Hanbury Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 165
2 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 205
3 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 208
4 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 240
5 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 285
6 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 294
7 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 302
8 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 342
9 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 371
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers A 3 2 6 4 6 2 7 6 1 18 2 9 5 8 79 Connor Mraz '23
Nelson Chow '23
Washington College Washington College Shoremen A 7 6 14 8 5 1 1 1 9 15 4 2 3 4 80 Stewart Gurnell '23 [1-14]
Andrew Tran '23 [1-4]
Emma Macturk '23 [5-14]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen A 4 3 4 5 4 6 4 14 3 7 6 11 7 3 81 Tanner Kelly '25
Faith Southwick '23
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 2 1 7 12 9 5 2 2 4 14 1 6 10 9 84 Daniel Hodges '22
Liam Orr '22
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen B 1 5 2 7 7 16 5 3 11 1 9 5 11 1 84 Cooper Walshe '25
Maggie Schuler '25
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates A 8 9 8 2 18 4 6 15 8 3 14 7 6 5 113 Valerio Palamara '24
Can Dilikoglu '23
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons A 9 7 16 11 3 15 3 4 2 13 12 8 2 13 118 Eden Nykamp '25
Brooks Jordan '24
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 5 14 1 1 2 14 15 5 12 12 7 12 14 7 121 David Grace '23
Ellie Mcfall '24
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 6 8 9 6 1 12 8 11 17 2 17 3 17 10 127 Stefanos Pappas '25
Aden Anderson '25
Washington College Washington College Shoremen B 13 17 15 10 13 7 11 18 5 9 3 4 1 2 128 Alex Heim '24 [1-14]
Jonathan Kelly '23 [1-4]
Kennedy Jones '24 [5-14]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 15 4 12 9 15 13 14 17 10 10 5 10 8 16 158 Thomas Pappas '25
Sara Flowerday '22
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies B 10 11 3 DNF 11 3 17 7 7 17 13 17 12 12 159 Reid Shanabrook '22 [1-14]
Caleb Mcginn '23 [1-4]
Adam Ginsburg '25 [5-14]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers B 12 10 11 13 14 8 18 13 14 4 11 13 9 11 161 Asher Green '24
Anna Eaton '24
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 14 18 10 DNF 10 10 12 8 6 6 15 15 13 6 162 Elizabeth Gildea '24 [1-4]
Megan Geith '23 [5-14]
Tyler Bissell '24 [1-4]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons B DNF 12 18 DNF 8 9 9 9 13 11 16 1 15 17 176 Griffin Richardson '25 [1-14]
Amelia Johnson '25 [1-4]
Sophia Hacket '25 [5-14]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies A 11 15 13 DNF 16 18 10 10 16 8 10 18 4 15 183 Christopher Magno '22 [1-4, 7-14]
Aidan Young '24 [5-6]
Adam Ginsburg '25 [1-2]
Margaret Leary '25 [3-14]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates B DNF 13 5 3 12 17 16 16 18 16 8 16 16 14 189 Stefano Palamara '25 [1-4]
Tommaso Ciaglia '24 [5-14]
Tommaso Ciaglia '24 [1-4]
Richard Garza '22 [5-14]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 16 16 17 DNF 17 11 13 12 15 5 18 14 18 18 209 Ian Slayter '24
Alivia Markham '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11223344556677
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons221118181717161615151414
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates33445566778899
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins44332211181817171616
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen7788991010111112121313
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs556677889910101111
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers6655443322111818
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies88776655443322
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen99101011111212131314141515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains1010998877665544
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons1111121213131414151516161717
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates12121111101099887766
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins13131414151516161717181811
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1616151514141313121211111010
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs141413131212111110109988
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1515161617171818112233
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies171718181122334455
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1818171716161515141413131212

Conditions — 03/26/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1003.3 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
17.6 kn
avg  ·  max 21.0 kn
Gusts to 40.0 kn
From W (266°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover38% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1003.3 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 19 kn · W 14 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.38 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →