barkus '22 [8-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 6 8 12 5 14 16 7 3 11 15 4 19 120 Austin Hauter '21
Blake Winner '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 9 10 3 6 5 11 8 10 6 19 12 8 127 MRP Abraham Dearden '20
Mary Jane Howland '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 10 6 18 9 12 9 11 9 14 8 7 7 140 MRP Nicholas Dorn '22
Keiran Hadley '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 8 5 9 20 3 7 10 19 17 20 15 15 148 Josefina Ruggieri '21 [1-12]
Caroline Sobek '20 [1-7]
Sarah Paulsen '20 [8-12]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 24 14 19 18 9 8 6 6 4 11 16 13 168 MRP Hailey Thompson '22
Cari Brown '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 14 11 20 23 15 18 12 16 9 18 9 10 175 James Melvin '19
Thelonious Aull '20
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 21 25 14 16 8 14 13 18 10 10 14 14 177 Liam Patrick '22
Max Graves '22
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 12 12 7 17 11 21 17 14 19 17 19 16 182 Hayden Lahr '22 [1-12]
Kelly Sojka '19 [1-2, 7-12]
Megan Zamzow '19 [3-6]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 23 19 11 12 17 19 15 20 15 12 11 17 191 Margot Mason '21
Aine Roonan '21
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 18 17 22 7 20 12 25 25 16 13 13 11 219 MRP Andrew Clements '17 [1-12]
Olivia Feito '22 [1-2, 5-12]
Laura Jones '19 [3-4]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 19 22 17 24 18 10 22 11 22 14 20 20 219 Parker Kulavic '22
Jessica Woodruff '21
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 20 24 16 11 19 22 23 15 8 16 21 12 227 MRP Caitlyn Shum '22
Emma Reynolds '21
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 16 15 24 19 13 15 24 17 21 23 22 23 232 Joanna Garcia '19
Rachel Cohen '19
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 15 20 21 14 23 13 16 13 20 21 23 24 243 MRP Gabriel Sanchez '21
Marcus Hougaard '23
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 22 18 23 22 24 17 20 21 23 22 18 18 248 Jodie Jacobs '20 [1-12]
Brianna Pinto '20 [1-7]
Sophia Runte '22 [8-12]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 17 23 25 15 22 20 19 23 18 9 17 21 249 MRP Gillian Dean '19
Caroline Logue '21
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 11 13 13 8 25 24 21 24 25 24 25 22 255 MRP Allison Glover '21
Gaby Ahlstrom '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 25 21 15 21 16 23 18 22 24 25 24 25 259 Francine Brownell '19
Sofia Mack '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.210+0.21
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 1232323232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2242424242424242424242424
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1111111111111
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2101101101101101101101101101101101101
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang103103103103103103103103103103103103
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins999999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers494949494949494949494949
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1353535353535353535353535
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2363636363636363636363636
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters474747474747474747474747
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs151515151515151515151515
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos191919191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans138138138138138138138138138138138138
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies484848484848484848484848
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins272727272727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons303030303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1313131313131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2323232323232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1000000000000
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2333333333333333333333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 1868686868686868686868686
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2878787878787878787878787
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1818181818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2828282828282828282828282

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 1232323232323232323232323
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2242424242424242424242424
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1111111111111
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2101101101101101101101101101101101101
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang103103103103103103103103103103103103
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins999999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers494949494949494949494949
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 1353535353535353535353535
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 2363636363636363636363636
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters474747474747474747474747
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs151515151515151515151515
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos191919191919191919191919
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans138138138138138138138138138138138138
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies484848484848484848484848
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins272727272727272727272727
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons303030303030303030303030
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1313131313131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2323232323232323232323232
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1000000000000
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2333333333333333333333333
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 1868686868686868686868686
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2878787878787878787878787
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1818181818181818181818181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2828282828282828282828282
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Grace Vandervort '21
Mustang Will Cefali '19 Alyson Crowley '20
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Johannes Mcelvain '18 [1-6, 9-12]
Brock Paquin '22 [7-8]		 Bennett Zemke '19 [1-4, 7-12]
Lucas Earley '19 [5-6]
Keelhaulers 1 Benjamin Rohr '19 [1-12] Matthew Thomas '21 [1-8]
Brock Paquin '22 [9-12]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Emi Stephanoff '21 Savannah Boyd '21
Keelhaulers 2 Hailey Thompson '22 Cari Brown '19
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Neil Marcellini '21 Cynthia Kerby '22
Dolphins Andrew Clements '17 [1-12] Olivia Feito '22 [1-2, 5-12]
Laura Jones '19 [3-4]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Julia Jaynes '19 Joseph Presley '19
49ers Timothy Zimmermann '19 Connor Kobel '19
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Caila Devlin '21 Clover Stubbert '20
Otters Liam Patrick '22 Max Graves '22
San Diego State University San Diego State University Adam Wild '18 Kim Clemins '20
Aztecs Gillian Dean '19 Caroline Logue '21
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Peter Collins '20 John Rzepczynski '21
Broncos Allison Glover '21 Gaby Ahlstrom '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Drake Hayes '21 [1-12] Anna O'Regan '20 [1-7]
Gina Canzona '19 [8-12]
Bears 1 Nicolai Sponholtz '19 [1-12] Avery Burke '20 [1-7]
Makena Cunningham Barkus '22 [8-12]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Ciara Dorsay '21 [1-12] Kylie Fawcett '20 [1-7]
Paris Sato '21 [8-12]
Bears 2 Josefina Ruggieri '21 [1-12] Caroline Sobek '20 [1-7]
Sarah Paulsen '20 [8-12]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Jayden Potter '21 Jenna Rutledge '19
Aggies Jodie Jacobs '20 [1-12] Brianna Pinto '20 [1-7]
Sophia Runte '22 [8-12]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Drake Baldwin '20 Paulo Garcia Lopez '21
Anteaters Parker Kulavic '22 Jessica Woodruff '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Leah Ford '19 Hallie Muller '20
Bruins Abraham Dearden '20 Mary Jane Howland '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Erika Barth '16 [1-7]
Mckenna Roonan '21 [8-12]		 Chieko Imai '20 [1-7]
Tritons Nicholas Dorn '22 Keiran Hadley '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara David Eastwood '22 Robert Johnson '19
Gauchos 1 Matt Long '20 Samantha Obel '21
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Kate Madigan '20 Claire Hunt '19
Gauchos 2 Margot Mason '21 Aine Roonan '21
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Julian Weiswasser '19 Dylan Yong '21
Banana Slug's 1 James Melvin '19 Thelonious Aull '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Alexis Miller '20 Nina-Katreen Hipkins '21
Banana Slug's 2 Francine Brownell '19 Sofia Mack '20
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Michael Pacholski '19 Devon Stapleton '22
Rainbows 1 Patrick Wilkinson '20 Danielle Ahir '20
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Annika Garrett '19 Megan Lucas '20
Rainbows 2 Hayden Lahr '22 [1-12] Kelly Sojka '19 [1-2, 7-12]
Megan Zamzow '19 [3-6]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Sarah Alexander '19 Sabrina Moreno '19
Trojans Will Paulsen '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Upamanyu Dutta '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Lorea Mendiguren '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Colin Bishop '20 [1-2, 5-12]
Lukas Koch '21 [3-4]		 Francesca Jasinski '21 [1-2, 5-12]
Vikes 1 Gabriel Sanchez '21 Marcus Hougaard '23
University of Victoria University of Victoria Charlotte Clark '21 Shawna Eggleston '21
Vikes 2 Caitlyn Shum '22 Emma Reynolds '21
University of Washington University of Washington Karl Skeel '20 Cora Knauss '18
Huskies 1 Austin Hauter '21 Blake Winner '20
University of Washington University of Washington Shaan Shridhar '19 Avery Wolf '21
Huskies 2 Joanna Garcia '19 Rachel Cohen '19

Conditions — 10/13/2018 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1010.6 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From SW (231°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1010.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 13 kn · NW 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Berkeley: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Berkeley by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Berkeley).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →