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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 70 42 112
2 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 81 60 141
3 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 85 63 148
4 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 59 98 157
5 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 83 75 158
6 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 119 57 176
7 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 80 97 177
8 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 137 48 185
9 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 65 121 186
10 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 102 88 190
11 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 71 128 199
12 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 83 127 210
13 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 128 119 247
14 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 114 154 268
15 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 173 170 343
16 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 186 185 371
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 1 2 9 5 12 4 3 9 1 2 8 3 59 John Lawless '19
Christian Neuman '21
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 7 10 10 3 3 8 4 6 4 1 4 5 65 Miguel Monllor '21
Elizabeth Plaster '20
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 3 3 12 7 1 3 2 1 8 13 10 7 70 Vir Menon '20 [1-8, 11-12]
Anna Patterson '20 [9-10]
Henry Clune '21 [1-9, 11-12]
Bailey Hurst '20 [10]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 8 15 2 13 7 11 5 2 2 4 1 1 71 Owen Ward '22
Jack Murray '22
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 2 7 1 6 5 2 6 DSQ 13 3 7 11 80 Cole Daitch '20
Julie Coffman '22
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 11 11 5 4 16 5 1 4 9 6 3 6 81 Scott Gittens '20
Marc De Verteuil '20
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 6 5 4 1 2 1 12 10 11 8 9 14 83 Connor Mraz '23
Jorge Zreik '22
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 9 6 3 9 9 7 10 7 5 5 5 8 83 Liliana Loosbrock '21
Elizabeth Keeney '19
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 13 1 7 2 6 6 8 15 3 9 13 2 85 Paul Hart '19
Eloise Lienert '20
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 4 4 11 8 10 12 7 3 10 12 12 9 102 Katarina Catallo '20
Helen Bechler '22
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 10 12 13 11 11 10 11 5 6 7 14 4 114 Townsend Morey '21
Sean Jahnige '22
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 5 9 OCS 12 8 9 9 11 14 11 2 12 119 Nicholas Manfredi '19 [1-9]
Jeremy Mccauley '20 [10-12]
Jeremy Mccauley '20 [1-8]
Julia Chapman '21 [9-12]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 12 13 6 15 4 13 14 8 12 15 6 10 128 Zachary Warner '19
Regina Trejo '21
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 14 8 8 10 13 15 15 13 7 10 11 13 137 Christopher Magno '22 [1-6, 9-12]
Nathan Gibson '19 [7-8]
Gustav Berner '21 [1-8]
Nathan Gibson '19 [9-12]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 15 14 OCS 14 14 14 13 12 15 14 16 15 173 Jack Stancil '22 [1-12]
Eli Reese '22 [1-8]
George Smith '22 [9-12]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 16 16 14 16 15 16 16 14 16 16 15 16 186 William Siegener '23
Aoife Cannon '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 2 1 1 2 7 1 4 4 2 3 5 10 42 Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1-12]
Ethan Caldwell '22 [1-7, 9-12]
Bailey Hurst '20 [8]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 3 2 5 5 2 3 5 5 1 2 8 7 48 Bryan Bay '21 [1-12]
Nathan Gibson '19 [1-6]
Farrell Strueber '20 [7-12]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 4 5 3 4 6 8 2 2 3 4 13 3 57 James Gilmore Iii '19
Micayla Beyer '19
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 1 4 11 8 4 5 1 1 12 1 7 5 60 William Bruce '21
Maggie Macdonald '22
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 7 10 2 1 3 2 3 10 5 11 3 6 63 Henry Proud '21
Andrew Vernon '20
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 8 3 4 3 9 6 12 8 7 9 4 2 75 Isabel De La Torre '20
Claire Wootton '21
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 6 8 13 6 5 10 7 7 10 6 2 8 88 Katie Purcell '20
Elizabeth Harrington '22
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 13 13 6 10 10 11 9 14 4 5 1 1 97 Derek Safieh '21 [1-4]
Michael Bisson '22 [5-12]
Madeline Mulligan '20 [1-4]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 10 6 12 13 1 7 6 3 8 8 15 9 98 Clara Guarascio '22 [1-4, 11-12]
Hunter Kahler '21 [5-10]
Camille Nastasi '22 [1-4, 11-12]
Kyle Gelderman '21 [5-10]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 12 7 7 14 14 9 11 6 6 13 9 11 119 Dane Brazinski '21 [1-4, 9-12]
John Colby '20 [5-8]
David Griffin '21 [1-4, 9-12]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 9 11 9 11 8 4 8 13 13 12 10 13 121 Connor Chapin '20 [1-11]
Mike Preston '22 [12]
Maria Torregrosa '21 [1-4]
Mike Preston '22 [5-11]
Connor Chapin '20 [12]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 14 12 8 9 11 14 14 12 9 14 6 4 127 Connor Larson '22 [1-12]
Adrienne Mandelbaum '20 [1-2]
Adam Mcclain '21 [3-8, 10-11]
Young Kyung Grace Lee '21 [9, 12]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 5 15 10 7 13 12 13 9 14 7 11 12 128 Curtis Aaron '21 [1-8]
Jameson Parker '22 [9-12]
Dylan Crider '19 [1-8]
Cameron Hunter '21 [9-12]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 11 14 14 12 15 13 10 11 11 16 12 15 154 Alex Wiggins '22
Reilly Fitzgerald '22
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 15 9 16 15 16 15 16 15 15 10 14 14 170 Kevin Johnston '21 [1-12]
Kathryn Brewer '22 [1-8]
John Bibeau '22 [9-12]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 16 16 15 16 12 16 15 16 16 15 16 16 185 Ethan Hall '23
Tyler Tomasik '20
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445566
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions22111616151514141313
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners10109988776655
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps111112121313141415151616
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers665544332211
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers334455667788
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels4433221116161515
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers55667788991010
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks887766554433
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves778899101011111212
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange9910101111121213131414
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats13131414151516161122
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos121211111010998877
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1414131312121111101099
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1515161611223344
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe161615151414131312121111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445566
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions22111616151514141313
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners10109988776655
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps111112121313141415151616
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers665544332211
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers334455667788
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels4433221116161515
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers55667788991010
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks887766554433
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves778899101011111212
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange9910101111121213131414
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats13131414151516161122
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos121211111010998877
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1414131312121111101099
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1515161611223344
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe161615151414131312121111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Vir Menon '20 [1-8, 11-12]
Anna Patterson '20 [9-10]		 Henry Clune '21 [1-9, 11-12]
Bailey Hurst '20 [10]
Captains Javier Gonzalez Rotge '21 [1-12] Ethan Caldwell '22 [1-7, 9-12]
Bailey Hurst '20 [8]
Columbia University Columbia University Liliana Loosbrock '21 Elizabeth Keeney '19
Lions Isabel De La Torre '20 Claire Wootton '21
Princeton University Princeton University Connor Mraz '23 Jorge Zreik '22
Tigers Connor Larson '22 [1-12] Adrienne Mandelbaum '20 [1-2]
Adam Mcclain '21 [3-8, 10-11]
Young Kyung Grace Lee '21 [9, 12]
Queen's University Queen's University Scott Gittens '20 Marc De Verteuil '20
Gaels William Bruce '21 Maggie Macdonald '22
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology William Siegener '23 Aoife Cannon '22
Tigers Ethan Hall '23 Tyler Tomasik '20
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College John Lawless '19 Christian Neuman '21
Privateers Clara Guarascio '22 [1-4, 11-12]
Hunter Kahler '21 [5-10]		 Camille Nastasi '22 [1-4, 11-12]
Kyle Gelderman '21 [5-10]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Nicholas Manfredi '19 [1-9]
Jeremy Mccauley '20 [10-12]		 Jeremy Mccauley '20 [1-8]
Julia Chapman '21 [9-12]
Seawolves James Gilmore Iii '19 Micayla Beyer '19
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Townsend Morey '21 Sean Jahnige '22
Ducks Alex Wiggins '22 Reilly Fitzgerald '22
Syracuse University Syracuse University Zachary Warner '19 Regina Trejo '21
Orange Dane Brazinski '21 [1-4, 9-12]
John Colby '20 [5-8]		 David Griffin '21 [1-4, 9-12]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Jack Stancil '22 [1-12] Eli Reese '22 [1-8]
George Smith '22 [9-12]
Mariners Kevin Johnston '21 [1-12] Kathryn Brewer '22 [1-8]
John Bibeau '22 [9-12]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Cole Daitch '20 Julie Coffman '22
Terps Derek Safieh '21 [1-4]
Michael Bisson '22 [5-12]		 Madeline Mulligan '20 [1-4]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Katarina Catallo '20 Helen Bechler '22
Wahoos Katie Purcell '20 Elizabeth Harrington '22
Villanova University Villanova University Owen Ward '22 Jack Murray '22
Wildcats Curtis Aaron '21 [1-8]
Jameson Parker '22 [9-12]		 Dylan Crider '19 [1-8]
Cameron Hunter '21 [9-12]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Christopher Magno '22 [1-6, 9-12]
Nathan Gibson '19 [7-8]		 Gustav Berner '21 [1-8]
Nathan Gibson '19 [9-12]
Hokies Bryan Bay '21 [1-12] Nathan Gibson '19 [1-6]
Farrell Strueber '20 [7-12]
Washington College Washington College Paul Hart '19 Eloise Lienert '20
Shoremen Henry Proud '21 Andrew Vernon '20
William and Mary William and Mary Miguel Monllor '21 Elizabeth Plaster '20
Tribe Connor Chapin '20 [1-11]
Mike Preston '22 [12]		 Maria Torregrosa '21 [1-4]
Mike Preston '22 [5-11]
Connor Chapin '20 [12]

Conditions — 04/13/2019 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 78%  ·  Pressure 1017.6 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.6 kn
avg  ·  max 9.3 kn
Gusts to 19.8 kn
From SSW (214°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity78% Pressure1017.6 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn · S 10 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kings Point: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →