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Jeff Simon Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 15 7 22
2 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 17 17 34
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 16 23 39
4 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 21 26 47
5 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 36 31 67
6 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 35 32 67
7 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 29 50 79
8 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 32 60 92
9 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 55 40 95
10 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 50 47 97
11 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 55 53 108
12 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 61 50 111
13 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 3 47 75 122
14 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 77 66 143
15 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 76 85 161
16 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 4 80 82 162
17 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 91 76 167
18 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 88 81 169
19 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 97 74 171
20 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 91 92 183
21 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 93 103 196
22 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 106 96 202
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 5 3 1 4 2 15 Sterling Henken '18
Amelia Anderson '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 1 2 2 7 4 16 Olivia Godfrey '17
Ellen Gable '17
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 1 10 2 1 17 John Coakley '16
Paul Chyz '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 6 5 4 1 5 21 Tyler Webb '15
Anna Rubino '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 2 6 5 8 8 29 Elizabeth Hays '17
Kylie Sullivan '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 4 12 3 3 10 32 Nicholas Weis '15
Deanne Buckman '15
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 8 4 6 11 6 35 Tristram Craig '18
Rory Mcclish '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 7 7 7 12 3 36 Nicolas Delfino '16
Cheyenne Wright '16
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 3 9 8 9 10 11 47 Brian Maclean '18
James Prendergast '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 15 9 13 6 7 50 Joseph Lausten '18
Haley Weber '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 11 10 16 5 13 55 Greg Kushnir '18
Jessica Eisenhauer '18
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 16 13 8 9 9 55 Alexander Smith '18
Carter Hill '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 10 14 11 14 12 61 Samuel Heller '15
Kourtney Roland '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 DNF 11 14 13 15 76 Tyler Caroe '15
Ari Zeen '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 12 21 12 15 17 77 Gabriel Monti '15
Alexander Daniele '18
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 4 13 15 17 16 19 80 James Heller '15
Hazel Mcintosh '15
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 18 17 18 19 16 88 Conor Mcgee '17 [1-5]
Alexandra Heisler '18 [1-4]
Joe Rosser '16 [5]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 17 18 15 OCS 18 91 Samuel Rohrbach '17
Alexander Heide '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 20 20 19 18 14 91 Max Nutkiewicz '15 [1-2, 5]
Cullen Quine '18 [3-4]
Alex Frei '18 [1-2, 5]
Kieran Hashmi '17 [3-4]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 14 16 20 20 DNS 93 Alex Sinclair '16
Mark Jones '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 19 19 22 17 20 97 Erika Poynter '16
Jared Buchanan '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 21 22 21 21 21 106 Ismael Munoz '15
Grant Lin '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 1 2 2 1 1 7 Joseph Schiff '17
Neil Stapleton '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 3 1 1 6 6 17 Kendall Sanson '15
Peter Wong '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 5 4 3 2 9 23 Gregory Coumes '17
Noah Eckhous '15
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 1 2 5 4 8 7 26 Sunny Scarbrough '17
Nicholas Santos '15
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 6 9 5 3 8 31 Brett Farrell '17
Hayley Chong '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 7 3 10 10 2 32 Kevin Leddy '17 [1-2, 5]
Anthony Helm '15 [3-4]
Anonah Lee '18 [1-2, 5]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 14 7 11 5 3 40 Oliver Kunz '15
James Kerman '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 9 13 8 12 5 47 Dylan Rinker '16
Chandler Gifford '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 4 10 6 14 16 50 Sarah Wyman '17
Justina Leo '15
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 11 6 15 7 11 50 Daniel Diaz '15
Robin Fales '16
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 8 12 14 9 10 53 Chad Hardgrove '15
Kylie Jenkins '16
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 10 8 18 4 20 60 Philip Tagatac '17
Frances Liu '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 16 11 7 11 21 66 Sarah Macpherson '18
Laura Roudebush '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 13 16 9 22 14 74 Shannon Frick '16 [1-4]
Nils-Erik Rundquist '17 [5]
David Luu '17 [1-4]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 3 19 18 13 13 12 75 Ellen Suder '16
Caressa Brewer '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 17 17 21 17 4 76 Yan Rui Goheen '17
Robyn Gillum '18
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 15 19 17 15 15 81 William Angione '18 [1-4]
Joseph Elvig '17 [5]
Joseph Elvig '17 [1-4]
Andrew Kinton '17 [5]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 4 12 15 20 16 19 82 Addison Whittet '16
Mary Oneill '16
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 2 18 14 16 20 17 85 Michael Colavita '14
Brennan Lund '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 22 21 12 19 18 92 Bleiz Larzul '18
Nellie Ponarul '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 5 21 22 19 21 13 96 Daniel Augusto Salvadori '16
Ghanim Hableel '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 20 20 22 18 DNS 103 Diego Gomes '17
Oliver Kelton '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 14040404040
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 23939393939
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 144444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2103103103103103
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 177777
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 288888
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans3737373737
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 12525252525
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 22626262626
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 3125125125125125
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 4126126126126126
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3281281281281281
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 12929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 23030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3129129129129129
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 4292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 5729729729729729
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 13131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 23232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3131131131131131

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 14040404040
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils 23939393939
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 144444
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2103103103103103
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 177777
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers 288888
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans3737373737
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 12525252525
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 22626262626
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 3125125125125125
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 4126126126126126
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2271271271271271
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3281281281281281
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 12929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 23030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3129129129129129
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 4292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 5729729729729729
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 13131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 23232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3131131131131131
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Alexander Smith '18 Carter Hill '17
Sun Devils 1 Chad Hardgrove '15 Kylie Jenkins '16
Arizona State University Arizona State University Conor Mcgee '17 [1-5] Alexandra Heisler '18 [1-4]
Joe Rosser '16 [5]
Sun Devils 2 William Angione '18 [1-4]
Joseph Elvig '17 [5]		 Joseph Elvig '17 [1-4]
Andrew Kinton '17 [5]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Greg Kushnir '18 Jessica Eisenhauer '18
Mustang 1 Oliver Kunz '15 James Kerman '17
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Joseph Lausten '18 Haley Weber '18
Mustang 2 Dylan Rinker '16 Chandler Gifford '18
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Tyler Webb '15 Anna Rubino '16
49ers 1 Sunny Scarbrough '17 Nicholas Santos '15
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Tyler Caroe '15 Ari Zeen '17
49ers 2 Michael Colavita '14 Brennan Lund '17
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Samuel Heller '15 Kourtney Roland '18
Anteaters 1 Daniel Diaz '15 Robin Fales '16
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Nicholas Weis '15 Deanne Buckman '15
Anteaters 2 Philip Tagatac '17 Frances Liu '18
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Maclean '18 James Prendergast '18
Anteaters 3 Ellen Suder '16 Caressa Brewer '18
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine James Heller '15 Hazel Mcintosh '15
Anteaters 4 Addison Whittet '16 Mary Oneill '16
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Elizabeth Hays '17 Kylie Sullivan '17
Bruins 1 Sarah Wyman '17 Justina Leo '15
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Gabriel Monti '15 Alexander Daniele '18
Bruins 2 Sarah Macpherson '18 Laura Roudebush '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Max Nutkiewicz '15 [1-2, 5]
Cullen Quine '18 [3-4]		 Alex Frei '18 [1-2, 5]
Kieran Hashmi '17 [3-4]
Bruins 3 Bleiz Larzul '18 Nellie Ponarul '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Nicolas Delfino '16 Cheyenne Wright '16
Tritons 1 Brett Farrell '17 Hayley Chong '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Samuel Rohrbach '17 Alexander Heide '15
Tritons 2 Yan Rui Goheen '17 Robyn Gillum '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Erika Poynter '16 Jared Buchanan '17
Tritons 3 Shannon Frick '16 [1-4]
Nils-Erik Rundquist '17 [5]		 David Luu '17 [1-4]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Alex Sinclair '16 Mark Jones '15
Tritons 4 Diego Gomes '17 Oliver Kelton '17
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Ismael Munoz '15 Grant Lin '17
Tritons 5 Daniel Augusto Salvadori '16 Ghanim Hableel '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Sterling Henken '18 Amelia Anderson '18
Gauchos 1 Joseph Schiff '17 Neil Stapleton '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Tristram Craig '18 Rory Mcclish '18
Gauchos 2 Kevin Leddy '17 [1-2, 5]
Anthony Helm '15 [3-4]		 Anonah Lee '18 [1-2, 5]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Olivia Godfrey '17 Ellen Gable '17
Gauchos 3 Gregory Coumes '17 Noah Eckhous '15
University of Southern California University of Southern California John Coakley '16 Paul Chyz '18
Trojans Kendall Sanson '15 Peter Wong '18

Conditions — 01/24/2015 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 30%  ·  Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 12.8 kn
From N (357°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity30% Pressure1016.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 6 kn · W 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC San Diego: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.19 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC San Diego by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at UC San Diego).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →