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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 23 16 39
2 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 32 24 56
3 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 22 35 57
4 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 50 51 101
5 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 79 40 119
6 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 104 49 153
7 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 46 109 155
8 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 76 92 168
9 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 71 MRP 107 MRP 178 MRP
10 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 61 125 186
11 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 126 72 198
12 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 119 MRP 108 MRP 227 MRP
13 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 113 116 229
14 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 129 103 232
15 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 126 119 245
16 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 140 149 289
17 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 147 152 299
18 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 146 MRP 162 MRP 308 MRP
19 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 170 163 333
20 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 177 161 338
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 4 1 2 3 2 2 1 4 3 22 Sarah Alexander '19
Sabrina Moreno '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 2 3 2 3 3 6 1 2 23 Lucas Pierce '21 [1-9]
Samantha Obel '21 [1-6]
Robert Johnson '19 [7-9]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 2 7 5 4 4 1 2 3 4 32 Johannes Mcelvain '18
Kian Patrick '20
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 11 13 1 7 1 4 3 5 1 46 Neil Marcellini '21
Cynthia Kerby '22
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 3 9 8 6 7 5 5 2 5 50 Leah Ford '19
Hallie Muller '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 7 5 4 5 5 7 10 10 8 61 Erika Barth '16
Chieko Imai '20
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 5 3 6 1 6 12 4 7 7 71 MRP Nicolai Sponholtz '19
Kylie Fawcett '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 6 4 12 8 9 11 7 9 10 76 Liam Hood '20 [1-9]
Hunter Helfgott '20 [1-2, 5-9]
Hayley Grodt '19 [3-4]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 8 12 7 15 11 6 8 6 6 79 Bennett Zemke '19
Lucas Earley '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 10 10 16 13 8 10 11 12 14 104 Maddy Kuhn '20
Marianne Simpson '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 13 16 14 10 15 9 9 11 16 113 Ben Gerber '19
Alexa Gilbert '21
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 9 11 10 19 10 8 12 8 12 119 MRP Vincent Todosiev '19 [1-9]
Cameron Juybari '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Gina Canzona '19 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 12 6 18 14 13 20 17 17 9 126 Drake Baldwin '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Felix Slothower '21 [3-4, 7-8]
Paulo Garcia Lopez '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Madeline Bachus '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Jessica Woodruff '21 [9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 14 18 15 12 12 17 14 13 11 126 Julian Weiswasser '19
Graham Lasser '19
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 16 15 13 9 18 15 13 15 15 129 Adam Wild '18
Andrew Bittner '21
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 15 14 9 18 17 13 18 18 18 140 Fisher Price '20 [1-6]
Warren Ko '19 [7-9]
Julien Stroumza '21 [1-6]
Irving Hui '19 [7-9]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies DNS 8 11 11 14 14 16 14 17 146 MRP Jayden Potter '21
Jenna Rutledge '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 DNS 17 17 16 16 16 15 16 13 147 Sofia Mack '20
Savannah Hallgarth '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 17 19 20 20 19 18 19 19 19 170 Joshua Davis '20
Jeremy Jaquinod '20
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers DNS 20 19 17 20 19 DNF 20 20 177 Sebastian Guerra '20 [1-6, 9]
Dana Mcconnell '19 [7-8]
Ricardo López '19 [1-4]
Will Malpica '20 [5-6, 9]
Samantha Ho '21 [7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 1 2 4 3 2 1 1 1 16 Sidney Gathrid '22 [1-9]
Robert Johnson '19 [1-4]
Samantha Obel '21 [5-9]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2 2 2 3 3 1 1 3 7 2 24 Benjamin Rohr '19
Emi Stephanoff '21
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 5 4 4 1 2 6 5 3 5 35 Will Paulsen '19
Kai Otsmaa '21
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1 4 6 5 2 4 4 4 8 3 40 Nolan Van Dine '20
Kyle Hunt '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 3 3 7 7 9 3 9 2 6 49 Abraham Dearden '20
Sarah Sullivan '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 8 10 1 5 10 5 2 6 4 51 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19
Mingyi Chen '20
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 11 5 9 13 5 9 8 4 8 72 Parker Kulavic '22 [1-9]
Jessica Woodruff '21 [1-6]
Paulo Garcia Lopez '21 [7-9]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 9 7 6 6 19 12 15 11 7 92 Alyson Crowley '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Brett Baron '20 [5-6]
Brett Baron '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Hayley Grodt '19 [5-6]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 16 14 14 10 6 10 11 13 9 103 Gillian Dean '19 [1-9]
Kevin Pihl '19 [1-4]
Kim Clemins '20 [5-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 1 6 8 8 8 15 8 7 16 11 107 MRP Katey Hayes '20 [1-6]
Sarah Paulsen '20 [7-9]
Sarah Paulsen '20 [1-6]
Katey Hayes '20 [7-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 12 15 10 9 8 11 6 5 12 108 MRP Olivia Macdonald '19
Megan Grosspietsch '20
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 7 DNS 12 11 7 15 13 9 14 109 Andrew Clements '17 [1-9]
Olivia Feito '22 [1-6]
Laura Jones '19 [7-9]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 18 11 13 18 11 13 12 10 10 116 Thomas Garcia '19 [1-9]
Nakul Gupta '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Claudia Marza '22 [3-4, 7-9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2 10 12 15 12 14 16 10 14 16 119 Alexis Miller '20
Thelonious Aull '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 13 9 11 17 17 7 16 15 20 125 Daniel Vick '19 [1-9]
Irving Hui '19 [1-4]
Julien Stroumza '21 [5-9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 14 17 17 14 13 18 18 19 19 149 Alexander Bittner '19
Rachel Zhao '19
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1 20 DNS 18 16 16 17 19 12 13 152 David Gann '19
Jeremy Burke '20
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 19 16 16 19 20 20 17 17 17 161 Hendrik Hildebrands '20 [1-9]
Will Malpica '20 [1-4]
Ricardo López '19 [5-9]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 17 13 19 15 12 19 14 18 15 162 MRP Anthony El-Sokkary '20
Isabel Kalogiannis '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 15 18 20 20 18 14 20 20 18 163 Blair Caccam '21
Ellen Carlander '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.210+0.21
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 1595959595959595959
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2606060606060606060
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1101101101101101101101101101
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2102102102102102102102102102
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang103103103103103103103103103
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers888888888
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs161616161616161616
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans138138138138138138138138138
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3282282282282282282282282282
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1129129129129129129129129129
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2303030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3292292292292292292292292292
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos311311311311311311311311311
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1343434343434343434
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2333333333333333333

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 1595959595959595959
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears 2606060606060606060
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 1101101101101101101101101101
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 2102102102102102102102102102
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang103103103103103103103103103
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins999999999
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers888888888
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs161616161616161616
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans138138138138138138138138138
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies474747474747474747
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters252525252525252525
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1272727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2282828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3282282282282282282282282282
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 1129129129129129129129129129
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 2303030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3292292292292292292292292292
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos311311311311311311311311311
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 1343434343434343434
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slug's 2333333333333333333
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Liam Hood '20 [1-9] Hunter Helfgott '20 [1-2, 5-9]
Hayley Grodt '19 [3-4]
Mustang Alyson Crowley '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Brett Baron '20 [5-6]		 Brett Baron '20 [1-4, 7-9]
Hayley Grodt '19 [5-6]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Bennett Zemke '19 Lucas Earley '19
Keelhaulers 1 Nolan Van Dine '20 Kyle Hunt '19
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Johannes Mcelvain '18 Kian Patrick '20
Keelhaulers 2 Benjamin Rohr '19 Emi Stephanoff '21
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Neil Marcellini '21 Cynthia Kerby '22
Dolphins Andrew Clements '17 [1-9] Olivia Feito '22 [1-6]
Laura Jones '19 [7-9]
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Sebastian Guerra '20 [1-6, 9]
Dana Mcconnell '19 [7-8]		 Ricardo López '19 [1-4]
Will Malpica '20 [5-6, 9]
Samantha Ho '21 [7-8]
49ers Hendrik Hildebrands '20 [1-9] Will Malpica '20 [1-4]
Ricardo López '19 [5-9]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Adam Wild '18 Andrew Bittner '21
Aztecs Gillian Dean '19 [1-9] Kevin Pihl '19 [1-4]
Kim Clemins '20 [5-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Nicolai Sponholtz '19 Kylie Fawcett '20
Bears 1 Katey Hayes '20 [1-6]
Sarah Paulsen '20 [7-9]		 Sarah Paulsen '20 [1-6]
Katey Hayes '20 [7-9]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Vincent Todosiev '19 [1-9] Cameron Juybari '19 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Gina Canzona '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Bears 2 Olivia Macdonald '19 Megan Grosspietsch '20
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Jayden Potter '21 Jenna Rutledge '19
Aggies Anthony El-Sokkary '20 Isabel Kalogiannis '19
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Drake Baldwin '20 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Felix Slothower '21 [3-4, 7-8]		 Paulo Garcia Lopez '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Madeline Bachus '19 [3-4, 7-8]
Jessica Woodruff '21 [9]
Anteaters Parker Kulavic '22 [1-9] Jessica Woodruff '21 [1-6]
Paulo Garcia Lopez '21 [7-9]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Leah Ford '19 Hallie Muller '20
Bruins 1 Nicholas Lenz Lenz '19 Mingyi Chen '20
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Maddy Kuhn '20 Marianne Simpson '19
Bruins 2 Abraham Dearden '20 Sarah Sullivan '21
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Ben Gerber '19 Alexa Gilbert '21
Bruins 3 Thomas Garcia '19 [1-9] Nakul Gupta '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Claudia Marza '22 [3-4, 7-9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Joshua Davis '20 Jeremy Jaquinod '20
Tritons 1 Blair Caccam '21 Ellen Carlander '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Erika Barth '16 Chieko Imai '20
Tritons 2 Daniel Vick '19 [1-9] Irving Hui '19 [1-4]
Julien Stroumza '21 [5-9]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Fisher Price '20 [1-6]
Warren Ko '19 [7-9]		 Julien Stroumza '21 [1-6]
Irving Hui '19 [7-9]
Tritons 3 Alexander Bittner '19 Rachel Zhao '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Lucas Pierce '21 [1-9] Samantha Obel '21 [1-6]
Robert Johnson '19 [7-9]
Gauchos Sidney Gathrid '22 [1-9] Robert Johnson '19 [1-4]
Samantha Obel '21 [5-9]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Sofia Mack '20 Savannah Hallgarth '22
Banana Slug's 1 David Gann '19 Jeremy Burke '20
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Julian Weiswasser '19 Graham Lasser '19
Banana Slug's 2 Alexis Miller '20 Thelonious Aull '20
University of Southern California University of Southern California Sarah Alexander '19 Sabrina Moreno '19
Trojans Will Paulsen '19 Kai Otsmaa '21

Conditions — 10/06/2018 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1009.3 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.4 kn
avg  ·  max 11.4 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From S (190°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover91% Sunshine5.9 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1009.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC San Diego: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.16 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC San Diego by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at UC San Diego).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →