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# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 26 26
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 5 28 28
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 3 30 30
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 45 45
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 4 53 53
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 57 57
7 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 6 61 61
8 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 64 64
9 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 66 66
10 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 69 69
11 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 75 75
12 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 90 90
13 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 91 91
14 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 92 92
15 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 105 105
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 1 2 4 3 1 9 4 2 26 Luke Hosek '24
Ethan Snyder '25
Brown University Brown University Bears 5 3 3 1 4 4 3 7 3 28 Ethan Simpson '27
Corinne Harrison '27
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 4 1 2 1 BYE 12 1 5 30 Martins Atilla '27
Talia Levine '26
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 2 11 3 14 2 2 2 9 45 Connor Macken '24
Janelle Li '25
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 10 7 5 5 3 10 9 4 53 Sidney Moyer '27
Sierra Bornheim '24
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 7 4 6 10 5 7 5 13 57 Kaitlyn Hamilton '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Laura Hamilton '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Laura Hamilton '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Kaitlyn Hamilton '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 6 6 10 12 2 11 8 11 1 61 Ben Sheppard '27
Vivian Heitkoetter '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 11 6 7 6 7 6 14 7 64 William Bailey '24
Hank Bailey '24
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 12 15 8 11 6 5 3 6 66 Ethan Burt '26
Peter Cotoia '26
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 5 14 9 9 8 4 8 12 69 Olivia Drulard '27
Madeline Koelbel '26
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 15 5 13 7 12 1 6 DSQ 75 Yasar Akin '27
Addyson Fisher '27
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 8 9 15 13 14 11 10 10 90 Xander Dalke '27
Caleb Cogan '26
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 13 13 11 8 10 13 12 11 91 Michael Hanrahan '24
Dagny Scannell '25
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 14 12 10 12 9 14 13 8 92 Rob Mailley '24
Sudi Zhao '26
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 9 8 14 15 13 15 15 DNS 105 Will Eggena '27
Sophie Menyhart '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2018 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 111111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 222222222
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 333333333
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 444444444
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 555555555
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 166666666
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 277777777
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 388888888
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 499999999
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 51010101010101010
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 61111111111111111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 11212121212121212
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 21313131313131313
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 31414141414141414
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 41515151515151515

Conditions — 09/09/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 69°F
Feels like 82°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 5.0 kn
Gusts to 12.6 kn
From S (186°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine3.6 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1019.5 hPa Rain0.92 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Brown: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.40 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Brown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (78 labelled days at Brown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →