Navigate

Bryson Women's

SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal B 4 2 5 2 6 1 2 1 1 1 6 31 Julia Lambert '18
Alex Archer '15
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal A 1 OCS 1 1 1 2 1 2 3 2 3 36 Maeve White '17
Sarah Lucas '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 A 6 4 6 4 5 4 6 3 5 3 1 47 Hollis Barth '16
Nicole Bosetti '15
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears B 3 6 2 3 3 6 4 6 2 8 7 50 Jennifer Hays '17
Katie Hitchcock '16
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 B 5 8 7 5 4 3 5 4 8 4 9 62 Olivia Gebelein '15
Mackenzie Freeman '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 A 12 1 8 9 2 5 12 5 4 7 5 70 Kendall Sanson '15 [1-11]
Melissa Schem '18 [1-4, 9-11]
Hollis Barth '16 [5-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 A 2 11 4 10 7 11 10 10 11 9 4 89 Elizabeth Hays '17
Kylie Sullivan '17
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters A 7 5 9 8 10 8 13 12 7 11 2 92 Olivia Gibbons '17 [1-11]
Casey Weisenseel '15 [1-9, 11]
Kylee Walterman '17 [10]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears A 10 3 10 6 9 7 8 8 15 13 11 100 Kyra Oakes '18
Ekaterina Goncharova '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang A 8 12 12 11 12 9 7 7 10 5 8 101 Grace Carrick '18
Haley Weber '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 B 13 9 3 13 11 12 14 9 6 10 12 112 Sarah Wyman '17
Justina Leo '15
California State University Monterey Bay California State University Monterey Bay Otters B 9 10 13 7 8 10 9 11 12 14 17 120 Alicia Ward '18
Lauren Orloff '16
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang B 11 13 15 12 13 13 15 16 9 12 13 142 Kathryn Cornella '16
Kathryn Eberle '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 A 15 14 14 15 15 14 11 13 13 6 16 146 Sarah Macpherson '18
Laura Roudebush '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 B 14 7 11 14 DNF DNF DNF DNF 14 15 10 161 Hollis Barth '16
Nicole Bosetti '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 B 18 16 18 18 14 15 3 14 16 17 14 163 Erin Kelly '17
Bobbie Hutchinson '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons A 16 15 16 16 16 16 16 15 18 16 15 175 Hayley Chong '17
Heather Hardenberg '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons B 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 18 18 189 Grant Lin '17
Elsa Felgar '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2014 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears44444444444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang11111111111
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters22222222222
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 188888888888
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 299999999999
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal33333333333
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 155555555555
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 266666666666
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons77777777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears1414141414141414141414
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang1111111111111111111111
California State University Monterey BayCalifornia State University Monterey Bay Otters1212121212121212121212
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 11818181818181818181818
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 21010101010101010101010
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal1313131313131313131313
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 11515151515151515151515
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 21616161616161616161616
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons1717171717171717171717

Conditions — 04/11/2015 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1017.8 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.6 kn
Gusts to 21.0 kn
From W (279°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover27% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1017.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 15 kn · N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Stanford: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →