2016 MASSA District Mallory Championship

HostThe WaterFront Center
Date04/16/2016
TypeDistrict Championship
BoatC420
Scoring2 Divisions

#	School	Team	A	B	TOT
1	Christchurch School	Seahorses	26	32	58
2	Key School	Zags	32	30	62
3	Mamaroneck High School	Tigers	61	8	69
4	Rye Country Day School	Wildcats	45	41	86
5	Severn School	Admirals	47	40	87
6	Ranney School	Panthers	60	30	90
7	Annapolis High School	Panthers	35	62	97
8	Rumson-Fair Haven	Bulldogs	24	79	103
9	Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	65	46	111
10	Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks	43	82	125
11	Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	64	63	127
12	Southwestern Central High School	Trojans	67	62	129
13	Broadneck High School	Bruins	73	58	131
14	Rye High School	Garnets	64	72	136
15	Toms River North	Mariners	74	62	136
16	Archbishop Spalding	Cavaliers	65	71	136
17	Mercy High School	Varsity	83	82	165
18	St. John the Baptist	Cougars	99	106	205

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Rumson-Fair Haven	Bulldogs	8	7	5	1	2	1	24	Michael Munger '16 Shaanti Choi-Bose '19
Christchurch School	Seahorses	1	1	1	DSQ	1	3	26	Hector Guzman '16 Sally Johnson '18
Key School	Zags	11	3	2	9	3	4	32	Christian Filter '16 Nicholas Papadopoulos '18
Annapolis High School	Panthers	6	4	7	3	6	9	35	Porter Kavle '18 Ava Walker '20
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks	5	6	16	2	12	2	43	Dreugh Phillips '16 Sarah Smith '18
Rye Country Day School	Wildcats	3	11	9	6	9	7	45	Cooper Yeager '17 [1-6] Zoe Athanason '18 [1-4] Lucie Rochat '18 [5-6]
Severn School	Admirals	18	2	4	5	13	5	47	Connor Bayless '17 [1-6] Camille White '18 [1-2] Abby Tindall '19 [3-6]
Ranney School	Panthers	15	10	11	4	4	16	60	Cameron Giblin '19 Ava Atanacio '18
Mamaroneck High School	Tigers	16	5	3	12	15	10	61	Emma Kaneti '18 [1-6] Katie Lawless '16 [1-2] Molly Banks '18 [3-6]
Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	2	13	14	14	7	14	64	Gray Kiger '16 Alek Sas '18
Rye High School	Garnets	4	12	6	13	17	12	64	Sean Walsh '16 Cj Sculti '16
Archbishop Spalding	Cavaliers	9	14	13	8	8	13	65	Jake Vickers '18 Caroline Kelly '19
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	13	9	10	11	5	17	65	Joe Laforgia '17 Chris Magno '17
Southwestern Central High School	Trojans	12	16	8	15	10	6	67	Sebby Turner '16 Olivia Persia '18
Broadneck High School	Bruins	17	15	12	7	11	11	73	Phillip Schofield '17 Kate Selley '16
Toms River North	Mariners	7	17	18	10	14	8	74	Sean Crabb '16 James Koerner '17
Mercy High School	Varsity	10	8	17	17	16	15	83	Ava Esquier '16 Gavin First Name Last Name Graduation Year Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Bloom '17
St. John the Baptist	Cougars	14	18	15	16	18	18	99	Finn Rauch '19 [1-6] Kristi Dolan '16 [1-4] Kyra Gilmore '17 [5-6]

School	Team	R1	R2	R3	R4	R5	R6	TOT	Sailors
Mamaroneck High School	Tigers	1	1	1	1	2	2	8	Carmen Cowles '19 Emma Cowles '19
Ranney School	Panthers	3	7	8	3	1	8	30	Luke Arnone '19 Mari Patient '17
Key School	Zags	5	3	3	2	12	5	30	Bryan Bay '16 Kendall Schneider '17
Christchurch School	Seahorses	4	13	4	5	5	1	32	Boyd Bragg '19 Eric Demario '18
Severn School	Admirals	2	6	2	13	10	7	40	Stephanie Houck '17 [1-6] Blair Reilly '18 [1-2, 5-6] Aidan Morgan '17 [3-4]
Rye Country Day School	Wildcats	12	4	5	4	13	3	41	Andrew Rochat '16 Jack Briano '17
Christian Brothers Academy	Colts	10	2	14	8	6	6	46	Michael Ehnot '18 Mark Iorio '16
Broadneck High School	Bruins	6	11	6	10	11	14	58	Philip Davis '16 [1-6] Katherine Bennett '18 [1-4] Brigid Mckay '17 [5-6]
Toms River North	Mariners	7	15	7	12	17	4	62	Eddie Harrison '18 Mia Porter '18
Annapolis High School	Panthers	8	17	13	6	3	15	62	Remington King '17 Kimberly Leonard '18
Southwestern Central High School	Trojans	15	9	9	11	9	9	62	Luke Tota '20 Aj Smith '18
Norfolk Academy	Bulldogs	13	8	17	7	8	10	63	James Whitmore '16 Emma Burdett '16
Archbishop Spalding	Cavaliers	11	14	12	9	14	11	71	Will Comerford '17 Alex Hatch '16
Rye High School	Garnets	14	12	10	16	4	16	72	Lindsay Powers '17 [1-4] Emma Jakobson '17 [5-6] Nick Davis '16 [1-4] Lindsay Powers '17 [5-6]
Rumson-Fair Haven	Bulldogs	17	16	11	15	7	13	79	Addie Sellig '16 Teddy Schroeder '16
Mercy High School	Varsity	9	10	18	17	16	12	82	Nate Peck '16 Sarah Chew '18
Norfolk Collegiate School	Oaks	16	5	15	14	15	17	82	Darden Purrington '16 [1-4] Victor Layne '16 [5-6] Daniel Vail '17 [1-4] Nick Baker '16 [5-6]
St. John the Baptist	Cougars	18	18	16	18	18	18	106	Noah Scarpa '17 [1-4] Emma Worthington '19 [5-6] Wendy Quatrale '17 [1-4] Clare Guarascio '18 [5-6]

Boat Speed Analyzer

SlowExpected boat effectFast

−0.100+0.10

Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team	1A	2A	3A	4A	5A	6A
Annapolis High School Panthers	1	1	3	3	5	5
Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers	2	2	4	4	6	6
Broadneck High School Bruins	3	3	5	5	7	7
Christchurch School Seahorses	4	4	6	6	8	8
Christian Brothers Academy Colts	5	5	7	7	9	9
Key School Zags	6	6	8	8	10	10
Mamaroneck High School Tigers	7	7	9	9	11	11
Mercy High School Varsity	8	8	10	10	12	12
Norfolk Academy Bulldogs	9	9	11	11	13	13
Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks	10	10	12	12	14	14
Ranney School Panthers	11	11	13	13	15	15
Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs	12	12	14	14	16	16
Rye High School Garnets	14	14	16	16	18	18
Rye Country Day School Wildcats	13	13	15	15	17	17
Severn School Admirals	15	15	17	17	1	1
Southwestern Central High School Trojans	16	16	18	18	2	2
St. John the Baptist Cougars	17	17	1	1	3	3
Toms River North Mariners	18	18	2	2	4	4

Division B

Team	1B	2B	3B	4B	5B	6B
Annapolis High School Panthers	2	2	4	4	6	6
Archbishop Spalding Cavaliers	3	3	5	5	7	7
Broadneck High School Bruins	4	4	6	6	8	8
Christchurch School Seahorses	5	5	7	7	9	9
Christian Brothers Academy Colts	6	6	8	8	10	10
Key School Zags	7	7	9	9	11	11
Mamaroneck High School Tigers	8	8	10	10	12	12
Mercy High School Varsity	9	9	11	11	13	13
Norfolk Academy Bulldogs	10	10	12	12	14	14
Norfolk Collegiate School Oaks	11	11	13	13	15	15
Ranney School Panthers	12	12	14	14	16	16
Rumson-Fair Haven Bulldogs	13	13	15	15	17	17
Rye High School Garnets	15	15	17	17	1	1
Rye Country Day School Wildcats	14	14	16	16	18	18
Severn School Admirals	16	16	18	18	2	2
Southwestern Central High School Trojans	17	17	1	1	3	3
St. John the Baptist Cougars	18	18	2	2	4	4
Toms River North Mariners	1	1	3	3	5	5

School / Team	Skipper	Crew
Annapolis High School	Porter Kavle '18	Ava Walker '20
Panthers	Remington King '17	Kimberly Leonard '18
Archbishop Spalding	Jake Vickers '18	Caroline Kelly '19
Cavaliers	Will Comerford '17	Alex Hatch '16
Broadneck High School	Phillip Schofield '17	Kate Selley '16
Bruins	Philip Davis '16 [1-6]	Katherine Bennett '18 [1-4] Brigid Mckay '17 [5-6]
Christchurch School	Hector Guzman '16	Sally Johnson '18
Seahorses	Boyd Bragg '19	Eric Demario '18
Christian Brothers Academy	Joe Laforgia '17	Chris Magno '17
Colts	Michael Ehnot '18	Mark Iorio '16
Key School	Christian Filter '16	Nicholas Papadopoulos '18
Zags	Bryan Bay '16	Kendall Schneider '17
Mamaroneck High School	Emma Kaneti '18 [1-6]	Katie Lawless '16 [1-2] Molly Banks '18 [3-6]
Tigers	Carmen Cowles '19	Emma Cowles '19
Mercy High School	Ava Esquier '16	Gavin First Name Last Name Graduation Year Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Delete Row Bloom '17
Varsity	Nate Peck '16	Sarah Chew '18
Norfolk Academy	Gray Kiger '16	Alek Sas '18
Bulldogs	James Whitmore '16	Emma Burdett '16
Norfolk Collegiate School	Dreugh Phillips '16	Sarah Smith '18
Oaks	Darden Purrington '16 [1-4] Victor Layne '16 [5-6]	Daniel Vail '17 [1-4] Nick Baker '16 [5-6]
Ranney School	Cameron Giblin '19	Ava Atanacio '18
Panthers	Luke Arnone '19	Mari Patient '17
Rumson-Fair Haven	Michael Munger '16	Shaanti Choi-Bose '19
Bulldogs	Addie Sellig '16	Teddy Schroeder '16
Rye Country Day School	Cooper Yeager '17 [1-6]	Zoe Athanason '18 [1-4] Lucie Rochat '18 [5-6]
Wildcats	Andrew Rochat '16	Jack Briano '17
Rye High School	Sean Walsh '16	Cj Sculti '16
Garnets	Lindsay Powers '17 [1-4] Emma Jakobson '17 [5-6]	Nick Davis '16 [1-4] Lindsay Powers '17 [5-6]
Severn School	Connor Bayless '17 [1-6]	Camille White '18 [1-2] Abby Tindall '19 [3-6]
Admirals	Stephanie Houck '17 [1-6]	Blair Reilly '18 [1-2, 5-6] Aidan Morgan '17 [3-4]
Southwestern Central High School	Sebby Turner '16	Olivia Persia '18
Trojans	Luke Tota '20	Aj Smith '18
St. John the Baptist	Finn Rauch '19 [1-6]	Kristi Dolan '16 [1-4] Kyra Gilmore '17 [5-6]
Cougars	Noah Scarpa '17 [1-4] Emma Worthington '19 [5-6]	Wendy Quatrale '17 [1-4] Clare Guarascio '18 [5-6]
Toms River North	Sean Crabb '16	James Koerner '17
Mariners	Eddie Harrison '18	Mia Porter '18

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

What a rating point is worthA one-point edge is a 73% chance to beat another boat in a race; two points is 88%.
Should the best sailor sail A?Add your two skippers’ ratings and compare with the field; above it the better skipper belongs in A.
Are the boats even?Boats differ by about 0.3 places a race; fleets are uneven from day one.
Which venues get orderly in a breeze?Some venues get orderly when it blows, a few get messier; the fleet comes first.

All notes →

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2016 MASSA District Mallory Championship

Division A

Division B

From the notes