Cascadia Cup

HostSail Sand Point
Date10/10/2015
TypeIn-District
BoatCFJ
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Bainbridge High School	Spartans	34	34	68
2	Sehome High School	Mariners V	41	35	76
3	Franklin High School	Quakers	41	45	86
4	Bainbridge High School	Blue	49	47	96
5	Orcas High School	Vikings 1	70	39	109
6	Woodinville High School	Varsity	53	61	114
7	Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	43	88	131
8	Islanders	Islanders	65	69	134
9	Oregon City High School	Pioneers 1	57	80	137
10	Oregon Episcopal School	Aardvarks	64	73	137
11	Orcas High School	Vikings 2	101	51	152
12	Olympia High School	Bears 1	92	83	175
13	Catlin Gabel School	Eagles	92	90	182
14	Anacortes High School	Seahawks 1	88	118	206
15	Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	133	73	206
16	Oregon City High School	Pioneers 2	127	106	233
17	Squalicum High School	Storm	59	175	234
18	Ingraham High School	Rams	103	141	244
19	Nikola Tesla STEM High School	Engineers	141	111	252
20	Bainbridge High School	Stripes	149	139	288
21	Sehome High School	Mariners JV 1	161	133	294
22	Olympia High School	Bears 2	152	144	296
23	Sehome High School	Mariners JV 2	125	184	309
24	Sehome High School	Mariners JV 3	167	146	313
25	Bainbridge High School	Gold	152	162	314
26	Bellingham High School	Raiders	145	174	319
27	Anacortes High School	Seahawks 2	187	152	339
28	Olympia High School	Bears 3	181	173	354

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Bainbridge High School	Spartans	1	1	3	5	9	5	10	34	Blake Bentzen '16 [1-7] Nicole Sanford '16 [1-2] Sophia Kasper '18 [3-7]
Franklin High School	Quakers	5	9	11	11	3	1	1	41	Thomas Hope '16 Elizabeth Diehl '16
Sehome High School	Mariners V	7	8	1	2	2	15	6	41	Liam Hood '16 Shea Walker '16
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	12	6	4	3	5	11	2	43	Matthew Reynolds '16 Ian Stewart '17
Bainbridge High School	Blue	4	3	16	4	15	3	4	49	Olivia Mitchell '18 [1-7] Kathryn Smith '17 [1-4, 7] Sophie Lewis '18 [5-6]
Woodinville High School	Varsity	15	2	5	9	8	7	7	53	Karl Skeel '16 [1-2, 5-7] Tim Player '16 [3-4] Nicolai Blasdel '17 [1-2, 5-6] Henry Barrow '16 [3-4] Tim Player '16 [7]
Oregon City High School	Pioneers 1	8	23	2	1	1	4	18	57	Grant Gridley '18
Squalicum High School	Storm	2	5	7	8	13	19	5	59	Benjamin Stark '16 Quinn Shultis '16
Oregon Episcopal School	Aardvarks	14	4	14	6	10	13	3	64	John Ped '16 Megan Waller '20
Islanders	Islanders	3	14	10	7	4	14	13	65
Orcas High School	Vikings 1	11	7	13	16	6	9	8	70	Wylie Kau '16 Matia Schwartz '17
Anacortes High School	Seahawks 1	9	13	12	13	11	16	14	88	Kian Patrick '16 Katherine Butler '18
Olympia High School	Bears 1	6	22	22	12	7	10	BKD	92	Elena Gonick '16 Ciara Mcclanahan '20
Catlin Gabel School	Eagles	16	10	19	14	14	2	17	92	Sean Grealish '17
Orcas High School	Vikings 2	17	16	17	18	12	6	15	101	Domicick Wareham '19 [1-7] Aristotle Luna '20 [1-2, 5-6] Sandy Rost '17 [3-4, 7]
Ingraham High School	Rams	25	17	8	10	16	8	19	103	Margot Watts '19 Marijke Jorna '16
Sehome High School	Mariners JV 2	20	21	9	15	19	DNF	12	125	Jacob Finston '18 Maia Ketteridge '17
Oregon City High School	Pioneers 2	18	12	15	19	23	20	20	127
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	19	20	6	DNF	24	12	23	133	Jordan Wood-Pina '18 Matt Hallahan '16
Nikola Tesla STEM High School	Engineers	13	11	DNS	22	22	17	27	141	Isaac Perrin '18 Yumi Shridhar '16
Bellingham High School	Raiders	22	18	20	17	21	26	21	145	Hannah Roy '17 Connor Mcgreevy '16
Bainbridge High School	Stripes	23	DNF	23	21	18	24	11	149	No Show [1-7] No Show [1-2, 5-7] Banning Jones '19 [3-4]
Olympia High School	Bears 2	10	24	21	20	28	23	26	152	Konrad Brine '16 [1-7] Antonio Dunlap '18 [1-5] Kimberly Yee '19 [6-7]
Bainbridge High School	Gold	24	15	18	DNF	25	25	16	152	Taylor Lhamon '18 [1-2, 5-7] Henry Brown '18 [3-4] Henry Brown '18 [1-2] Jack Chapman '19 [3-4] Roark Coggon '19 [5-6] No Show [7]
Sehome High School	Mariners JV 1	21	25	DNS	DNF	17	18	22	161	Cedric Keneipp '19 [1-7] Hailey Peterson '18 [1-2] Cole Whitman '18 [3-7]
Sehome High School	Mariners JV 3	27	19	DNS	DNF	27	27	9	167	Casey Malone '20 Peyton Nienaber '18
Olympia High School	Bears 3	DNF	DNF	DNS	DNF	20	21	24	181	No Show Ben Hildreth '19
Anacortes High School	Seahawks 2	26	26	DNS	DNF	26	22	DNF	187	Peter Correa '17 Wesley Bone '17

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	R7	TOT	Sailors
Bainbridge High School	Spartans	6	3	5	1	2	8	9	34	Caelan Juckniess '16 [1-7] Sophia Kasper '18 [1] Karl Anderson '16 [2, 5-6] Nicole Sanford '16 [3-4, 7]
Sehome High School	Mariners V	1	6	1	13	9	1	4	35	Jeffrey Werner '16 [1-7] Mallory Hood '18 [1, 3-7] Nicholas Bourlier '16 [2]
Orcas High School	Vikings 1	4	4	4	11	12	3	1	39	Axel Greening '17 Jadyn Kopp '18
Franklin High School	Quakers	2	5	9	4	10	7	8	45	Thomas Hope '16 Elizabeth Diehl '16
Bainbridge High School	Blue	7	7	7	2	16	2	6	47	Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [1-7] Sophie Lewis '18 [1, 7] Taylor Lhamon '18 [2] Lizi Dauber '19 [3-6]
Orcas High School	Vikings 2	3	2	13	7	8	13	5	51	Maggie Toombs '18 Mccabe Webb '18
Woodinville High School	Varsity	5	1	27	6	7	12	3	61	Erik Skeel '16 [1-7] Tim Player '16 [1-2] Henry Barrow '16 [3-6] Nicolai Blasdel '17 [7]
Islanders	Islanders	14	11	3	8	6	5	22	69
Oregon Episcopal School	Aardvarks	8	DNF	11	3	11	4	7	73	Claire Siegel-Wilson '18 Ronan Waterson '18
Oak Harbor High School	Wildcats	9	10	6	9	4	20	15	73	Austin Hauter '17 Dylan Angell '18
Oregon City High School	Pioneers 1	16	DNF	8	5	1	10	11	80	Grant Gridley '18
Olympia High School	Bears 1	13	16	2	19	3	11	19	83	Max Miller '18 [1-7] Leo Brine '16 [1-4] Isabelle Stokesberry Miles-Paulson '16 [5-7]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Cardinals	20	8	12	14	15	6	13	88	Gavin Ross '16 Rebecca Reynolds '17
Catlin Gabel School	Eagles	10	14	18	12	5	19	12	90	Sean Grealish '17
Oregon City High School	Pioneers 2	15	12	14	15	13	17	20	106
Nikola Tesla STEM High School	Engineers	12	13	17	10	22	23	14	111	Ethan Perrin '16 Pauline Pfaffe '16
Anacortes High School	Seahawks 1	11	9	16	17	18	18	DSQ	118	Heather Rolph '17 Julia Soes '17
Sehome High School	Mariners JV 1	23	DNS	22	18	24	15	2	133	Lera Anders '18 [1-7] Nicholas Bourlier '16 [1, 3-7] Mallory Hood '18 [2]
Bainbridge High School	Stripes	25	DNS	10	20	19	26	10	139	No Show [1-7] No Show [1-4, 7] Jack Chapman '19 [5-6]
Ingraham High School	Rams	17	DNS	21	21	21	16	16	141	Luke Gibbons '18 [1-7] Cameron Comnenos '17 [1-2, 5-6] Max Kauffman '18 [3-4, 7]
Olympia High School	Bears 2	21	15	24	22	17	24	21	144	No Show No Show
Sehome High School	Mariners JV 3	OCS	DNS	19	23	14	14	18	146	Sean Powell '20 Jack Knowles '20
Anacortes High School	Seahawks 2	18	DNS	15	16	23	22	DNF	152	Liam Patrick '18 Brynna Bone '19
Bainbridge High School	Gold	26	DNS	20	27	27	9	24	162	Harrison Saliba '17 [1-4] Banning Jones '19 [5-7] Roark Coggon '19 [1-2, 7] No Show [3-6]
Olympia High School	Bears 3	DNF	DNS	23	28	20	27	17	173	No Show No Show
Bellingham High School	Raiders	19	DNS	28	25	26	21	26	174	Colby Antico '18 Cole Helms '18
Squalicum High School	Storm	22	DNS	25	26	25	25	23	175	Jacob Weston '19 Kristyle Lee '18
Sehome High School	Mariners JV 2	24	DNS	26	24	28	28	25	184	Alejandro Ponce '18 Alex Daluiso '18

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (29 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A	7A
Anacortes High School Seahawks 1					2	2	6
Anacortes High School Seahawks 2			2	2	6	6	7
Bainbridge High School Blue	6	6	7	7	8	8	13
Bainbridge High School Gold	7	7	8	8	13	13	14
Bainbridge High School Spartans	2	2	6	6	7	7	8
Bainbridge High School Stripes	8	8	13	13	14	14	15
Catlin Gabel School Eagles	14	14	15	15	16	16	28
Franklin High School Quakers	15	15	16	16	28	28	29
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR Cardinals	13	13	14	14	15	15	16
Islanders Islanders							2
Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks	16	16	28	28	29	29
Orcas High School Vikings 1	28	28	29	29
Orcas High School Vikings 2	29	29

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B	7B
Anacortes High School Seahawks 1					7	7	29
Anacortes High School Seahawks 2			7	7	29	29	2
Bainbridge High School Blue	29	29	2	2
Bainbridge High School Gold	2	2
Bainbridge High School Spartans	7	7	29	29	2	2
Bellingham High School Raiders					13	13	15
Franklin High School Quakers							6
Islanders Islanders							7
Oak Harbor High School Wildcats	8	8
Oregon Episcopal School Aardvarks					6	6
Olympia High School Bears 1	15	15	28	28
Olympia High School Bears 2	28	28					14
Olympia High School Bears 3					14	14	16
Orcas High School Vikings 1			6	6
Orcas High School Vikings 2	6	6					13
Sehome High School Mariners JV 1			13	13	15	15	28
Sehome High School Mariners JV 2	13	13	15	15	28	28
Sehome High School Mariners JV 3			8	8
Sehome High School Mariners V			14	14	16	16
Squalicum High School Storm	16	16			8	8
Woodinville High School Varsity	14	14	16	16			8

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Anacortes High School	Kian Patrick '16	Katherine Butler '18
Seahawks 1	Heather Rolph '17	Julia Soes '17
Anacortes High School	Peter Correa '17	Wesley Bone '17
Seahawks 2	Liam Patrick '18	Brynna Bone '19
Bainbridge High School	Olivia Mitchell '18 [1-7]	Kathryn Smith '17 [1-4, 7] Sophie Lewis '18 [5-6]
Blue	Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [1-7]	Sophie Lewis '18 [1, 7] Taylor Lhamon '18 [2] Lizi Dauber '19 [3-6]
Bainbridge High School	Taylor Lhamon '18 [1-2, 5-7] Henry Brown '18 [3-4]	Henry Brown '18 [1-2] Jack Chapman '19 [3-4] Roark Coggon '19 [5-6] No Show [7]
Gold	Harrison Saliba '17 [1-4] Banning Jones '19 [5-7]	Roark Coggon '19 [1-2, 7] No Show [3-6]
Bainbridge High School	Blake Bentzen '16 [1-7]	Nicole Sanford '16 [1-2] Sophia Kasper '18 [3-7]
Spartans	Caelan Juckniess '16 [1-7]	Sophia Kasper '18 [1] Karl Anderson '16 [2, 5-6] Nicole Sanford '16 [3-4, 7]
Bainbridge High School	No Show [1-7]	No Show [1-2, 5-7] Banning Jones '19 [3-4]
Stripes	No Show [1-7]	No Show [1-4, 7] Jack Chapman '19 [5-6]
Bellingham High School	Hannah Roy '17	Connor Mcgreevy '16
Raiders	Colby Antico '18	Cole Helms '18
Catlin Gabel School	Sean Grealish '17
Eagles	Sean Grealish '17
Franklin High School	Thomas Hope '16	Elizabeth Diehl '16
Quakers	Thomas Hope '16	Elizabeth Diehl '16
Ingraham High School	Margot Watts '19	Marijke Jorna '16
Rams	Luke Gibbons '18 [1-7]	Cameron Comnenos '17 [1-2, 5-6] Max Kauffman '18 [3-4, 7]
Lincoln High School - Portland, OR	Matthew Reynolds '16	Ian Stewart '17
Cardinals	Gavin Ross '16	Rebecca Reynolds '17
Nikola Tesla STEM High School	Isaac Perrin '18	Yumi Shridhar '16
Engineers	Ethan Perrin '16	Pauline Pfaffe '16
Oak Harbor High School	Jordan Wood-Pina '18	Matt Hallahan '16
Wildcats	Austin Hauter '17	Dylan Angell '18
Olympia High School	Elena Gonick '16	Ciara Mcclanahan '20
Bears 1	Max Miller '18 [1-7]	Leo Brine '16 [1-4] Isabelle Stokesberry Miles-Paulson '16 [5-7]
Olympia High School	Konrad Brine '16 [1-7]	Antonio Dunlap '18 [1-5] Kimberly Yee '19 [6-7]
Bears 2	No Show	No Show
Olympia High School	No Show	Ben Hildreth '19
Bears 3	No Show	No Show
Orcas High School	Wylie Kau '16	Matia Schwartz '17
Vikings 1	Axel Greening '17	Jadyn Kopp '18
Orcas High School	Domicick Wareham '19 [1-7]	Aristotle Luna '20 [1-2, 5-6] Sandy Rost '17 [3-4, 7]
Vikings 2	Maggie Toombs '18	Mccabe Webb '18
Oregon City High School	Grant Gridley '18
Pioneers 1	Grant Gridley '18
Oregon Episcopal School	John Ped '16	Megan Waller '20
Aardvarks	Claire Siegel-Wilson '18	Ronan Waterson '18
Sehome High School	Cedric Keneipp '19 [1-7]	Hailey Peterson '18 [1-2] Cole Whitman '18 [3-7]
Mariners JV 1	Lera Anders '18 [1-7]	Nicholas Bourlier '16 [1, 3-7] Mallory Hood '18 [2]
Sehome High School	Jacob Finston '18	Maia Ketteridge '17
Mariners JV 2	Alejandro Ponce '18	Alex Daluiso '18
Sehome High School	Casey Malone '20	Peyton Nienaber '18
Mariners JV 3	Sean Powell '20	Jack Knowles '20
Sehome High School	Liam Hood '16	Shea Walker '16
Mariners V	Jeffrey Werner '16 [1-7]	Mallory Hood '18 [1, 3-7] Nicholas Bourlier '16 [2]
Squalicum High School	Benjamin Stark '16	Quinn Shultis '16
Storm	Jacob Weston '19	Kristyle Lee '18
Woodinville High School	Karl Skeel '16 [1-2, 5-7] Tim Player '16 [3-4]	Nicolai Blasdel '17 [1-2, 5-6] Henry Barrow '16 [3-4] Tim Player '16 [7]
Varsity	Erik Skeel '16 [1-7]	Tim Player '16 [1-2] Henry Barrow '16 [3-6] Nicolai Blasdel '17 [7]

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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Cascadia Cup

Division A

Division B

From the notes