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PCCSC/Patagonia Coed Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 24 17 41
2 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 49 53 102
3 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 53 50 103
4 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 49 69 118
5 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 78 44 122
6 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 71 57 128
7 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 96 68 164
8 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 90 76 166
9 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 64 104 168
10 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 90 94 184
11 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 78 112 190
12 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 118 115 233
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 1 3 2 2 1 1 3 3 1 5 24 Oliver Toole '14 [1-8]
Kevin Laube '14 [9-11]
Haley Kirk '15 [1-8]
Carolyn Ortel '14 [9-11]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 4 10 3 1 4 4 11 1 2 8 49 Ian Stokes '16
Natalie Davidson '16
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 DSQ 7 1 3 3 7 1 4 3 2 49 Matthew Morris '16
Danielle Sams '16
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 4 6 1 12 4 2 2 10 2 9 1 53 Adam Pokras '14
Kellie Yamada '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 2 4 6 5 9 8 6 11 7 3 64 Cameron Hutcheson '14
Hollis Barth '16
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 7 9 6 9 10 6 3 4 5 6 6 71 Lindsay Grove '13
Daniel Marks '14
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 9 3 11 4 11 5 9 8 7 4 7 78 Shane Young '14
Foya Lazare '14
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 10 5 9 5 7 7 OCS 2 8 8 4 78 Emelia Pelliccio '13
Erica Parker '14
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 6 8 5 8 12 10 10 5 10 5 11 90 Chris Vilicich '16
Stephen Katz '16
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 12 7 2 10 6 8 6 12 6 11 10 90 Travis Benton '14
Sarah Adams '13
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 8 10 8 7 9 11 5 7 9 10 12 96 Brian Hoover '12
Kate Andersen '15
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 11 11 12 11 8 12 11 9 12 12 9 118 Hanna Miller '15
Lauren Orloff '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 17 Mateo Vargas '14
Tally Buckstaff '14
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 4 5 3 2 2 7 4 3 8 4 2 44 Mark Ryan '15
Nicholas Santos '15
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 9 4 7 8 1 7 5 2 2 4 50 Madeline Kennedy '14
Lindsay Stewart '13
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 6 2 4 7 3 5 10 4 7 3 53 Ginger Luckey '16
Grant Rickon '16
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Broncos 6 4 5 8 5 6 3 9 3 3 5 57 Francesca Cappellini '16
Rachel Flanagan '14
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 9 2 7 5 9 8 2 1 11 6 8 68 Samuel Heller '15 [1-6]
Nicholas Weis '15 [7-11]
William Larsen '13 [1-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 10 6 3 3 4 11 6 9 5 9 69 Eric Alamillo '13
Nicolas Delfino '16
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 8 3 8 11 4 5 6 7 7 10 7 76 Matthew Van Rensselaer '13
Eileen Welch '15
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 7 7 9 10 10 10 9 11 6 9 6 94 Joshua Goldberg '14
Ethan Pawson '14
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 11 8 11 12 11 12 8 8 5 8 10 104 John Coakley '16 [1-4, 7-11]
Kendall Sanson '15 [5-6]
Olivia Gebelein '15 [1-4, 7-11]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 10 11 10 9 6 9 12 12 10 12 11 112 Gabriel Monti '15 [1-6]
Louise Lehman '14 [7-11]
Carly Olenick '13 [1-6]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 12 12 12 6 12 11 10 4 12 11 OCS 115 Mark Hurdle '13
Natalie Cardoso '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears779911111313151517
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers88181816161414121210
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers9911111313151517177
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows171777991111131315
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters10108818181616141412
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos1111131315151717779
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans181816161414121210108
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal12121010881818161614
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters131315151717779911
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins14141212101088181816
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons16161414121210108818
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos151517177799111113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears88101012121414161618
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers7717171515131311119
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers101012121414161618188
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows18188810101212141416
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters997717171515131311
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Broncos12121414161618188810
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans1717151513131111997
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal111199771717151513
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters14141616181888101012
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins131311119977171715
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons151513131111997717
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos16161818881010121214
School / Team SkipperCrew
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Chris Vilicich '16 Stephen Katz '16
Keelhaulers Matthew Van Rensselaer '13 Eileen Welch '15
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Shane Young '14 Foya Lazare '14
49ers Mark Ryan '15 Nicholas Santos '15
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Hanna Miller '15 Lauren Orloff '16
Otters Mark Hurdle '13 Natalie Cardoso '13
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Lindsay Grove '13 Daniel Marks '14
Broncos Francesca Cappellini '16 Rachel Flanagan '14
Stanford University Stanford University Oliver Toole '14 [1-8]
Kevin Laube '14 [9-11]		 Haley Kirk '15 [1-8]
Carolyn Ortel '14 [9-11]
Cardinal Mateo Vargas '14 Tally Buckstaff '14
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Travis Benton '14 Sarah Adams '13
Golden Bears Joshua Goldberg '14 Ethan Pawson '14
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Hoover '12 Kate Andersen '15
Anteaters Samuel Heller '15 [1-6]
Nicholas Weis '15 [7-11]		 William Larsen '13 [1-6]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Emelia Pelliccio '13 Erica Parker '14
Bruins Gabriel Monti '15 [1-6]
Louise Lehman '14 [7-11]		 Carly Olenick '13 [1-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Matthew Morris '16 Danielle Sams '16
Tritons Eric Alamillo '13 Nicolas Delfino '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Ian Stokes '16 Natalie Davidson '16
Gauchos Ginger Luckey '16 Grant Rickon '16
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Adam Pokras '14 Kellie Yamada '16
Rainbows Madeline Kennedy '14 Lindsay Stewart '13
University of Southern California University of Southern California Cameron Hutcheson '14 Hollis Barth '16
Trojans John Coakley '16 [1-4, 7-11]
Kendall Sanson '15 [5-6]		 Olivia Gebelein '15 [1-4, 7-11]

Conditions — 04/06/2013 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1017.0 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 8.4 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From SW (235°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover31% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1017.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn · SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at San Diego State: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at San Diego State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at San Diego State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →