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Jeff Simon Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 28 16 44
2 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 32 30 62
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 29 50 79
4 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 37 64 101
5 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 56 58 114
6 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 82 45 127
7 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 104 49 153
8 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 84 71 155
9 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 117 40 157
10 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 52 139 191
11 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 81 115 196
12 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 84 118 202
13 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 103 106 209
14 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 80 136 216
15 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 126 112 238
16 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 148 115 263
17 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 133 146 279
18 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 152 129 281
19 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 146 137 283
20 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 131 154 285
21 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 130 159 289
22 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 154 138 292
23 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 147 160 307
24 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 186 152 338
25 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 193 186 379
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 2 2 1 4 5 1 10 3 28 Ben Brough '19
Helen Payne '19
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 8 5 3 5 1 2 3 2 29 Dylan Finestone '19
Shannie Kuo '18
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 1 1 4 1 8 4 6 7 32 Peter Wong '18
Lorea Mendiguren '20
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 4 4 5 3 6 3 8 4 37 Liam Hood '20
Rachel Hunter '19
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 3 3 6 2 10 16 7 5 52 Alex Demmler '19
Valentina Avincola '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 6 7 8 6 4 11 1 13 56 Maxwell Mckinney '19
Claire Hunt '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 10 10 10 7 2 8 11 22 80 Upamanyu Dutta '20
No Show
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 11 12 11 8 9 18 2 10 81 Samuel Rohrbach '17
Christopher Steefel '18
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 5 6 OCS 11 22 5 5 1 82 Johannes Mcelvain '18 [1-8]
Lucas Earley '19 [1-4]
Nolan Van Dine '20 [5-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 7 9 2 10 14 12 15 15 84 Laura Roudebush '18
Maddy Kuhn '20
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 9 8 7 DNF 3 9 9 12 84 Brian Maclean '18
Christian Parizea '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 12 11 9 9 24 6 12 20 103 Miles Picus '18
Georgia Potter '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 17 14 12 DNF 11 10 4 9 104 Yan Rui Goheen '17
Daniel Vick '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 16 19 13 20 18 7 13 11 117 Thomas Garcia '19 [1-8]
Charles Villalpando '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Mingyi Chen '20 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 13 13 15 12 23 14 22 14 126 Sarah Macpherson '18
Susan Bean '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 20 15 18 18 19 15 17 8 130 Ankit Rastogi '19
Kristopher Wong '18
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 19 18 14 13 13 17 14 23 131 James Letchinger '20
Anthony El-Sokkary '20
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 21 20 17 15 12 13 16 19 133 Thomas Rall '18
Natalie Fleming '17
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 18 23 16 14 17 22 20 16 146 Joseph Naro '18
Brianna Pinto '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 15 21 22 21 7 21 19 21 147 Grant Lin '17 [1-8]
Nathan Tessier '19 [1-5]
Meagan Montalto '20 [6-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 14 17 20 17 21 20 21 18 148 Jason Barr '17 [1-2, 5]
Chase Verstuyft '17 [3-4, 6-8]
Robert Ketchum '19 [1-5]
Rachel Zhao '19 [6-8]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 DNS 22 23 22 15 19 18 6 152 Lucas Erb '20 [1-5]
Drake Baldwin '20 [6-8]
Ivan Penaloza '18 [1-5]
Madeline Bachus '19 [6-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 22 16 21 16 16 23 23 17 154 Liam Russell '17
Kevin Zhang '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 23 24 19 19 20 DNS DNS DNS 186 Sarah Scoffone '19
Mckenna Thomas '20
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 24 25 24 23 25 24 24 24 193 Andrew Kinton '17 [1-8]
Ariana Aceves '20 [1-2, 6-8]
Nicholas Theut '19 [3-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 1 1 1 1 5 1 2 1 4 16 Joseph Lausten '18
Belle Lemoine '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 3 6 2 4 5 1 7 2 30 Paul Chyz '18
Clifford Lester '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3 5 4 6 8 4 3 5 5 40 Abraham Dearden '20
Zoe Hessler '18
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 8 3 3 2 3 7 12 7 45 Benjamin Rohr '19
Kian Patrick '20
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 2 4 8 5 7 9 10 3 3 49 Erika Barth '16 [1-8]
Meagan Montalto '20 [1-5]
Chieko Imai '20 [6-8]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 1 2 2 9 1 6 OCS 2 1 50 Jack Martin '18
Elizabeth Moody '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 7 7 4 6 14 6 8 6 58 Sean Jawetz '20
Olivia Montiano '18
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 3 10 5 7 9 7 5 13 8 64 Alyson Crowley '20
James Kerman '17
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 12 11 8 3 8 8 9 12 71 Leah Ford '19
Grace Phillips '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 1 17 13 12 13 12 16 10 13 106 Ben Gerber '19
Marianne Simpson '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5 11 17 13 15 16 14 16 10 112 Hallie Muller '20
Kristopher Wong '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 4 6 16 18 18 10 18 14 15 115 Cameron Khorsandi '17 [1-5]
Warren Ko '19 [6-8]
Jerod Flores '19 [1-5]
Young Jeong '19 [6-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 1 14 14 16 16 13 13 15 14 115 Natalie Hopper '19
Robyn Gillum '18
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 2 15 10 15 11 2 20 OCS 18 118 Drake Baldwin '20 [1-5]
Philip Tagatac '17 [6-8]
Madeline Bachus '19 [1-5]
Victor Ya '18 [6-8]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 1 21 22 22 23 22 4 6 9 129 Stacey Agustin '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Victor Ya '18 [3-4]
Jesse Campbell '19 [1-5]
Ivan Penaloza '18 [6-8]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 2 9 9 14 12 11 DNS DNS DNS 136 Will Paulsen '19
No Show
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 1 16 23 19 20 20 11 11 17 137 Picasso Vasquez '20
Laurie Ann Eusebio '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2 13 20 17 17 21 12 19 19 138 Andrew Lozovoy '17
Nolan King '19
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 20 15 11 10 25 17 20 21 139 Chad Farrell '20
Jesus Viramontes '19
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 24 25 24 25 24 9 4 11 146 Gillian Dean '19
Nathan Dove '17
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 18 12 10 14 17 DNS DNS DNS 152 Robert Johnson '19
Pyper Atkin '20
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Aggies 2 23 19 21 19 19 15 18 20 154 Burak Kocal '18
Jackie Shaff '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4 19 18 20 22 15 21 22 22 159 Arjun Boddu '18
Madeline Offerman '19
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 3 22 21 23 21 18 22 17 16 160 Fisher Price '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Jason Nideffer '20 [3-4]
Ellen Carlander '20 [1-5]
Laura Furtado '18 [6-8]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 25 24 DNS 24 23 19 21 23 186 Olivia Ayd '20 [1-5]
Nicholas Theut '19 [6-8]
Ariana Aceves '20 [1-5]
Olivia Ayd '20 [6-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils3939393939393939
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers11111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 133333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2103103103103103103103103
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 344444444
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers77777777
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs3838383838383838
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 13737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 2371371371371371371371371
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 14747474747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 24848484848484848
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 12525252525252525
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 22626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 22828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3128128128128128128128128
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4281281281281281281281281
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5282282282282282282282282
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 12929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 23030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3292292292292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 4295295295295295295295295
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 13131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 23232323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3131131131131131131131131

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils3939393939393939
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers11111111
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 133333333
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 2103103103103103103103103
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 344444444
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers77777777
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs3838383838383838
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 13737373737373737
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans 2371371371371371371371371
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 14747474747474747
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis Aggies 24848484848484848
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 12525252525252525
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters 22626262626262626
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 12727272727272727
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 22828282828282828
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 3128128128128128128128128
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 4281281281281281281281281
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins 5282282282282282282282282
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 12929292929292929
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 23030303030303030
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 3292292292292292292292292
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons 4295295295295295295295295
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 13131313131313131
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 23232323232323232
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3131131131131131131131131
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Andrew Kinton '17 [1-8] Ariana Aceves '20 [1-2, 6-8]
Nicholas Theut '19 [3-5]
Sun Devils Olivia Ayd '20 [1-5]
Nicholas Theut '19 [6-8]		 Ariana Aceves '20 [1-5]
Olivia Ayd '20 [6-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Ben Brough '19 Helen Payne '19
Mustang 1 Joseph Lausten '18 Belle Lemoine '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Liam Russell '17 Kevin Zhang '20
Mustang 2 Andrew Lozovoy '17 Nolan King '19
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Liam Hood '20 Rachel Hunter '19
Mustang 3 Alyson Crowley '20 James Kerman '17
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Johannes Mcelvain '18 [1-8] Lucas Earley '19 [1-4]
Nolan Van Dine '20 [5-8]
Keelhaulers Benjamin Rohr '19 Kian Patrick '20
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Alex Demmler '19 Valentina Avincola '18
49ers Chad Farrell '20 Jesus Viramontes '19
San Diego State University San Diego State University Thomas Rall '18 Natalie Fleming '17
Aztecs Gillian Dean '19 Nathan Dove '17
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Joseph Naro '18 Brianna Pinto '20
Aggies 1 Picasso Vasquez '20 Laurie Ann Eusebio '19
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis James Letchinger '20 Anthony El-Sokkary '20
Aggies 2 Burak Kocal '18 Jackie Shaff '19
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Lucas Erb '20 [1-5]
Drake Baldwin '20 [6-8]		 Ivan Penaloza '18 [1-5]
Madeline Bachus '19 [6-8]
Anteaters 1 Stacey Agustin '18 [1-2, 5-8]
Victor Ya '18 [3-4]		 Jesse Campbell '19 [1-5]
Ivan Penaloza '18 [6-8]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Brian Maclean '18 Christian Parizea '18
Anteaters 2 Drake Baldwin '20 [1-5]
Philip Tagatac '17 [6-8]		 Madeline Bachus '19 [1-5]
Victor Ya '18 [6-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Miles Picus '18 Georgia Potter '18
Bruins 1 Ben Gerber '19 Marianne Simpson '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Laura Roudebush '18 Maddy Kuhn '20
Bruins 2 Leah Ford '19 Grace Phillips '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Thomas Garcia '19 [1-8] Charles Villalpando '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Mingyi Chen '20 [3-4, 7-8]
Bruins 3 Abraham Dearden '20 Zoe Hessler '18
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Ankit Rastogi '19 Kristopher Wong '18
Bruins 4 Arjun Boddu '18 Madeline Offerman '19
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Sarah Macpherson '18 Susan Bean '18
Bruins 5 Hallie Muller '20 Kristopher Wong '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Samuel Rohrbach '17 Christopher Steefel '18
Tritons 1 Natalie Hopper '19 Robyn Gillum '18
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Yan Rui Goheen '17 Daniel Vick '18
Tritons 2 Erika Barth '16 [1-8] Meagan Montalto '20 [1-5]
Chieko Imai '20 [6-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Grant Lin '17 [1-8] Nathan Tessier '19 [1-5]
Meagan Montalto '20 [6-8]
Tritons 3 Fisher Price '20 [1-2, 5-8]
Jason Nideffer '20 [3-4]		 Ellen Carlander '20 [1-5]
Laura Furtado '18 [6-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Jason Barr '17 [1-2, 5]
Chase Verstuyft '17 [3-4, 6-8]		 Robert Ketchum '19 [1-5]
Rachel Zhao '19 [6-8]
Tritons 4 Cameron Khorsandi '17 [1-5]
Warren Ko '19 [6-8]		 Jerod Flores '19 [1-5]
Young Jeong '19 [6-8]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Dylan Finestone '19 Shannie Kuo '18
Gauchos 1 Jack Martin '18 Elizabeth Moody '20
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Maxwell Mckinney '19 Claire Hunt '19
Gauchos 2 Sean Jawetz '20 Olivia Montiano '18
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Sarah Scoffone '19 Mckenna Thomas '20
Gauchos 3 Robert Johnson '19 Pyper Atkin '20
University of Southern California University of Southern California Peter Wong '18 Lorea Mendiguren '20
Trojans 1 Paul Chyz '18 Clifford Lester '19
University of Southern California University of Southern California Upamanyu Dutta '20 No Show
Trojans 2 Will Paulsen '19 No Show

Conditions — 02/04/2017 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1019.1 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.6 kn
Gusts to 20.2 kn
From NW (316°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover49% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1019.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 11 kn · W 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at UC San Diego: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC San Diego by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at UC San Diego).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →