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72nd Oberg Trophy @ BU by NU

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston College Boston College Eagles 71 37 108
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 61 55 116
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 81 49 130
4 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 60 75 135
5 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 64 73 137
6 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 68 80 148
7 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 81 81 162
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 65 109 174
9 Brown University Brown University Bears 101 106 207
10 Providence College Providence College Friars 118 98 216
11 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 139 84 223
12 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 121 147 268
13 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 172 124 296
14 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 158 178 336
15 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 150 197 347
16 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 172 186 358
17 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 178 187 365
18 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 194 186 380
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 9 9 2 5 4 1 9 7 10 1 1 2 60 Mackenzie Spencer '12
Kristina Landsvik '12
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 5 6 8 7 10 6 1 3 2 8 3 61 Nicolas Russo-Larsson '12
Alyson Yee '12
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 DSQ 1 4 1 2 1 8 4 DSQ 3 1 64 Max Lopez '15
Samantha Bobo '15
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 3 4 1 8 6 14 5 1 3 13 4 65 Ian Towill '14
Cristina Wiley '13
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 10 1 5 3 6 8 4 9 2 8 6 6 68 Scott Houck '15
Rachel Moncton '12
Boston College Boston College Eagles 5 6 3 6 10 3 5 11 8 7 2 5 71 Ryan Schmitz '15
Katherine Wysocki '15
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 7 4 7 7 3 5 11 2 5 6 11 13 81 Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15
Sam Madden '15
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 11 7 10 2 5 7 2 4 9 5 10 9 81 Max Nickbarg '14
Anna Han '14
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 14 12 17 2 4 3 6 7 4 16 12 101 Drew Shea '14
Lucas Serra '13
Providence College Providence College Friars 13 13 13 14 9 11 8 3 6 17 4 7 118 Mike Bloomstine '13 [1-6]
Ian Sutherland '12 [7-12]
Aimee Kelleher '13 [1-6]
Brigitte Spillane '12 [7-12]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 18 2 8 9 11 9 7 10 13 9 7 18 121 Tevis Nichols '12
Angelique Nehmzow '14
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 6 8 9 11 12 15 17 15 12 15 9 10 139 Ames Lyman '14
Mary Katherine Finlayson '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 15 11 12 14 14 10 13 14 12 12 15 150 Genevieve Marquardt '15
Adrienne Adorno '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 16 17 17 18 16 13 15 12 11 10 5 8 158 Michael Rottier '15 [1-12]
Angelika Skwarek '14 [1-6]
Jemma O'Donnell '15 [7-12]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 12 12 14 10 18 12 16 18 16 16 14 14 172 Zach Shapiro '15 [1-6]
Olin Nelson '13 [7-10]
Becker Awqatty '14 [11-12]
Lukas Scott '16 [1-2]
Kristen Kuzil '16 [3-6]
Owen Beringer '19 [7-8]
Becker Awqatty '14 [9-10]
Linnea Goldstein '16 [11-12]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 15 10 15 13 15 16 13 17 18 11 18 11 172 Neal Drake '12 [1-12]
Kayla Wagner '15 [1-6]
Rebecca Rothman '13 [7-12]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 17 11 16 16 13 17 12 16 15 13 15 17 178 Max Fleischfresser '14
Winston Pfotenhauer '15
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 14 16 18 15 17 18 18 14 17 14 17 16 194 John Fonte '12 [1-10]
Davida Judelson '12 [11-12]
Helaine Meyer '14 [1-6]
Davida Judelson '12 [7-10]
Katherine Kolios '12 [11-12]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 2 2 2 3 1 3 5 6 5 3 4 37 William Bowman '14
Shelby Hamilton '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbalaya 3 4 1 9 2 5 9 1 4 3 1 7 49 Ben Weigel '14
Kathleen Kwasniak '14
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 3 9 6 10 2 7 3 7 1 4 1 55 John Meleney '13
Mackenzie Loy '13
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 9 8 5 7 8 12 2 2 1 2 12 5 73 Andrew Tamblyn '13 [1-12]
Ryan Topal '15 [1-6]
Daniel Goldman '13 [7-12]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 6 8 12 6 4 10 9 2 6 5 2 75 Adam Ceely '15
Lillian Pillsbury '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 6 10 7 1 12 9 5 4 11 7 2 6 80 Timothy Scanlon '12 [1-6]
Colin Murphy '15 [7-12]
Alexa Krupp '15 [1-6]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 7 9 4 4 7 3 13 6 8 4 13 3 81 Rob Struckett '12
Sarah Smith '15
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 12 1 10 5 1 6 4 8 9 11 9 8 84 Luke O'Connor '14
Rebecca Frankel '15
Providence College Providence College Friars 8 5 12 10 4 10 8 11 3 8 8 11 98 Chris Aitken '15 [1-12]
Joanne Bothwell '13 [1-6]
Claire Chambers '15 [7-12]
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 7 6 3 11 8 11 17 13 10 6 10 106 Jessica Claflin '13 [1-6]
Timothy Harding '15 [7-12]
Kelly Mcglynn '15 [1-6]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 11 11 3 11 14 11 6 7 10 9 7 9 109 Michael Saldi '15 [1-12]
Joseph Ballow '13 [1-6]
Rebecca Bar '12 [7-12]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 12 13 8 9 7 1 10 17 14 11 12 124 Tasha Greenwood '15
Carolyn Marsh '13
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 14 13 11 14 5 13 18 13 5 12 14 15 147 William Thalheimer '14
Brian Belding '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 16 15 18 15 17 16 15 12 12 15 10 17 178 Shannan Smith '15 [1-6]
William Kresic '13 [7-12]
Andrew Silhavy '14 [1-6]
Katelyn Guerrera '12 [7-12]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 15 16 15 16 15 15 14 14 14 17 17 18 186 Paige Fagan '14
Julianne Shimer '15
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 18 14 16 18 18 14 16 15 16 13 15 13 186 Josh Basseches '12 [1-6]
Jacob Hardy '13 [7-12]
Beth Cohen '14 [1-6]
Ariel Ganz '12 [7-12]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 13 17 17 13 13 17 12 18 15 18 18 16 187 Allyson Fuehrer '15 [1-12]
Alison Mitchell '16 [1-6]
Maureen Blanchard '15 [7-12]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 17 18 14 17 16 18 17 16 18 16 16 14 197 Pierce Conlin '15
Baillie Lawless '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles11335577991111
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers446688101012121414
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges2244668810101212
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears3355779911111313
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1515171711335577
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green557799111113131515
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson66881010121214141616
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners8810101212141416161818
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers77991111131315151717
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1616181822446688
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies99111113131515171711
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars1010121214141616181822
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks11111313151517171133
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks12121414161618182244
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya141416161818224466
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131315151717113355
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts17171133557799
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs1818224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles2244668810101212
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers557799111113131515
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges3355779911111313
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears446688101012121414
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1616181822446688
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green66881010121214141616
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson77991111131315151717
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners99111113131515171711
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8810101212141416161818
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats17171133557799
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1010121214141616181822
Providence CollegeProvidence College Friars11111313151517171133
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks12121414161618182244
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks131315151717113355
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbalaya1515171711335577
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos141416161818224466
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818224466881010
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Ryan Schmitz '15 Katherine Wysocki '15
Eagles William Bowman '14 Shelby Hamilton '14
Boston University Boston University Ian Towill '14 Cristina Wiley '13
Terriers Michael Saldi '15 [1-12] Joseph Ballow '13 [1-6]
Rebecca Bar '12 [7-12]
Brandeis University Brandeis University John Fonte '12 [1-10]
Davida Judelson '12 [11-12]		 Helaine Meyer '14 [1-6]
Davida Judelson '12 [7-10]
Katherine Kolios '12 [11-12]
Judges Josh Basseches '12 [1-6]
Jacob Hardy '13 [7-12]		 Beth Cohen '14 [1-6]
Ariel Ganz '12 [7-12]
Brown University Brown University Drew Shea '14 Lucas Serra '13
Bears Jessica Claflin '13 [1-6]
Timothy Harding '15 [7-12]		 Kelly Mcglynn '15 [1-6]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Scott Houck '15 Rachel Moncton '12
Big Green Timothy Scanlon '12 [1-6]
Colin Murphy '15 [7-12]		 Alexa Krupp '15 [1-6]
Harvard University Harvard University Ames Lyman '14 Mary Katherine Finlayson '15
Crimson Luke O'Connor '14 Rebecca Frankel '15
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Max Fleischfresser '14 Winston Pfotenhauer '15
Mariners Allyson Fuehrer '15 [1-12] Alison Mitchell '16 [1-6]
Maureen Blanchard '15 [7-12]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Tevis Nichols '12 Angelique Nehmzow '14
Engineers William Thalheimer '14 Brian Belding '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Zach Shapiro '15 [1-6]
Olin Nelson '13 [7-10]
Becker Awqatty '14 [11-12]		 Lukas Scott '16 [1-2]
Kristen Kuzil '16 [3-6]
Owen Beringer '19 [7-8]
Becker Awqatty '14 [9-10]
Linnea Goldstein '16 [11-12]
Huskies Tasha Greenwood '15 Carolyn Marsh '13
Providence College Providence College Mike Bloomstine '13 [1-6]
Ian Sutherland '12 [7-12]		 Aimee Kelleher '13 [1-6]
Brigitte Spillane '12 [7-12]
Friars Chris Aitken '15 [1-12] Joanne Bothwell '13 [1-6]
Claire Chambers '15 [7-12]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Max Lopez '15 Samantha Bobo '15
Hawks Andrew Tamblyn '13 [1-12] Ryan Topal '15 [1-6]
Daniel Goldman '13 [7-12]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Genevieve Marquardt '15 Adrienne Adorno '13
Seahawks Pierce Conlin '15 Baillie Lawless '15
Tufts University Tufts University Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon '15 Sam Madden '15
Jumbalaya Ben Weigel '14 Kathleen Kwasniak '14
Tufts University Tufts University Nicolas Russo-Larsson '12 Alyson Yee '12
Jumbos John Meleney '13 Mackenzie Loy '13
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Michael Rottier '15 [1-12] Angelika Skwarek '14 [1-6]
Jemma O'Donnell '15 [7-12]
Huskies Shannan Smith '15 [1-6]
William Kresic '13 [7-12]		 Andrew Silhavy '14 [1-6]
Katelyn Guerrera '12 [7-12]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Neal Drake '12 [1-12] Kayla Wagner '15 [1-6]
Rebecca Rothman '13 [7-12]
Wildcats Paige Fagan '14 Julianne Shimer '15
University of Vermont University of Vermont Mackenzie Spencer '12 Kristina Landsvik '12
Catamounts Adam Ceely '15 Lillian Pillsbury '14
Yale University Yale University Max Nickbarg '14 Anna Han '14
Bulldogs Rob Struckett '12 Sarah Smith '15

Conditions — 04/14/2012 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 34%  ·  Pressure 1018.3 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 68°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.5 kn
Gusts to 16.7 kn
From WSW (246°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover68% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity34% Pressure1018.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn · SW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northeastern: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.00 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northeastern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at Northeastern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →