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ICSA Western Semi-Final

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 62 98 160
2 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 88 87 175
3 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 84 102 186
4 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 83 103 186
5 Boston College Boston College Eagles 84 105 189
6 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 76 120 196
7 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 116 85 201
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 89 113 202
9 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 109 100 209
10 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 117 110 227
11 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 147 104 251
12 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 185 107 292
13 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 138 165 303
14 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 204 138 342
15 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 149 195 344
16 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 207 MRP 219 MRP 426 MRP
17 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 245 213 458
18 Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State 254 MRP 268 MRP 522 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 5 4 5 2 2 8 1 8 2 1 5 7 9 3 62 Nicholas Voss '12 [1-14]
Kara Voss '15 [1-2, 9-10]
Nicole Popp '12 [3-8, 11-14]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 2 4 3 3 10 10 4 1 7 7 12 8 4 76 Joseph Kutschenreuter '12 [1-14]
Molly Forbes '12 [1-12]
Michael Lee '14 [13-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 12 9 14 4 5 1 7 3 3 5 3 4 3 10 83 Shawn Murray '12
Emma Lamontagne '14
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 DSQ 3 5 4 3 9 6 7 2 1 8 7 8 84 Anne Haeger '12 [1-14]
Laura Mckenna '13 [1-2, 5-8]
Patrick Hession '13 [3-4, 9-14]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 8 6 11 12 5 3 15 5 3 4 6 1 2 84 Brendan Kopp '12 [1-14]
Sarah Pierson '14 [1-12]
Brian Drumm '15 [13-14]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 10 5 2 9 1 2 5 11 6 8 8 1 5 15 88 Joseph Morris '12 [1-14]
Isabel Elliman '12 [1-8, 11-12]
Heather May '13 [9-10, 13-14]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 1 9 10 8 13 11 7 4 4 2 9 6 1 89 William Haeger '14
Paula Grasberger '14
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 6 3 7 13 9 4 8 2 9 14 10 11 2 11 109 Will Stocke '13 [1-8, 11-14]
Christopher Stocke '15 [9-10]
Emily Johnson '13 [1-8, 11-14]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11 6 1 8 11 7 4 13 8 15 6 10 10 6 116 Jason Carminati '12 [1-10]
Markus Edegran '16 [11-14]
Julie Digiovanni '13 [1-10]
Saverio Maldari '12 [11-14]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 8 13 10 7 10 9 2 1 13 11 14 2 12 5 117 Joshua Greenslade '14 [1-14]
Katherine Gluskin '13 [1-8]
Kayla Mccomb '13 [9-14]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 7 DSQ 8 1 7 6 6 10 10 13 15 13 14 9 138 Philip Alley '12 [1-14]
Lindsey Ludwig '14 [1-12]
Martha Peterson '12 [13-14]
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 14 15 11 6 15 12 12 9 12 9 11 5 4 12 147 Max Famiglietti '13
Chris Gardiner '14
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 9 10 13 12 6 11 13 5 11 12 13 14 13 7 149 Karl Haelsig '14
Sarah Redmond '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 16 7 16 14 14 16 15 16 15 6 17 3 16 14 185 Nicholas Kaschak '12 [1-14]
Katherine Sander '13 [1-12]
Krystal Treiberg '12 [13-14]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 15 11 15 15 17 14 14 14 17 17 12 16 11 16 204 Brian Hoover '12
Christopher Huang '12
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 13 12 12 17 13 15 17 12 14 10 9 15 15 13 207 MRP Geoff Pedrick '12 [1-14]
Kimberly Wieczner '12 [1-10, 13-14]
Matthew Zampa '15 [11-12]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 18 16 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 16 18 17 17 17 245 Robert Long '12 [1-14]
Travis James '13 [1-2, 5-10, 13-14]
Rachel Childress '14 [3-4]
Lauren Ostrowski '14 [11-12]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State 17 14 17 16 16 17 16 17 16 18 16 18 18 18 254 MRP Ian Jones '15
Jacob Crowell '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11 4 6 5 1 7 2 11 14 3 9 7 1 4 85 Michael Grove '14 [1-14]
Caroline Lockett '12 [1-10, 13-14]
Glenn Mckenna '14 [11-12]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 2 3 14 12 13 7 6 10 8 1 1 3 5 87 Graham Landy '15 [1-8, 11-14]
Cam Cullman '13 [9-10]
Heather May '13 [1-8]
Genoa Warner '12 [9-10]
Christopher Segerblom '14 [11-14]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 7 8 12 7 15 3 13 6 7 4 2 6 7 98 David Hernandez '12
Chelsea Carlson '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 10 6 4 4 4 3 1 10 3 11 DSQ 10 7 8 100 Sean Ross '12 [1-14]
Hillary Noble '12 [1-10, 13-14]
Andrew Jones '11 [11-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 15 11 2 3 3 6 8 5 4 10 8 9 9 9 102 Emily Lambert '12 [1-14]
Brian Drumm '15 [1-10]
Richard Bergsund '15 [11-12]
Sarah Pierson '14 [13-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 5 5 9 11 6 4 12 12 7 4 10 4 12 2 103 Randall Hartranft '12
Paige Conlin '14
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 13 15 13 9 5 11 9 1 2 2 5 5 4 10 104 William Heausler '13
Michelle Thomas '13
Boston College Boston College Eagles 3 1 16 7 8 9 15 2 9 5 3 13 8 6 105 William Bailey '15 [1-7]
Briana Provancha '12 [8-14]
Molly Clarke '13 [1-2, 4-14]
Briana Provancha '12 [3]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6 3 5 2 13 12 13 14 1 1 2 12 10 13 107 Ryan Sullivan '12 [1-14]
Krystal Treiberg '12 [1-7]
Keely Scates '12 [8-14]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 7 9 12 10 11 8 6 8 11 12 7 6 2 1 110 Victor Diaz De Leon '14 [1-14]
Kayla Mccomb '13 [1-7]
Kelley Merryman '14 [8, 11-14]
Ben Lezin '13 [9-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 14 10 7 6 9 1 11 3 15 14 6 3 11 3 113 Massimo Soriano '12 [1-14]
Madeline Luce '13 [1-8, 13]
Sam Madden '15 [9-12, 14]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 12 13 1 1 10 2 5 7 13 6 11 14 14 11 120 George Kutschenreuter '15 [1-14]
Erin Monahan '14 [1-8, 13-14]
Katlyn Putney '14 [9-12]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 16 8 10 8 2 5 4 4 16 15 12 8 16 14 138 Colin Kincaid '14
Martha Davis '12
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 4 12 11 15 14 16 10 16 12 9 13 11 5 17 165 Duncan Howes '15 [1-14]
Devon Furlong '13 [1-8]
Della Bradt '13 [9-10, 13-14]
Gregory Reppucci '15 [11-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 9 14 14 16 16 10 17 17 5 13 16 15 17 16 195 Christopher Fuller '12 [1-4, 8-10]
Zachary Forcade '13 [5-7, 11-14]
Caylin Cordray '13 [1-4, 8-10]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 17 17 18 13 17 17 14 9 18 16 15 BKD 15 12 213 Conner Fullerton '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Colin Feik '13 [3-4, 7-8, 11-14]
Kerry Pelton '13 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jennifer Bender '13 [3-4, 7-8, 11-14]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 8 16 15 17 15 14 16 15 8 17 14 16 13 15 219 MRP Michael Cornew '13 [1-14]
Katherine Nickele '12 [1-10, 13-14]
Noah Aldonas '13 [11-12]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State 18 18 17 18 18 18 18 18 17 18 17 17 18 18 268 MRP Mohamed Alhanaei '13
Sam Webb '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles113355779911111313
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red221818161614141212101088
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators33557799111113131515
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson442218181616141412121010
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes5577991111131315151717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen6644221818161614141212
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats7799111113131515171711
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers88664422181816161414
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Oklahoma State9911111313151517171133
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls151517171133557799
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks10108866442218181616
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies1111131315151717113355
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos12121010886644221818
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters13131515171711335577
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos14141212101088664422
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1616141412121010886644
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers171711335577991111
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181816161414121210108866

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles22446688101012121414
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red1117171515131311119977
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators4466881010121214141616
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson3311171715151313111199
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes668810101212141416161818
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen5533111717151513131111
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats881010121214141616181822
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers77553311171715151313
Oklahoma State UniversityOklahoma State University Oklahoma State101012121414161618182244
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls16161818224466881010
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks997755331117171515
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies1212141416161818224466
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111199775533111717
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters14141616181822446688
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos131311119977553311
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies15151313111199775533
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers18182244668810101212
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1717151513131111997755
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Anne Haeger '12 [1-14] Laura Mckenna '13 [1-2, 5-8]
Patrick Hession '13 [3-4, 9-14]
Eagles William Bailey '15 [1-7]
Briana Provancha '12 [8-14]		 Molly Clarke '13 [1-2, 4-14]
Briana Provancha '12 [3]
Cornell University Cornell University Philip Alley '12 [1-14] Lindsey Ludwig '14 [1-12]
Martha Peterson '12 [13-14]
Big Red Duncan Howes '15 [1-14] Devon Furlong '13 [1-8]
Della Bradt '13 [9-10, 13-14]
Gregory Reppucci '15 [11-12]
Harvard University Harvard University Brendan Kopp '12 [1-14] Sarah Pierson '14 [1-12]
Brian Drumm '15 [13-14]
Crimson Emily Lambert '12 [1-14] Brian Drumm '15 [1-10]
Richard Bergsund '15 [11-12]
Sarah Pierson '14 [13-14]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Geoff Pedrick '12 [1-14] Kimberly Wieczner '12 [1-10, 13-14]
Matthew Zampa '15 [11-12]
Wildcats Michael Cornew '13 [1-14] Katherine Nickele '12 [1-10, 13-14]
Noah Aldonas '13 [11-12]
Oklahoma State University Oklahoma State University Ian Jones '15 Jacob Crowell '15
Oklahoma State Mohamed Alhanaei '13 Sam Webb '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Shawn Murray '12 Emma Lamontagne '14
Privateers Randall Hartranft '12 Paige Conlin '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Joshua Greenslade '14 [1-14] Katherine Gluskin '13 [1-8]
Kayla Mccomb '13 [9-14]
Seahawks Victor Diaz De Leon '14 [1-14] Kayla Mccomb '13 [1-7]
Kelley Merryman '14 [8, 11-14]
Ben Lezin '13 [9-10]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Robert Long '12 [1-14] Travis James '13 [1-2, 5-10, 13-14]
Rachel Childress '14 [3-4]
Lauren Ostrowski '14 [11-12]
Aggies Conner Fullerton '12 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Colin Feik '13 [3-4, 7-8, 11-14]		 Kerry Pelton '13 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jennifer Bender '13 [3-4, 7-8, 11-14]
Tufts University Tufts University William Haeger '14 Paula Grasberger '14
Jumbos Massimo Soriano '12 [1-14] Madeline Luce '13 [1-8, 13]
Sam Madden '15 [9-12, 14]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jason Carminati '12 [1-10]
Markus Edegran '16 [11-14]		 Julie Digiovanni '13 [1-10]
Saverio Maldari '12 [11-14]
Midshipmen Michael Grove '14 [1-14] Caroline Lockett '12 [1-10, 13-14]
Glenn Mckenna '14 [11-12]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Hoover '12 Christopher Huang '12
Anteaters Colin Kincaid '14 Martha Davis '12
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Nicholas Kaschak '12 [1-14] Katherine Sander '13 [1-12]
Krystal Treiberg '12 [13-14]
Gauchos Ryan Sullivan '12 [1-14] Krystal Treiberg '12 [1-7]
Keely Scates '12 [8-14]
University of Florida University of Florida Max Famiglietti '13 Chris Gardiner '14
Gators William Heausler '13 Michelle Thomas '13
University of Miami University of Miami Nicholas Voss '12 [1-14] Kara Voss '15 [1-2, 9-10]
Nicole Popp '12 [3-8, 11-14]
Hurricanes David Hernandez '12 Chelsea Carlson '13
University of South Florida University of South Florida Will Stocke '13 [1-8, 11-14]
Christopher Stocke '15 [9-10]		 Emily Johnson '13 [1-8, 11-14]
Bulls Sean Ross '12 [1-14] Hillary Noble '12 [1-10, 13-14]
Andrew Jones '11 [11-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Karl Haelsig '14 Sarah Redmond '15
Huskies Christopher Fuller '12 [1-4, 8-10]
Zachary Forcade '13 [5-7, 11-14]		 Caylin Cordray '13 [1-4, 8-10]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Joseph Kutschenreuter '12 [1-14] Molly Forbes '12 [1-12]
Michael Lee '14 [13-14]
Badgers George Kutschenreuter '15 [1-14] Erin Monahan '14 [1-8, 13-14]
Katlyn Putney '14 [9-12]
Yale University Yale University Joseph Morris '12 [1-14] Isabel Elliman '12 [1-8, 11-12]
Heather May '13 [9-10, 13-14]
Bulldogs Graham Landy '15 [1-8, 11-14]
Cam Cullman '13 [9-10]		 Heather May '13 [1-8]
Genoa Warner '12 [9-10]
Christopher Segerblom '14 [11-14]

Conditions — 05/12/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1025.1 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 6.4 kn
Gusts to 11.7 kn
From SW (221°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1025.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · S 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Navy: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.11 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →