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Norfolk Academy Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 21 7 28
2 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 14 20 34
3 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 13 33 46
4 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 17 52 69
5 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 43 31 74
6 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 31 46 77
7 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 4 51 29 80
8 Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Varsity 55 25 80
9 Hampton High School Hampton High School Varsity 69 35 104
10 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 1 56 48 104
11 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 66 42 108
12 York High School York High School Varsity 58 65 123
13 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 63 68 131
14 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 41 96 137
15 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 18 125 143
16 St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Saints 1 86 65 151
17 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Varsity 89 68 157
18 Maury High School Maury High School Varsity 90 78 168
19 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 2 91 95 186
20 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 104 94 198
21 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 111 90 201
22 St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Saints 2 110 95 205
23 Smithfield High School Smithfield High School Smithfield 84 125 209
24 St. Catherine's School St. Catherine's School Saints 117 102 219
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 3 1 4 2 3 13 Hector Guzman '16
Sally Johnson '18
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 5 4 1 3 1 14 Dreugh Phillips '16
Sarah Smith '18
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 4 5 2 4 2 17 Victor Layne '16
Ray Domena '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 1 3 3 5 6 18 Darden Purrington '16
Daniel Vail '17
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 2 2 6 1 10 21 Gray Kiger '16
Alek Sas '18
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 8 6 5 8 4 31 Kaila Pfrang '17
Hailey Gilman '17
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 6 7 7 7 14 41 Zoe Harding '18
Alara Sahin '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 7 9 8 6 13 43 Marshall Mccraw '16 [1-5]
Emmaline Herring '16 [1-4]
Jessica Williams '16 [5]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 4 11 8 15 9 8 51 Parker Purrington '19
Matt Wright '19
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Varsity 12 11 10 10 12 55 Neilson Woodfield '16
Kasey Cordner '16
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 1 14 13 12 12 5 56 Henry Eley '18
Mark Fitzharris '19
York High School York High School Varsity 9 10 16 16 7 58 Zane Morris '18
Kylee Hockaday '17
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 13 14 11 14 11 63 Jack Whitmore '19
Molly Sykes '15
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 16 12 18 11 9 66 Kendra Walker '16
Lauren Levinson '16
Hampton High School Hampton High School Varsity 10 15 9 19 16 69 Anna Patterson '16
Grace Holloway '17
Smithfield High School Smithfield High School Smithfield 18 20 14 17 15 84 Ellie Hinkle '19 [1-5]
Jaylin Barrett '19 [1-2]
Darius Williams '19 [3-5]
St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Saints 1 15 16 13 20 22 86 Ralph Levy '18
Colin Smith '16
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Varsity 20 19 17 13 20 89 Cole Handly '19 [1-2]
Parker Bunting '18 [3-5]
Micaela Twisdale '16 [1-2]
William Thornton '17 [3-5]
Maury High School Maury High School Varsity 19 17 21 15 18 90 Byron Armstrong '18 [1-4]
Alexandrea Lingle '19 [5]
Lucien Parker '20 [1-2, 5]
Alexandrea Lingle '19 [3-4]
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 2 17 18 19 18 19 91 Jared Cronin '17 [1-5]
Jill Shoemaker '19 [1-4]
Chris Bratcher '19 [5]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 RDG DNF 20 21 17 104 Catherine Gilmore '17
Jack Mckenna '20
St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Saints 2 21 21 22 22 24 110 Harrison Clary '18
Berkeley Galston '17
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 22 22 23 23 21 111 Morgan Kelly '17
Colin Wilson '18
St. Catherine's School St. Catherine's School Saints 23 23 24 24 23 117 Elizabeth Magee '17
Abby Nichols '17
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 1 1 1 2 2 7 James Whitmore '16
Anna Cornetta '16
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 8 3 2 4 3 20 Ellie Maus '18
Ashley Obermeyer '18
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Varsity 6 6 7 1 5 25 Blake Harrington '18
David Michael Jennings '14
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 4 5 4 5 7 8 29 Parker Purrington '19
Matt Wright '19
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 3 5 9 8 6 31 Elise Turrietta '16
Katie Mansoor '16
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 2 2 3 DSQ 1 33 Brendan Little '18
Eric Demario '18
Hampton High School Hampton High School Varsity 4 11 4 9 7 35 Spencer Charney '16
Jillian Kilgore '16
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 10 9 6 5 12 42 Wilson Hatchett '17
Amory Hanes '18
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 7 7 8 13 11 46 Harrison Parker '18
Bobby Levin '18
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 1 15 10 10 3 10 48 Miles Campbell '16
Alex Kitay '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 12 8 12 6 14 52 Alex Holt '17
Nick Selig '17
York High School York High School Varsity 13 14 11 12 15 65 Daniel Hodges '18
Charlie Gibson '20
St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Saints 1 16 16 14 15 4 65 Judson Innes '18 [1-5]
Thomas Branch '17 [1-2]
Dylan Gibbs '17 [3-5]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 3 14 15 15 11 13 68 Michael Hostutler '20
Carter Furr '17
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Varsity 17 19 13 10 9 68 Sam Brady '19
Olivia Whitehouse '17
Maury High School Maury High School Varsity 11 13 16 18 20 78 Tyler Cason '18 [1-5]
Kate Weaver '18 [1-2]
Will Moore '20 [3-5]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Varsity 18 20 21 14 17 90 Stanton Camp '18
Declan Lawlor '16
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 20 DNS 17 16 16 94 Andrea Dalseg '16
Brit Cortina '20
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Varsity 2 19 18 20 19 19 95 Andrew Frix '18
Phillip Whitten '17
St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Saints 2 DNF 17 18 17 18 95 Colin Knight '16 [1-2]
Ramsey Morris '19 [3-5]
Ramsey Morris '19 [1-2]
Colin Knight '16 [3-5]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 9 12 DSQ DSQ DSQ 96 Parker Bunting '18 [1-2]
Zoe Harding '18 [3-5]
Sierra Lanier '18 [1-2]
St. Catherine's School St. Catherine's School Saints 21 21 19 20 21 102 Audrey Ladd '19 [1-5]
Emmy Jankowski '19 [1-2, 5]
Caroline Hudgens '17 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 125 Darden Purrington '16
Anne Burns '16
Smithfield High School Smithfield High School Smithfield DNF DNS DNS DNS DNS 125 Raina Hempley '19
Darius Williams '19
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 111335
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 216161818102
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Varsity88101012
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Varsity 155779
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Varsity 2101101103103105
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Varsity1111131315
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Varsity99111113
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints44668
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 122446
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 21717101101103
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 31041041061062
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 133557
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 21818102102104
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3105105113
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 4106106224
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Varsity668810
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 11010121214
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 2102102104104106
Smithfield High SchoolSmithfield High School Smithfield1414161618
St. Catherine's SchoolSt. Catherine's School Saints15151717101
St. Christopher's SchoolSt. Christopher's School Saints 11313151517
St. Christopher's SchoolSt. Christopher's School Saints 21031031051051
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Varsity1212141416
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity779911

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 122446
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 21717101101103
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Varsity99111113
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Varsity 1668810
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Varsity 2102102104104106
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Varsity1212141416
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Varsity1010121214
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints55779
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 133557
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 21818102102104
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 3105105113
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 144668
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2101101103103105
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3106106224
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 411335
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Varsity779911
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 11111131315
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 21031031051051
Smithfield High SchoolSmithfield High School Smithfield15151717101
St. Catherine's SchoolSt. Catherine's School Saints16161818102
St. Christopher's SchoolSt. Christopher's School Saints 11414161618
St. Christopher's SchoolSt. Christopher's School Saints 21041041061062
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Varsity1313151517
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity88101012
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christchurch School Christchurch School Hector Guzman '16 Sally Johnson '18
Seahorses 1 Brendan Little '18 Eric Demario '18
Christchurch School Christchurch School Zoe Harding '18 Alara Sahin '18
Seahorses 2 Parker Bunting '18 [1-2]
Zoe Harding '18 [3-5]		 Sierra Lanier '18 [1-2]
Hampton High School Hampton High School Anna Patterson '16 Grace Holloway '17
Varsity Spencer Charney '16 Jillian Kilgore '16
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Henry Eley '18 Mark Fitzharris '19
Varsity 1 Miles Campbell '16 Alex Kitay '19
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Jared Cronin '17 [1-5] Jill Shoemaker '19 [1-4]
Chris Bratcher '19 [5]
Varsity 2 Andrew Frix '18 Phillip Whitten '17
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Cole Handly '19 [1-2]
Parker Bunting '18 [3-5]		 Micaela Twisdale '16 [1-2]
William Thornton '17 [3-5]
Varsity Sam Brady '19 Olivia Whitehouse '17
Maury High School Maury High School Byron Armstrong '18 [1-4]
Alexandrea Lingle '19 [5]		 Lucien Parker '20 [1-2, 5]
Alexandrea Lingle '19 [3-4]
Varsity Tyler Cason '18 [1-5] Kate Weaver '18 [1-2]
Will Moore '20 [3-5]
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Kaila Pfrang '17 Hailey Gilman '17
Saints Harrison Parker '18 Bobby Levin '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Gray Kiger '16 Alek Sas '18
Bulldogs 1 James Whitmore '16 Anna Cornetta '16
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Marshall Mccraw '16 [1-5] Emmaline Herring '16 [1-4]
Jessica Williams '16 [5]
Bulldogs 2 Elise Turrietta '16 Katie Mansoor '16
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Jack Whitmore '19 Molly Sykes '15
Bulldogs 3 Michael Hostutler '20 Carter Furr '17
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Dreugh Phillips '16 Sarah Smith '18
Oaks 1 Ellie Maus '18 Ashley Obermeyer '18
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Victor Layne '16 Ray Domena '19
Oaks 2 Alex Holt '17 Nick Selig '17
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Darden Purrington '16 Daniel Vail '17
Oaks 3 Darden Purrington '16 Anne Burns '16
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Parker Purrington '19 Matt Wright '19
Oaks 4 Parker Purrington '19 Matt Wright '19
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Neilson Woodfield '16 Kasey Cordner '16
Varsity Blake Harrington '18 David Michael Jennings '14
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Kendra Walker '16 Lauren Levinson '16
Islanders 1 Wilson Hatchett '17 Amory Hanes '18
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Catherine Gilmore '17 Jack Mckenna '20
Islanders 2 Andrea Dalseg '16 Brit Cortina '20
Smithfield High School Smithfield High School Ellie Hinkle '19 [1-5] Jaylin Barrett '19 [1-2]
Darius Williams '19 [3-5]
Smithfield Raina Hempley '19 Darius Williams '19
St. Catherine's School St. Catherine's School Elizabeth Magee '17 Abby Nichols '17
Saints Audrey Ladd '19 [1-5] Emmy Jankowski '19 [1-2, 5]
Caroline Hudgens '17 [3-4]
St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Ralph Levy '18 Colin Smith '16
Saints 1 Judson Innes '18 [1-5] Thomas Branch '17 [1-2]
Dylan Gibbs '17 [3-5]
St. Christopher's School St. Christopher's School Harrison Clary '18 Berkeley Galston '17
Saints 2 Colin Knight '16 [1-2]
Ramsey Morris '19 [3-5]		 Ramsey Morris '19 [1-2]
Colin Knight '16 [3-5]
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Morgan Kelly '17 Colin Wilson '18
Varsity Stanton Camp '18 Declan Lawlor '16
York High School York High School Zane Morris '18 Kylee Hockaday '17
Varsity Daniel Hodges '18 Charlie Gibson '20

Conditions — 10/10/2015 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1018.0 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 60°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.0 kn
Gusts to 23.1 kn
From NNE (32°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine3.3 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1018.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 13 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Academy: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.22)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.26
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.40 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.22 means a rating gap counts about 19% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Norfolk Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →