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VISA NA Fleet Race Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 12 8 20
2 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 29 18 47
3 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 40 29 69
4 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 28 61 89
5 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 32 67 99
6 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 74 27 101
7 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 53 49 102
8 York High School York High School Varsity 1 50 53 103
9 Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 60 44 104
10 Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 55 62 117
11 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 51 67 118
12 Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 72 68 140
13 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 95 62 157
14 Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 70 88 158
15 Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 77 102 179
16 Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 109 79 188
17 York High School York High School Varsity 2 84 120 204
18 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 92 115 207
19 Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 106 118 224
20 Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 136 101 237
21 Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 112 130 242
22 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 134 108 242
23 Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 136 123 259
24 Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 145 119 264
25 Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 135 137 272
26 Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 123 151 274
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 2 1 1 1 5 2 12 Boyd Bragg '19
Sally Johnson '18
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 5 4 6 6 2 5 28 Henry Eley '18
Alex Kitay '19
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 11 9 3 2 3 1 29 Mariana Guzman Casas '19
Carson Rozell '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 3 2 2 14 4 7 32 Parker Purrington '19
Ray Domena '19
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 1 OCS 5 3 1 3 40 Ellie Maus '18
Matt Wright '19
York High School York High School Varsity 1 12 6 7 13 6 6 50 Zane Morris '18
Ethan White '21
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 8 14 10 4 7 8 51 Cole Handly '19
Grace Joyner '19
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 6 8 12 7 16 4 53 Michael Hostutler '20
Alek Sas '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 4 5 8 9 20 9 55 Lawson Montgomery '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Charlie Britt '21 [3-4]
Mihir Damle '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Henry Campbell '21 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 10 13 4 5 14 14 60 Sarah Smith '18
Jenks Britt '20
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 16 3 13 12 13 13 70 Paul Trudell '22
Emily Palmer '18
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 7 16 16 11 10 12 72 Blake Harrington '18
Alexandra Smith '23
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 13 15 17 8 11 10 74 Clare Elden Gaule '21
Anna Flynn '20
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 15 11 15 16 9 11 77 Haydon Gould '19
Madeleine Etheridge '19
York High School York High School Varsity 2 9 10 18 18 12 17 84 Brian Fox '19
Hunter Bryson '22
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 22 19 11 10 15 15 92 Jack Mckenna '20
Amory Haynes '18
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 14 7 14 22 22 16 95 Tyler Cason '18 [1-6]
Sophia Bibbo '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jackson Walsh '20 [3-4]
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 23 22 9 15 18 19 106 Avery Mcnight '20 [1-6]
Ailis Brown '20 [1-4]
Molly Hanson '22 [5-6]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 19 17 19 17 17 20 109 Bryce Hoen '18
Tyson Denton '21
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 18 12 21 21 19 21 112 David Hanna '21 [1-6]
Kalia Haupt '19 [1-4]
Eli Teague '19 [5-6]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 17 OCS DNF 26 8 18 123 Britt Cortina '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Rachelle Steins '19 [3-4]
Katie Fremaux '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Liz Fierro '20 [3-4]
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 24 20 22 24 21 23 134 Charles Schoening '19
Mark Ostrowski '19
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 20 23 24 23 23 22 135 Bobby Levin '18
Hunter Sznoluch '19
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 21 24 23 19 25 24 136 Abby Hellman '18
Dax Dimuzio '21
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 25 21 20 20 24 26 136 Carson Cooper '18
Ronan Donovan '19
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 26 18 25 25 26 25 145 Maggie Mcdonald '19 [1, 5-6]
Zack Bromley '21 [2-4]
Zack Bromley '21 [1]
Maggie Mcdonald '19 [2]
Tyler Kurtz '20 [3-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 8 Nathan Smith '20
Reese Bragg '21
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 2 2 5 1 4 4 2 18 John Vail '20
Jeff Elkin '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 3 7 4 3 3 3 7 27 Lucas Masiello '19
Kennedy Jones '20
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1 5 1 5 11 2 5 29 Chris Robertson '19
Alex Schuck '21
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 3 8 12 6 7 8 3 44 Maggie Campbell '22
Jon Krueger '20
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 1 6 15 4 6 9 9 49 Jack Kilduff '18
Cameron Lloyd '19
York High School York High School Varsity 1 10 11 12 5 5 10 53 Daniel Hodges '18
Charlie Gibson '20
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 1 13 3 13 10 11 11 61 Henry Waddill '18
Connor Duggan '19
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 1 3 10 16 14 6 13 62 Robert Chase '22
Kate Weaver '18
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Bulldogs 2 4 7 15 15 7 14 62 Jennifer Permenter '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Maiya Foleck '19 [3-4]
Hans Christoffersen '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Elaina Tenfelde '20 [3-4]
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 1 11 9 7 9 13 18 67 Sam Brady '19
Laura Rhodes '20
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks 2 14 6 11 12 16 8 67 Harrison Thomson '22
Chapman Holt '20
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Phantoms 15 19 10 2 10 12 68 Gavin Smith '21
Ryan Nguyen '20
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Warriors 2 9 13 22 17 14 4 79 Morgan Handly '21 [1-4]
Tyler Bevington '19 [5-6]
Megan Geith '20 [1-4]
Charlotte Pirnik '20 [5-6]
Maury High School Maury High School Commodores 2 19 18 20 13 12 6 88 Ali Zaidi '20
Sophia Bibbo '20
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Trojans 17 16 9 16 21 22 101 Max Wilcox '18
Cameron Pellie '21
Grafton High School Grafton High School Varsity 12 8 23 18 22 19 102 Haydon Gould '19
Reilly Warren '21
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 1 18 24 8 19 23 16 108 Jake Kiggans '19
Matt Marsh '18
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 1 24 14 18 20 19 20 115 Charlotte Patterson '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Emmaline Dicarlo '20 [3-4]
Emmaline Dicarlo '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Charlotte Patterson '20 [3-4]
Hampton High School Hampton High School Crabbers 20 23 14 21 17 23 118 Nick Winkle '20
Molly Hanson '22
Catholic High School Catholic High School Crusaders 2 16 17 21 22 18 25 119 Josh Kiggans '21
Oliver Hudson '20
York High School York High School Varsity 2 22 20 25 23 15 15 120 Jacqueline Lankford '18
Christopher Raab '20
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Navigators 2 26 26 17 8 20 26 123 Scott Spencer '19
Ethan Kutner '18
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Islanders 2 21 21 19 24 24 21 130 Chase Brewer '22
Claire Dicarlo '22
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints 23 22 24 26 25 17 137 Carter Lydon '21 [1-6]
Emily Argust '20 [1-4]
Maddy Reynolds '21 [5-6]
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Knights 25 25 26 25 26 24 151 William Robertson '21 [1-2]
Nina Robertson '18 [3-4]
Paula-Ann Robertson '19 [5-6]
Gracie Harris '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mary-Elise Alworth '19 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 1113355
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 216161818112112
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1224466
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 21717111111113113
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 31818112112114114
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity335577
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers446688
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 1557799
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2111111113113115115
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 166881010
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 2112112114114116116
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 177991111
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 2113113115115117117
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints8810101212
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 19911111313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 2114114116116118118
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1101012121414
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 211511511711711
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 311611611811822
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights111113131515
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms121214141616
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 1131315151717
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 21171171133
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans141416161818
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity 115151717111111
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity 21181182244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 1224466
Catholic High SchoolCatholic High School Crusaders 21717111111113113
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 1335577
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 21818112112114114
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses 3111111113113115115
Grafton High SchoolGrafton High School Varsity446688
Hampton High SchoolHampton High School Crabbers557799
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 166881010
Hampton Roads AcademyHampton Roads Academy Navigators 2112112114114116116
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 177991111
Kecoughtan High SchoolKecoughtan High School Warriors 2113113115115117117
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 18810101212
Maury High SchoolMaury High School Commodores 2114114116116118118
Nansemond-Suffolk AcademyNansemond-Suffolk Academy Saints9911111313
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 1101012121414
Norfolk AcademyNorfolk Academy Bulldogs 211511511711711
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 1111113131515
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 211611611811822
Norfolk Collegiate SchoolNorfolk Collegiate School Oaks 31171171133
Peninsula Catholic High SchoolPeninsula Catholic High School Knights121214141616
Phoebus High SchoolPhoebus High School Phantoms131315151717
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 1141416161818
Poquoson High SchoolPoquoson High School Islanders 21181182244
Walsingham AcademyWalsingham Academy Trojans15151717111111
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity 116161818112112
York High SchoolYork High School Varsity 2113355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Catholic High School Catholic High School Charles Schoening '19 Mark Ostrowski '19
Crusaders 1 Jake Kiggans '19 Matt Marsh '18
Catholic High School Catholic High School Maggie Mcdonald '19 [1, 5-6]
Zack Bromley '21 [2-4]		 Zack Bromley '21 [1]
Maggie Mcdonald '19 [2]
Tyler Kurtz '20 [3-6]
Crusaders 2 Josh Kiggans '21 Oliver Hudson '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School Boyd Bragg '19 Sally Johnson '18
Seahorses 1 Nathan Smith '20 Reese Bragg '21
Christchurch School Christchurch School Mariana Guzman Casas '19 Carson Rozell '19
Seahorses 2 John Vail '20 Jeff Elkin '20
Christchurch School Christchurch School Clare Elden Gaule '21 Anna Flynn '20
Seahorses 3 Lucas Masiello '19 Kennedy Jones '20
Grafton High School Grafton High School Haydon Gould '19 Madeleine Etheridge '19
Varsity Haydon Gould '19 Reilly Warren '21
Hampton High School Hampton High School Avery Mcnight '20 [1-6] Ailis Brown '20 [1-4]
Molly Hanson '22 [5-6]
Crabbers Nick Winkle '20 Molly Hanson '22
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Henry Eley '18 Alex Kitay '19
Navigators 1 Henry Waddill '18 Connor Duggan '19
Hampton Roads Academy Hampton Roads Academy Abby Hellman '18 Dax Dimuzio '21
Navigators 2 Scott Spencer '19 Ethan Kutner '18
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Cole Handly '19 Grace Joyner '19
Warriors 1 Sam Brady '19 Laura Rhodes '20
Kecoughtan High School Kecoughtan High School Bryce Hoen '18 Tyson Denton '21
Warriors 2 Morgan Handly '21 [1-4]
Tyler Bevington '19 [5-6]		 Megan Geith '20 [1-4]
Charlotte Pirnik '20 [5-6]
Maury High School Maury High School Tyler Cason '18 [1-6] Sophia Bibbo '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Jackson Walsh '20 [3-4]
Commodores 1 Robert Chase '22 Kate Weaver '18
Maury High School Maury High School Paul Trudell '22 Emily Palmer '18
Commodores 2 Ali Zaidi '20 Sophia Bibbo '20
Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Nansemond-Suffolk Academy Bobby Levin '18 Hunter Sznoluch '19
Saints Carter Lydon '21 [1-6] Emily Argust '20 [1-4]
Maddy Reynolds '21 [5-6]
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Michael Hostutler '20 Alek Sas '18
Bulldogs 1 Jack Kilduff '18 Cameron Lloyd '19
Norfolk Academy Norfolk Academy Lawson Montgomery '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Charlie Britt '21 [3-4]		 Mihir Damle '19 [1-2, 5-6]
Henry Campbell '21 [3-4]
Bulldogs 2 Jennifer Permenter '21 [1-2, 5-6]
Maiya Foleck '19 [3-4]		 Hans Christoffersen '18 [1-2, 5-6]
Elaina Tenfelde '20 [3-4]
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Ellie Maus '18 Matt Wright '19
Oaks 1 Chris Robertson '19 Alex Schuck '21
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Parker Purrington '19 Ray Domena '19
Oaks 2 Harrison Thomson '22 Chapman Holt '20
Norfolk Collegiate School Norfolk Collegiate School Sarah Smith '18 Jenks Britt '20
Oaks 3 Maggie Campbell '22 Jon Krueger '20
Peninsula Catholic High School Peninsula Catholic High School Britt Cortina '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Rachelle Steins '19 [3-4]		 Katie Fremaux '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Liz Fierro '20 [3-4]
Knights William Robertson '21 [1-2]
Nina Robertson '18 [3-4]
Paula-Ann Robertson '19 [5-6]		 Gracie Harris '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Mary-Elise Alworth '19 [3-4]
Phoebus High School Phoebus High School Blake Harrington '18 Alexandra Smith '23
Phantoms Gavin Smith '21 Ryan Nguyen '20
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School Jack Mckenna '20 Amory Haynes '18
Islanders 1 Charlotte Patterson '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Emmaline Dicarlo '20 [3-4]		 Emmaline Dicarlo '20 [1-2, 5-6]
Charlotte Patterson '20 [3-4]
Poquoson High School Poquoson High School David Hanna '21 [1-6] Kalia Haupt '19 [1-4]
Eli Teague '19 [5-6]
Islanders 2 Chase Brewer '22 Claire Dicarlo '22
Walsingham Academy Walsingham Academy Carson Cooper '18 Ronan Donovan '19
Trojans Max Wilcox '18 Cameron Pellie '21
York High School York High School Zane Morris '18 Ethan White '21
Varsity 1 Daniel Hodges '18 Charlie Gibson '20
York High School York High School Brian Fox '19 Hunter Bryson '22
Varsity 2 Jacqueline Lankford '18 Christopher Raab '20

Conditions — 09/23/2017 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1017.5 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.4 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From NNE (16°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover27% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1017.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Norfolk Academy: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.16 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Norfolk Academy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 11 labelled days at Norfolk Academy, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →