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PCCSC Women's Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 24 12 36
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 21 43 64
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 50 23 73
4 Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 61 42 103
5 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 50 66 116
6 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 35 96 MRP 131 MRP
7 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 78 53 131
8 California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 75 94 169
9 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 78 102 180
10 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 86 98 184
11 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 130 61 191
12 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 102 111 213
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 2 1 3 2 3 1 4 1 2 21 Madeline Kennedy '14
Katrina Berry '15
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 3 3 1 1 4 4 1 5 1 24 Molly Mckinney '14
Cally Tullo '17
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 5 1 2 2 4 2 5 2 6 6 35 Jennifer Hays '17
Delaney Evans '17
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 7 4 6 4 7 8 3 5 3 3 50 Kendall Sanson '15
Hollis Barth '16
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 9 7 8 5 3 6 2 3 2 5 50 Ginger Luckey '16
Marina Fennell '17
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 8 6 4 8 6 7 8 6 4 4 61 Sarah Davis '15 [1-10]
Avary Osborn '17 [1-4]
Kat Kendall '16 [5-10]
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 3 10 5 6 11 9 6 9 8 8 75 Christina Stege '14
Claudia Marino '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 8 9 10 5 5 7 10 11 9 78 Danielle Sams '16
Hannah Alford '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 6 5 7 7 8 10 10 8 7 10 78 Elizabeth Hays '17
Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 10 9 11 9 9 1 9 7 10 11 86 Bridget Steiner '14
Kathryn Benight '15
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 11 11 10 11 10 11 11 11 9 7 102 Michelle Moua '17
Natasha Jarett '14
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 130 No Show
No Show
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 Maeve White '17 [1-4]
Yuki Yoshiyasu '16 [5-8]
Holly Tullo '17 [9-10]
Michelle Catania '16 [1-4]
Noelle Herring '16 [5-10]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 2 1 1 2 4 2 3 3 3 23 Olivia Godfrey '17
Kristina Miller '17
Westmont College Westmont College Warriors 4 5 4 8 3 2 3 4 4 5 42 Jennifer Davis '14 [1-10]
Abby Gritter '17 [1-4]
Amy Woo '16 [5-6]
Abby Conner '17 [7-10]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 3 3 7 10 4 5 5 2 2 2 43 Cecilia Jansson '15 [1-6, 9-10]
Louise Currie '18 [7-8]
Andrea Kelly '14 [1-6, 9-10]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 4 6 5 7 3 6 6 7 4 53 Sarah Wyman '17
Justina Leo '15
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 8 8 3 4 6 7 7 7 5 6 61 Kathryn Cornella '16
Katie Davis '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 7 6 5 6 8 6 4 5 6 DNF 66 Olivia Gebelein '15
Nicole Bosetti '15
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters 9 10 9 7 9 8 10 12 12 8 94 Lauren Orloff '16
Casey Weisenseel '15
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Golden Bears 6 7 10 3 10 9 8 8 8 7 96 MRP Kelly Goodman '14
Kelly Archer '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 10 9 12 9 5 11 12 10 9 11 98 Ellen Suder '16
Deanne Buckman '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 11 11 8 11 11 10 9 11 11 9 102 Cheyenne Wright '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Erika Poynter '16 [3-4, 7-8]
Elsa Felgar '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Rosalie Winnik '15 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 12 12 11 12 12 12 11 9 10 10 111 Mary Garnich '15 [1-10]
Hayley Palmer '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Marissa Huston '17 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (20 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears44221212101088
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang1133557799
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows101088664422
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters22121210108866
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans111111335577
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal335577991111
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies557799111111
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters66442212121010
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins779911111133
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons886644221212
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos991111113355
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors12121010886644

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Golden Bears331111119977
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang224466881010
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows9977553311
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters111111997755
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans121222446688
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal44668810101212
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies66881010121222
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters553311111199
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins88101012122244
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons775533111111
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos10101212224466
Westmont CollegeWestmont College Warriors111199775533
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. No Show No Show
Mustang Kathryn Cornella '16 Katie Davis '15
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Christina Stege '14 Claudia Marino '17
Otters Lauren Orloff '16 Casey Weisenseel '15
Stanford University Stanford University Molly Mckinney '14 Cally Tullo '17
Cardinal Maeve White '17 [1-4]
Yuki Yoshiyasu '16 [5-8]
Holly Tullo '17 [9-10]		 Michelle Catania '16 [1-4]
Noelle Herring '16 [5-10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Jennifer Hays '17 Delaney Evans '17
Golden Bears Kelly Goodman '14 Kelly Archer '17
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Michelle Moua '17 Natasha Jarett '14
Aggies Mary Garnich '15 [1-10] Hayley Palmer '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Marissa Huston '17 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Bridget Steiner '14 Kathryn Benight '15
Anteaters Ellen Suder '16 Deanne Buckman '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Elizabeth Hays '17 Kylie Sullivan '17
Bruins Sarah Wyman '17 Justina Leo '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Danielle Sams '16 Hannah Alford '17
Tritons Cheyenne Wright '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Erika Poynter '16 [3-4, 7-8]		 Elsa Felgar '16 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Rosalie Winnik '15 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Ginger Luckey '16 Marina Fennell '17
Gauchos Olivia Godfrey '17 Kristina Miller '17
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Madeline Kennedy '14 Katrina Berry '15
Rainbows Cecilia Jansson '15 [1-6, 9-10]
Louise Currie '18 [7-8]		 Andrea Kelly '14 [1-6, 9-10]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Kendall Sanson '15 Hollis Barth '16
Trojans Olivia Gebelein '15 Nicole Bosetti '15
Westmont College Westmont College Sarah Davis '15 [1-10] Avary Osborn '17 [1-4]
Kat Kendall '16 [5-10]
Warriors Jennifer Davis '14 [1-10] Abby Gritter '17 [1-4]
Amy Woo '16 [5-6]
Abby Conner '17 [7-10]

Conditions — 04/05/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 37%  ·  Pressure 1015.9 hPa

Temperature

66°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.5 kn
avg  ·  max 10.0 kn
Gusts to 27.8 kn
From NNW (334°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover7% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity37% Pressure1015.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 19 kn · S 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at UC Santa Barbara: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.12
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.03 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC Santa Barbara by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at UC Santa Barbara).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →