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Admiral Alymer's Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 65 38 103
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 56 53 109
3 Brown University Brown University Bears 40 82 122
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 64 71 135
5 Providence College Providence College Friars 79 65 144
6 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 107 51 158
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 82 79 161
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 98 73 171
9 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 74 118 192
10 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 95 102 197
11 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 107 134 241
12 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 157 156 313
13 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 161 161 322
14 Mariners Mariners Mariners 195 195 390
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 5 1 2 3 3 1 5 7 1 3 6 2 40 Tyler Rice '14 [1-8]
Drew Shea '14 [9-13]
Helen Lord '14 [1-8]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 3 7 9 4 5 4 10 1 4 1 2 3 56 Christopher Price '14
Rachel Moncton '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 2 6 4 2 2 3 2 9 6 6 9 11 64 William Hutchings '13 [1-8]
James Altreuter '11 [9-13]
Reeves Bright '12 [1-8]
Elizabeth Lynch '12 [9-13]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 5 1 5 6 1 6 11 7 8 3 2 5 5 65 Stephanie Hudson '13
Laura Ann Keller '11
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 6 9 4 5 5 4 5 12 10 2 7 1 4 74 Michael Sturges '13
Laura Duane '12
Providence College Providence College Friars 13 8 3 11 8 1 2 4 4 8 4 3 10 79 Ian Sutherland '12
Alexandra Zweig '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 6 9 8 9 10 7 8 2 5 5 4 1 82 Matthew Schon '11 [1-13]
Hayley Blundell '13 [1-8]
Mary Zeolla '13 [9-13]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 7 4 10 3 10 11 10 1 3 9 8 7 12 95 Sarah Fiske '13
Ayaka Okawa '14
Boston University Boston University Terriers 4 7 2 10 7 8 8 3 11 12 10 10 6 98 Ian Towill '14
Lalitha Kumaresan '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 9 10 11 7 6 7 6 9 5 10 11 8 8 107 Emily Billing '13
Margot Benedict '12
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 10 11 8 1 11 9 9 6 6 7 9 11 9 107 Lyle Fielding '12
Kaitlin Young '13
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 11 12 12 13 12 13 12 11 13 11 12 12 13 157 Paul Hildebrand '11
Alexander Beall '14
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 12 13 13 12 13 12 13 13 12 13 13 DNF 7 161 Tim Dexter '14
Jennifer March '14
Mariners Mariners Mariners DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 195
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 2 5 3 7 1 2 1 2 3 1 2 8 38 Ryan Mullins '13
Kelly Roy '13
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 4 1 1 2 5 2 1 6 6 4 7 8 4 51 Marlena Fauer '14
Eugenia Custo Greig '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 3 8 3 7 2 4 7 2 1 1 3 9 3 53 Timothy Scanlon '12
Michelle Hernandez '12
Providence College Providence College Friars 6 7 4 5 1 3 8 5 7 11 2 1 5 65 Mike Bloomstine '13
Brigitte Spillane '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 3 6 11 4 8 9 7 3 2 8 6 2 71 T. Max Bulger '13
Charlotte Welbourn '13
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 9 9 1 6 5 6 3 9 5 6 3 6 73 Trevor Burd '12
Alejandra Higgins '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 7 5 8 9 3 7 5 9 5 7 9 4 1 79 Robert Lippincott '14
Christopher Jensen '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 4 2 4 8 6 3 10 4 12 5 5 10 82 Jessica Claflin '13
Kristin Altreuter '14
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 8 6 10 8 10 9 4 4 10 6 10 10 7 102 Tom Peabody '14
Leah Hughes '11
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 11 10 7 12 9 11 10 11 8 9 4 7 9 118 John Duncan '13
Adriana Kopp '12
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 10 11 12 6 11 10 12 8 11 10 11 11 11 134 Zachary O'Brien '13
Samuel Morley '14
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 12 12 13 10 13 13 13 13 12 8 12 13 12 156 Alan Sutton '14
Leo Moses '14
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 13 13 11 13 12 12 11 12 13 13 13 12 13 161 Andrew Smith '14
Kyle Mahaffey '14
Mariners Mariners Mariners DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 195
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles55779911111313151517
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers88101012121414161618186
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears6688101012121414161618
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears779911111313151517175
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green991111131315151717557
MarinersMariners Mariners111113131515171755779
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1212141416161818668810
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers10101212141416161818668
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars13131515171755779911
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1616181866881010121214
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1414161618186688101012
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151717557799111113
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts17175577991111131315
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818668810101212141416

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles6688101012121414161618
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers991111131315151717557
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears779911111313151517175
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears88101012121414161618186
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green10101212141416161818668
MarinersMariners Mariners1212141416161818668810
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers13131515171755779911
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers111113131515171755779
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1414161618186688101012
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams17175577991111131315
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks15151717557799111113
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1616181866881010121214
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818668810101212141416
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs55779911111313151517
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Stephanie Hudson '13 Laura Ann Keller '11
Eagles Ryan Mullins '13 Kelly Roy '13
Boston University Boston University Ian Towill '14 Lalitha Kumaresan '13
Terriers Trevor Burd '12 Alejandra Higgins '13
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Sarah Fiske '13 Ayaka Okawa '14
Polar Bears Tom Peabody '14 Leah Hughes '11
Brown University Brown University Tyler Rice '14 [1-8]
Drew Shea '14 [9-13]		 Helen Lord '14 [1-8]
Bears Jessica Claflin '13 Kristin Altreuter '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Christopher Price '14 Rachel Moncton '12
Big Green Timothy Scanlon '12 Michelle Hernandez '12
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Tim Dexter '14 Jennifer March '14
Buccaneers Andrew Smith '14 Kyle Mahaffey '14
Middlebury College Middlebury College Paul Hildebrand '11 Alexander Beall '14
Panthers Alan Sutton '14 Leo Moses '14
Providence College Providence College Ian Sutherland '12 Alexandra Zweig '13
Friars Mike Bloomstine '13 Brigitte Spillane '12
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Matthew Schon '11 [1-13] Hayley Blundell '13 [1-8]
Mary Zeolla '13 [9-13]
Seahawks Robert Lippincott '14 Christopher Jensen '14
Tufts University Tufts University William Hutchings '13 [1-8]
James Altreuter '11 [9-13]		 Reeves Bright '12 [1-8]
Elizabeth Lynch '12 [9-13]
Jumbos T. Max Bulger '13 Charlotte Welbourn '13
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Lyle Fielding '12 Kaitlin Young '13
Rams Zachary O'Brien '13 Samuel Morley '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Michael Sturges '13 Laura Duane '12
Catamounts John Duncan '13 Adriana Kopp '12
Yale University Yale University Emily Billing '13 Margot Benedict '12
Bulldogs Marlena Fauer '14 Eugenia Custo Greig '14

Conditions — 04/09/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 39°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 15.4 kn
From S (172°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover74% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1022.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn · S 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.04 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →