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MAISA Spring Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 20 15 35
2 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 29 44 73
3 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 18 60 78
4 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 48 30 78
5 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 41 40 81
6 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 39 56 95
7 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 47 51 98
8 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 95 51 146
9 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 84 63 147
10 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 72 91 163
11 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 74 91 165
12 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 109 74 183
13 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 82 102 184
14 University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 95 97 192
15 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 126 96 222
16 Bucknell University Bucknell University Bucknell 109 127 236
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 3 6 1 1 1 4 1 1 18 Austin Neuman '16
Peter Heinbockel '16
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 1 2 4 4 1 5 2 20 Elliott Morrill '15
Sarah Hogg '16
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 6 3 5 3 2 3 3 4 29 Eric Siegel '16
Alexandra Crawford '16
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 4 2 3 8 5 5 2 10 39 Chris Myers '15
Ashley Paulino '15
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 4 6 5 8 2 8 6 41 Mia Cooper '14
Emma Huntress '16
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 5 5 7 2 10 7 4 7 47 Jennifer Borshoff '15
Rebecca Macies '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 9 9 4 7 3 6 7 3 48 John Nothacker '16
Christopher Whalen '15
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 7 10 8 9 6 11 12 9 72 Mary Margaret Meehan '15
Nicolas Leeper '14
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 8 7 12 11 13 9 6 8 74 Andrew Grasso '15 [1-8]
Lauren Bleakney '13 [1-5]
Layton Hopper '16 [6-8]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 10 16 9 6 14 8 14 5 82 Andrew Beckmann '15
James Peaco '14
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 11 12 11 10 7 10 9 14 84 Hannah Mcnomee '16 [1-8]
Meagan Murphy '15 [1-2, 6-8]
Michael Ince '16 [3-5]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 14 14 10 14 9 12 10 12 95 Elliot Greenwald '16
Abigail Feikes '16
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 15 8 13 12 12 13 11 11 95 Kathryn Luly '14
Karl Larsen '15
Bucknell University Bucknell University Bucknell 12 13 14 15 11 15 16 13 109 Emily Browning '15
Amy Patterson '16
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 13 11 15 13 15 14 13 15 109 Nathan Fulcher '13
Ben Pacnas '16
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 16 15 16 16 16 16 15 16 126 Mary Loffredo '14 [1-8]
Alicia Elliott '15 [1-4]
Gregory Sarafin '14 [5-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 1 1 4 5 1 1 1 15 Stewart Draheim '16
Ema Johnson '16
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 10 4 1 7 2 2 2 30 Nicholas Wallinder '15
Whitney Taylor '16
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 3 4 2 9 6 4 9 3 40 Madeleine Sims '16
Caroline Wolff '16
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 8 6 6 3 2 5 7 7 44 Eleanor Conroy '15
Siobhan Ryan '16
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 6 3 5 6 11 6 3 11 51 Nicholas Pardini '16
Emma Van Wagenberg '14
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 7 5 7 7 1 14 5 5 51 Collin Clark '14
Juliet Levine '14
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 5 8 10 11 9 3 4 6 56 Jakub Tyczynski '15
Tracy Venella '16
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 4 2 3 5 4 15 12 15 60 Padraig Loughlin '15 [1-4]
Andrew Mueller '15 [5-8]
Andrew Mueller '15 [1-4]
Padraig Loughlin '15 [5-8]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 10 7 12 2 3 11 8 10 63 Benjaim Helfand '16
Alix Suter '16
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester 15 9 11 13 8 8 6 4 74 Peter Webster '16
Kent Derbyshire '16
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 9 14 9 10 16 10 10 13 91 Laura Maranto '14
James Price '13
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 11 11 14 8 13 13 13 8 91 Sarah Gross '15
Kelly Cooke '13
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 14 13 8 14 10 9 14 14 96 Zachary Kyritsis '14
Emily Brownawell '15
University of Rochester University of Rochester U. Rochester 12 15 13 15 12 7 11 12 97 Matthew Pavlos '15 [1-8]
Michael Dieringer '15 [1-4]
Matlia Janigro '15 [5-8]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Army 13 12 15 12 14 12 15 9 102 Dylan Russell '13
Zachary Lee '15
Bucknell University Bucknell University Bucknell 16 16 16 16 15 16 16 16 127 Peter Lander '15
Connor Engstrom '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (22 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army11223344
Bucknell UniversityBucknell University Bucknell221116161515
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions33445566
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red44332211
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons55667788
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams66554433
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials7788991010
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen88776655
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners99101011111212
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1010998877
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1111121213131414
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester12121111101099
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester1313141415151616
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves1414131312121111
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange151516161122
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1616151514141313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Army11223344
Bucknell UniversityBucknell University Bucknell221116161515
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions33445566
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red44332211
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons55667788
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams66554433
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials7788991010
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen88776655
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners99101011111212
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1010998877
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1111121213131414
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Rochester12121111101099
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester U. Rochester1313141415151616
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves1414131312121111
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange151516161122
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1616151514141313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bucknell University Bucknell University Emily Browning '15 Amy Patterson '16
Bucknell Peter Lander '15 Connor Engstrom '16
Columbia University Columbia University Mary Margaret Meehan '15 Nicolas Leeper '14
Lions Laura Maranto '14 James Price '13
Cornell University Cornell University Jennifer Borshoff '15 Rebecca Macies '14
Big Red Collin Clark '14 Juliet Levine '14
Drexel University Drexel University Chris Myers '15 Ashley Paulino '15
Dragons Jakub Tyczynski '15 Tracy Venella '16
Fordham University Fordham University Mia Cooper '14 Emma Huntress '16
Rams Madeleine Sims '16 Caroline Wolff '16
George Washington University George Washington University Hannah Mcnomee '16 [1-8] Meagan Murphy '15 [1-2, 6-8]
Michael Ince '16 [3-5]
Colonials Benjaim Helfand '16 Alix Suter '16
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Elliott Morrill '15 Sarah Hogg '16
Statesmen Stewart Draheim '16 Ema Johnson '16
Princeton University Princeton University Andrew Grasso '15 [1-8] Lauren Bleakney '13 [1-5]
Layton Hopper '16 [6-8]
Tigers Sarah Gross '15 Kelly Cooke '13
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Nathan Fulcher '13 Ben Pacnas '16
Rochester Peter Webster '16 Kent Derbyshire '16
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College John Nothacker '16 Christopher Whalen '15
Privateers Nicholas Wallinder '15 Whitney Taylor '16
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Mary Loffredo '14 [1-8] Alicia Elliott '15 [1-4]
Gregory Sarafin '14 [5-8]
Seawolves Zachary Kyritsis '14 Emily Brownawell '15
Syracuse University Syracuse University Elliot Greenwald '16 Abigail Feikes '16
Orange Nicholas Pardini '16 Emma Van Wagenberg '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Austin Neuman '16 Peter Heinbockel '16
Mariners Padraig Loughlin '15 [1-4]
Andrew Mueller '15 [5-8]		 Andrew Mueller '15 [1-4]
Padraig Loughlin '15 [5-8]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Andrew Beckmann '15 James Peaco '14
Army Dylan Russell '13 Zachary Lee '15
University of Rochester University of Rochester Kathryn Luly '14 Karl Larsen '15
U. Rochester Matthew Pavlos '15 [1-8] Michael Dieringer '15 [1-4]
Matlia Janigro '15 [5-8]
Washington College Washington College Eric Siegel '16 Alexandra Crawford '16
Shoremen Eleanor Conroy '15 Siobhan Ryan '16

Conditions — 04/13/2013 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1012.2 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 46°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From W (263°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine10.4 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1012.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 8 kn* · NW 15 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kings Point: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →