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MCSA Open Fleet Racing Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 28 21 49
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 30 55 85
3 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 53 41 94
4 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 61 34 95
5 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 59 47 106
6 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 62 50 112
7 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 63 51 114
8 University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 49 76 125
9 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 64 64 128
10 Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 54 88 142
11 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 73 69 142
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 6 4 1 2 5 2 4 3 1 28 Reed Weston '23 [1-9]
Allison Hansen '23 [1-2, 7-9]
Kate Thickens '23 [3-6]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 3 3 4 3 4 1 7 2 3 30 Joe Serpa '24
Asha Baddi '24
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 7 6 2 1 6 5 3 11 8 49 Greg Bittle '25 [1-9]
Meriah Kirschstein '24 [1-6, 9]
Nisha Kimber '24 [7-8]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 2 5 5 9 7 11 8 4 53 Joseph Gallagher '24
Jack O'Connor '26
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 8 1 11 7 1 11 8 5 2 54 Arden Carleton '26
Alya Macmanaway '26
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 5 7 3 6 10 3 9 9 7 59 Max Zhalilo '26
Anjali Van Biesen '23
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 10 5 10 9 11 8 1 1 6 61 Justin Skene '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Lukas Diehm '23 [5-6, 9]
Zachary Gold '24 [1-4, 7-8]
William Bernhardt '25 [5-6, 9]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 4 DSQ 9 4 8 6 10 4 5 62 Nikolas Chambers '23 [1-9]
Cora Star '26 [1-4]
Aviva Kaplan '24 [5-9]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 1 9 7 8 3 10 6 7 DSQ 63 John Hultquist '23
Fiona Naughton '26
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 9 8 8 11 2 9 2 6 9 64 Luke Koerschner '23
Jack Miller '26
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 11 10 6 10 7 4 5 10 10 73 Brittany Shabino '25
Kendall Herzog '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 6 1 1 1 1 2 1 5 21 Abe Weston '25 [1-6, 9]
Charlie Herrick '26 [7-8]
Cristina Dombrowski '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Noah Hallerman '23 [3-4]
Kerstin Hyer '25 [7-8]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 2 2 7 3 6 6 4 2 34 Odey Hariri '24
Nok In Chan '24
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 7 8 5 4 2 4 5 5 1 41 Joseph Thuente '24
Carmela D’Antuono '24
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 6 9 7 5 5 7 3 2 3 47 Charlotte Kane '23 [1-9]
Natalie Manley '24 [1-2, 5-9]
Claire Zhang '24 [3-4]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 5 4 4 2 9 8 4 3 11 50 Matthew Beretta '23 [1-4]
Nicholas Chesemore '27 [5-9]
Maddie Fitzgerald '26 [1-6]
Rebeca Navarro Santos Lion '25 [7-9]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 9 3 3 10 4 3 7 8 4 51 Nithya Balachander '25 [1-9]
Delaynie Grove '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Alex Tigges '26 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 4 1 DSQ DSQ 7 2 1 9 7 55 Brody Schwartz '24 [1-4, 7-9]
Christiana Scheibner '23 [5-6]
Lily Allen '23 [1-3, 7-8]
Alden Gort '26 [4, 6]
Abigail Paul '25 [5, 9]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 10 5 8 6 6 9 8 6 6 64 Dominique Delano '23
Aidan King '25
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 1 10 6 9 8 11 9 7 8 69 Jenna Kozal '24 [1-9]
Zach Sonkin '24 [1-2]
Hunter Ott '26 [3-9]
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 11 7 9 3 11 5 11 10 9 76 Rakesh Dhiman '26
Conall Lynch '24
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Chargers 8 11 10 8 10 10 10 11 10 88 Matthew Scanlon '25
Riley Hamilton '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons9911111313224
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers1133559911
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers224488101012
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles335599111113
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines1010121211335
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans4488101012121
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats5599111113132
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish1111131322448
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers8810101212113
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies12121133559
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers131322448810

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons1010121211335
Hillsdale CollegeHillsdale College Chargers224488101012
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers335599111113
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles4488101012121
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines1111131322448
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans5599111113132
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats8810101212113
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish12121133559
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers9911111313224
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies131322448810
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers1133559911
School / Team SkipperCrew
Hillsdale College Hillsdale College Arden Carleton '26 Alya Macmanaway '26
Chargers Matthew Scanlon '25 Riley Hamilton '25
Indiana University Indiana University John Hultquist '23 Fiona Naughton '26
Hoosiers Nithya Balachander '25 [1-9] Delaynie Grove '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Alex Tigges '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Marquette University Marquette University Brittany Shabino '25 Kendall Herzog '26
Golden Eagles Jenna Kozal '24 [1-9] Zach Sonkin '24 [1-2]
Hunter Ott '26 [3-9]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Luke Koerschner '23 Jack Miller '26
Spartans Dominique Delano '23 Aidan King '25
Northwestern University Northwestern University Nikolas Chambers '23 [1-9] Cora Star '26 [1-4]
Aviva Kaplan '24 [5-9]
Wildcats Matthew Beretta '23 [1-4]
Nicholas Chesemore '27 [5-9]		 Maddie Fitzgerald '26 [1-6]
Rebeca Navarro Santos Lion '25 [7-9]
Purdue University Purdue University Justin Skene '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Lukas Diehm '23 [5-6, 9]		 Zachary Gold '24 [1-4, 7-8]
William Bernhardt '25 [5-6, 9]
Boilermakers Odey Hariri '24 Nok In Chan '24
University of Chicago University of Chicago Max Zhalilo '26 Anjali Van Biesen '23
Maroons Charlotte Kane '23 [1-9] Natalie Manley '24 [1-2, 5-9]
Claire Zhang '24 [3-4]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Joe Serpa '24 Asha Baddi '24
Wolverines Brody Schwartz '24 [1-4, 7-9]
Christiana Scheibner '23 [5-6]		 Lily Allen '23 [1-3, 7-8]
Alden Gort '26 [4, 6]
Abigail Paul '25 [5, 9]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Joseph Gallagher '24 Jack O'Connor '26
Fighting Irish Joseph Thuente '24 Carmela D’Antuono '24
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Greg Bittle '25 [1-9] Meriah Kirschstein '24 [1-6, 9]
Nisha Kimber '24 [7-8]
Tommies Rakesh Dhiman '26 Conall Lynch '24
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Reed Weston '23 [1-9] Allison Hansen '23 [1-2, 7-9]
Kate Thickens '23 [3-6]
Badgers Abe Weston '25 [1-6, 9]
Charlie Herrick '26 [7-8]		 Cristina Dombrowski '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Noah Hallerman '23 [3-4]
Kerstin Hyer '25 [7-8]

Conditions — 04/15/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1006.0 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.9 kn
avg  ·  max 11.9 kn
Gusts to 26.6 kn
From S (183°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1006.0 hPa Rain0.09 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn* · W 8 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wisconsin: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.22 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wisconsin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (41 labelled days at Wisconsin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →