Southern 5 Fleet Race / Ewenson Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 65
2 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 117
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 121
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 129
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 168
6 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 190
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 A 7 1 3 1 1 3 4 4 1 2 27 Declan Botwinick '25
Olivia Anderson '25
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 B 6 7 1 3 7 7 1 3 2 1 38 John Polek '26
Vanessa Reid '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 3 3 2 4 3 2 2 6 9 11 45 Adrian Winkelman '25
Lila Coffman '26
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 A 2 4 10 11 2 1 6 10 3 3 52 Willem Weinberg '24
Jane Lally '25
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 1 10 7 10 8 4 3 1 7 9 60 Emil Tullberg '25
Garrett Moen '23
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 4 8 6 6 6 6 9 7 8 4 64 William Wiegand '25
Sam Whipple '25
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 8 6 8 2 9 5 10 5 6 6 65 Richard Kalich '26
Nicholas Thibodeau '26
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 B 11 2 5 8 5 9 5 8 5 7 65 Spencer Asofsky '25
Sarah Baker '24
Brown University Brown University Bears B 5 11 9 9 11 8 8 2 4 5 72 Daniel Van Heeckeren '26
Lucian Sharpe '24
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 9 9 4 5 4 10 7 9 11 8 76 Samuel Rooks '27
Sam Barrett '26
Brown University Brown University Bears A 10 5 11 7 10 11 11 11 10 10 96 Keller Morrison '25
William Salerno '25
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 130 Nils Tullberg '23
Roan Iribarren '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1111111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2222222222
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies3333333333
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 15555555555
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 26666666666
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks4444444444

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers7777777777
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears8888888888
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9999999999
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 112121212121212121212
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 213131313131313131313
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks11111111111111111111

Conditions — 04/08/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 45%  ·  Pressure 1031.6 hPa

Temperature

43°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.2 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From WSW (247°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine10.8 hrs Humidity45% Pressure1031.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 11 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.14 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →