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NU Spring

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 36 12 48
2 Northwestern University Northwestern University Purple 29 29 58
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 18 47 65
4 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 29 38 67
5 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 46 26 72
6 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 39 36 75
7 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 45 37 82
8 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 38 57 95
9 Northwestern University Northwestern University White 48 54 102
10 Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 73 59 132
11 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 71 74 145
12 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 78 77 155
13 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 95 94 189
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 4 4 1 5 1 1 2 18 Carolyn Keck '19
Emma Zalog '20
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3 9 3 9 2 2 1 29 Christian Cyrul '20 [1-7]
Thomas Yaeger Jr '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Kata Lamb '20 [3-4, 7]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Purple 5 1 2 1 DSQ 3 3 29 Mark Davies '20 [1-6]
Noah Rosenthal '18 [7]
Michael Pauleen '18 [1-6]
Zachary Herron '18 [7]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 2 3 6 6 4 7 8 36 Charlie Kutschenreuter '19
Olivia Staruck '20
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 9 10 4 2 3 5 5 38 Ryan Clulo '18
Hannah Menz '18
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 7 5 7 3 7 6 4 39 Colton Gerber '18
Sidney Thompson '18
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 6 2 9 4 8 9 7 45 Austin Haag '20
Sofia Gambini '19
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 1 6 DSQ 7 5 4 9 46 Michael Valverde '18
Bailey Adkins '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University White 8 7 5 8 6 8 6 48 Jacob Bruce '16 [1-7]
Samantha Harney '18 [1-2]
Guilherme Vendemiatti '19 [3-6]
Hannah Givertz '18 [7]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 10 8 10 12 10 11 10 71 David Mirkhaef '15
Jessica Moster '19
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 12 11 8 10 11 10 11 73 Stefan Peterson '19
James Sincox '18
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 11 12 11 11 9 12 12 78 Geoffrey Owens '18 [1-6]
John Neenan '20 [7]
Wilson Ricks '18 [1-4]
David Woldenberg '19 [5-6]
Carolyn Applebaum '20 [7]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini DSQ 13 DNF 13 DNF DNF 13 95 Jacob Turenne '19
Nick Stratman '19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 2 3 1 2 1 2 1 12 Noah Janssen '19
Brianna Probst '20
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 3 1 7 5 5 1 4 26 Michael Stone '19
Jessica Faragher '19
Northwestern University Northwestern University Purple 1 2 8 6 4 6 2 29 Susan Riley '17 [1-6]
Ryder Easterlin '20 [7]
Audrey Debruine '19 [1-6]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 4 5 3 1 10 10 3 36 Hannah Thayer '20
Claire Foley '20
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 6 6 2 7 3 7 6 37 Will Neubauer '20
Amy Baer '19
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 9 9 5 3 2 3 7 38 Kevin Kinneally '19 [1-7]
Molly Lafave '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Kathryn Powell '20 [3-4, 7]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 5 7 6 10 6 8 5 47 Katherine Zimmerman '18
Elizabeth Ciborowski '17
Northwestern University Northwestern University White 10 10 4 9 7 5 9 54 Kelly Logacho '18 [1-6]
Cuyler Dull '20 [7]
Madison Shirey '19 [1-6]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 7 4 10 8 8 9 11 57 Bobby Sessions '20 [1-4]
Mason Chrabaszcz '18 [5-7]
Grant Younger '18 [1-4]
Murphy Curran '20 [5-7]
Iowa State University Iowa State University Cyclones 8 8 11 4 9 11 8 59 August Nagro '19
Grant Colliander '19
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 12 11 12 11 12 4 12 74 Emily Allen '19
Aspasia Padgiotis '18
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 11 12 9 12 11 12 10 77 Kyra Martin '18 [1-7]
David Millstein '18 [1-4]
Logan Noel '19 [5-7]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 13 DSQ DNF DSQ 13 13 13 94 Angus Inman '17
Diana Perez '17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons11111313151517
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini12121414161618
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones6688101012
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles7799111113
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 11313151517176
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 21414161618187
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers15151717668
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Purple881010121214
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University White991111131315
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish16161818779
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers10101212141416
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 11717668810
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 21818779911

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons12121414161618
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini1313151517176
Iowa State UniversityIowa State University Cyclones7799111113
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles881010121214
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 11414161618187
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 215151717668
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers16161818779
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Purple991111131315
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University White10101212141416
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish1717668810
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers11111313151517
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 11818779911
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers 26688101012
School / Team SkipperCrew
Iowa State University Iowa State University Stefan Peterson '19 James Sincox '18
Cyclones August Nagro '19 Grant Colliander '19
Marquette University Marquette University Ryan Clulo '18 Hannah Menz '18
Golden Eagles Bobby Sessions '20 [1-4]
Mason Chrabaszcz '18 [5-7]		 Grant Younger '18 [1-4]
Murphy Curran '20 [5-7]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Mark Davies '20 [1-6]
Noah Rosenthal '18 [7]		 Michael Pauleen '18 [1-6]
Zachary Herron '18 [7]
Purple Susan Riley '17 [1-6]
Ryder Easterlin '20 [7]		 Audrey Debruine '19 [1-6]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Jacob Bruce '16 [1-7] Samantha Harney '18 [1-2]
Guilherme Vendemiatti '19 [3-6]
Hannah Givertz '18 [7]
White Kelly Logacho '18 [1-6]
Cuyler Dull '20 [7]		 Madison Shirey '19 [1-6]
Purdue University Purdue University David Mirkhaef '15 Jessica Moster '19
Boilermakers Emily Allen '19 Aspasia Padgiotis '18
University of Chicago University of Chicago Geoffrey Owens '18 [1-6]
John Neenan '20 [7]		 Wilson Ricks '18 [1-4]
David Woldenberg '19 [5-6]
Carolyn Applebaum '20 [7]
Maroons Kyra Martin '18 [1-7] David Millstein '18 [1-4]
Logan Noel '19 [5-7]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Jacob Turenne '19 Nick Stratman '19
Illini Angus Inman '17 Diana Perez '17
University of Michigan University of Michigan Colton Gerber '18 Sidney Thompson '18
Wolverines 1 Hannah Thayer '20 Claire Foley '20
University of Michigan University of Michigan Austin Haag '20 Sofia Gambini '19
Wolverines 2 Will Neubauer '20 Amy Baer '19
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Michael Valverde '18 Bailey Adkins '19
Gophers Michael Stone '19 Jessica Faragher '19
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Christian Cyrul '20 [1-7] Thomas Yaeger Jr '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Kata Lamb '20 [3-4, 7]
Fighting Irish Kevin Kinneally '19 [1-7] Molly Lafave '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Kathryn Powell '20 [3-4, 7]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Charlie Kutschenreuter '19 Olivia Staruck '20
Badgers 1 Noah Janssen '19 Brianna Probst '20
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Carolyn Keck '19 Emma Zalog '20
Badgers 2 Katherine Zimmerman '18 Elizabeth Ciborowski '17

Conditions — 04/01/2017 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1023.5 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.6 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From NE (43°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1023.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 6 kn · SE 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Northwestern: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.18
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northwestern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Northwestern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →