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Mallory National Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 113 90 203
2 Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 145 96 241
3 Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 135 141 276
4 Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 146 136 282
5 Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 134 162 296
6 St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 130 167 297
7 Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 105 200 305
8 Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 150 191 341
9 Wando Wando Wando Warriors 235 162 397
10 Key School Key School Zags 181 221 402
11 Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 247 157 404
12 Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 250 160 410
13 Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 254 179 433
14 Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 261 220 481
15 Brunswick School Brunswick School Brunswick Bruins 169 330 499
16 Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 268 322 590
17 Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 275 318 593
18 Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 304 328 632
19 North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 368 278 646
20 Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 326 330 656
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 R20 TOT Sailors
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 7 1 11 4 1 12 10 3 1 1 2 2 8 7 12 3 14 4 1 1 105 Sean Segerblom '16 [1-20]
Briggs D'Eliscu '16 [1-3, 7-20]
Andrew Person '17 [4-6]
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 5 7 5 3 2 4 1 4 2 13 1 4 9 2 5 11 6 5 14 10 113 Wiley Rogers '18
Hunter Skinner '16
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 16 3 8 15 5 2 4 15 7 5 16 3 4 1 1 7 4 7 2 5 130 Will Logue '16 [1-20]
Oliver Parsons '17 [1-4, 10-17]
Collin Alexander '16 [5-9]
Ben White '18 [18-20]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 9 4 4 2 6 6 5 2 8 4 12 6 12 8 4 2 15 8 9 8 134 Hector Guzman '16 [1-20]
Sally Johnson '18 [1-2, 7-20]
Eric Demario '18 [3-6]
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 12 10 9 1 3 8 7 14 13 14 5 5 2 4 6 6 9 2 3 2 135 Josh Dochoda '16 [1-20]
Andreea Ranney-Pace '16 [1-2, 9, 15-20]
Kyle Dochoda '17 [3-8, 10-14]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 1 5 14 7 8 7 8 10 3 10 6 9 17 6 3 1 12 9 5 4 145 Jack Mcgraw '16 [1-20]
Katharine Bowman '16 [1-2, 5-10, 12-20]
Nate Dimelfi '16 [3-4, 11]
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 4 9 2 6 7 5 6 9 6 7 8 7 6 3 10 17 7 6 15 6 146 Henry Burnes '17 [1-20]
Jamie Fox '21 [1-14, 16-20]
Emily Grace '16 [15]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 3 2 1 8 4 1 2 18 15 3 4 11 13 11 2 12 5 13 10 12 150 Shawn Harvey '17 [1-20]
Adrianne Han '16 [1-18]
Delilah Lubarsky '17 [19-20]
Brunswick School Brunswick School Brunswick Bruins 6 14 3 17 15 3 14 8 9 9 3 12 11 5 9 4 2 11 11 3 169 Jack Parkin '17
Leyton Borcherding '21
Key School Key School Zags 2 6 7 5 10 10 3 5 20 6 13 RDG 5 9 11 5 20 10 6 19 181 Christian Filter '16 [1-20]
Nicholas Papadopoulos '18 [1-14, 16-20]
Sarah Musante '17 [15]
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 14 13 18 14 13 13 15 6 5 2 14 10 7 19 16 9 16 1 19 11 235 Austin Ando '17 [1-19]
Hunter Moore '16 [20]
Hunter Moore '16 [1-2, 15-19]
Peter Creed '16 [3-14]
Austin Ando '17 [20]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 10 12 15 10 19 9 19 7 4 18 9 17 1 10 18 16 1 18 17 17 247 Parker Loftus '16 [1-4, 11-14, 17-20]
Peter Thibodeau '16 [5-10, 15-16]
Nathalie Cavallo '16 [1-2, 7-14, 17-20]
Tom Kelly '16 [3-6]
Stephanie Zou '16 [15-16]
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 8 17 6 16 9 18 16 16 11 15 7 15 19 12 8 8 13 12 8 16 250 Evan Heffernan '16 [1-19]
Caden Scheiblauer '19 [20]
Caden Scheiblauer '19 [1-6]
Jodie Jacobs '16 [7-20]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 18 20 17 12 17 11 18 12 12 8 11 1 14 13 15 20 10 14 4 7 254 Rhodes Garner '16 [1-13, 19-20]
Sean Dahl '17 [14, 17-18]
John Horton '17 [15-16]
Kate Madigan '16 [1-10, 19-20]
Sammy Pickell '18 [11-18]
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 19 8 16 11 20 14 9 1 10 11 15 16 16 18 13 10 3 20 13 18 261 Will Mckeige '16
Lizzy Kaplan '19
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 11 16 20 9 14 15 11 17 16 12 17 14 18 14 7 15 11 15 7 9 268 Mark Davies '16 [1-20]
Julia Fairbank '19 [1-2, 18-20]
Marleigh Belsley '19 [3-17]
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 13 15 10 18 12 20 12 13 17 20 10 8 10 15 17 14 17 3 18 13 275 Cooper Yeager '17 [1-20]
Zoe Athanason '18 [1-2, 17-20]
Jack Briano '17 [3-4, 11-16]
Ruth Reynolds '17 [5-6, 9-10]
Will Dunn '18 [7-8]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 17 11 13 13 18 16 13 11 18 19 18 18 3 17 20 13 18 17 16 15 304 Blake Bentzen '16 [1-20]
Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Nicole Sanford '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 15 18 12 19 11 17 17 20 14 16 20 19 15 20 19 18 8 16 12 20 326 William Curtiss '16 [1-20]
Su Yardimci '18 [1-6, 15-20]
William Porter '18 [7-14]
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 20 19 19 20 16 19 20 19 19 17 19 20 20 16 14 19 19 19 20 14 368 Liam Sherry '16 [1-20]
Julia Sherry '19 [1-4, 11-13, 15-18]
Alaina Marcotte '19 [5-10, 14, 19-20]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 R19 R20 TOT Sailors
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Knights 3 1 1 2 1 4 6 3 3 5 12 6 8 2 4 8 5 1 6 9 90 Dane Byerly '16 [1-20]
Laura Masterson '16 [1-8, 12-18]
Julia Sheaffer '18 [9-11]
Bailey Spatz '16 [19-20]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Pointers 2 9 3 3 3 7 12 4 2 4 1 5 2 11 6 10 4 2 1 5 96 Steven Leuck '16
Megan Lansdale '16
Milton Academy Milton Academy Mustangs 15 2 2 8 12 1 7 6 12 16 5 1 1 12 5 3 1 15 4 8 136 Luke Monnich '21
Charles Hibben '18
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Chargers 1 4 11 5 7 9 2 2 5 2 8 4 12 4 11 17 10 11 14 2 141 Hannah Steadman '16 [1-16, 19-20]
Kyle Dochoda '17 [17-18]
Peninah Benjamin '16 [1-14]
Kyle Dochoda '17 [15-16, 19]
Elizabeth Shanahan '19 [17-18]
Andreea Ranney-Pace '16 [20]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Seawolves 4 5 4 15 5 2 8 1 1 12 2 8 15 18 3 15 3 19 10 7 157 Chase Cooper '17 [1-16]
Tucker Hersam '16 [17-20]
Tucker Hersam '16 [1-16]
Tom Kelly '16 [17]
Stephanie Zou '16 [18-20]
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Dons 13 7 7 6 6 8 1 5 8 1 13 10 9 13 10 12 11 6 8 6 160 Lucas Pierce '17
Lauren Seigel '16
Christchurch School Christchurch School Seahorses 6 11 6 10 2 3 4 12 7 3 6 3 5 9 9 13 13 14 16 10 162 Boyd Bragg '19 [1-20]
Eric Demario '18 [1-2]
Alara Sahin '18 [3-20]
Wando Wando Wando Warriors 12 10 RDG 9 13 5 3 10 6 6 10 12 10 1 1 11 7 12 3 13 162 Cameron Gise '16 [1-20]
Austin Googer '17 [1-9, 12-14]
Caroline Main '18 [10-11, 15-20]
St. George's School St. George's School Dragons 11 15 9 7 11 16 11 14 4 8 4 2 6 3 15 4 8 3 13 3 167 Matt Logue '18 [1-4, 9-20]
John Kirkpatrick '18 [5-8]
Caroline Macaulay '16 [1-5, 15-17]
Ben White '18 [6-8]
Taylor Kirkpatrick '16 [9-10, 18-20]
John Kirkpatrick '18 [11-14]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity 9 3 8 1 17 11 9 11 9 7 11 14 4 7 16 6 6 4 12 14 179 Derek Pickell '16 [1-12, 19-20]
Porter Killian '18 [13-18]
Victoria Thompson '17 [1-10, 13-20]
Sean Dahl '17 [11-12]
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Raiders 10 8 10 17 9 10 14 7 11 18 7 9 3 8 2 1 18 17 11 1 191 Tucker Weed '18 [1-6, 9-20]
Paul Lobree '18 [7-8]
Vera Mariani '16 [1-3, 5-6, 9-13, 15-20]
Jax Malloy '16 [4]
Alex Sidi '17 [7-8, 14]
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sailors 8 6 5 12 18 14 5 13 14 20 3 15 7 6 8 2 17 8 7 12 200 Michael Sabourin '16 [1-12]
Patrick Shannon '16 [13-18]
Joseph Hou '18 [19-20]
Madeline Bubb '16 [1-18]
Eliza Moody '16 [19-20]
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Tigers 16 12 12 14 8 13 18 15 20 11 14 7 14 5 7 19 2 7 2 4 220 Carmen Cowles '19 [1-20]
Emma Cowles '19 [1, 15-20]
Katie Lawless '16 [2-14]
Key School Key School Zags 5 13 18 4 4 6 10 8 13 9 9 11 16 17 12 7 9 20 15 15 221 Harrison Koller '17 [1-20]
Isadora Gallanar '17 [1-2, 15-20]
Noah Chapman '16 [3]
Declan Lombard '17 [4-14]
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Dogfish 14 16 14 13 16 17 13 19 16 14 15 13 20 15 13 5 15 9 5 16 278 Maddie Ekin '16 [1-20]
Anna Sherry '19 [1-4, 9-20]
Morgan Chapman '19 [5-8]
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Wildcats 17 18 13 11 20 12 19 20 18 15 16 17 18 10 14 16 14 13 18 19 318 Andrew Rochat '16 [1-9, 13-17, 20]
Lucie Rochat '18 [10-12, 18-19]
Jack Briano '17 [1-2]
Hugh Reynolds '16 [3-14, 17-20]
Will Dunn '18 [15-16]
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Varsity 18 14 15 20 14 15 15 18 19 13 20 16 13 16 18 9 16 16 17 20 322 Allie Cahn '16 [1-20]
Leah Peluchiwski '16 [1-2, 18-20]
Will Davies '18 [3-17]
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Spartans 7 19 19 19 19 18 20 17 10 19 19 20 19 14 19 20 20 10 9 11 328 Caelan Juckniess '16 [1-20]
Sophia Kasper '18 [1, 4, 8-11, 15-16, 19-20]
Karl Anderson '16 [2-3, 5-7, 12-14, 17-18]
Brunswick School Brunswick School Brunswick Bruins 19 17 16 18 15 19 17 16 15 10 18 18 17 20 17 18 19 5 19 17 330 Peter Pillari '17 [1-20]
William Michels '21 [1-4, 9-20]
Peter Pillari '17 [5-8]
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School Scouts 20 20 17 16 10 20 16 9 17 17 17 19 11 19 20 14 12 18 20 18 330 Nicholas Elsasser '18
Connor Sheridan '18
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A19A20A
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans1122334455667788991010
Brunswick SchoolBrunswick School Brunswick Bruins221120201919181817171616151514141313
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses33445566778899101011111212
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights44332211202019191818171716161515
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity556677889910101111121213131414
Key SchoolKey School Zags6655443322112020191918181717
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts7788991010111112121313141415151616
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity887766554433221120201919
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers99101011111212131314141515161617171818
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs1010998877665544332211
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors1111121213131414151516161717181819192020
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish12121111101099887766554433
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers131314141515161617171818191920201122
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders141413131212111110109988776655
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats15151616171718181919202011223344
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Dons1616151514141313121211111010998877
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers1717181819192020112233445566
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons18181717161615151414131312121111101099
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves191920201122334455667788
WandoWando Wando Warriors2020191918181717161615151414131312121111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B19B20B
Bainbridge High SchoolBainbridge High School Spartans1122334455667788991010
Brunswick SchoolBrunswick School Brunswick Bruins221120201919181817171616151514141313
Christchurch SchoolChristchurch School Seahorses33445566778899101011111212
Clear Falls High SchoolClear Falls High School Knights44332211202019191818171716161515
Corona del Mar High SchoolCorona del Mar High School Sea Kings Varsity556677889910101111121213131414
Key SchoolKey School Zags6655443322112020191918181717
Lake Forest High SchoolLake Forest High School Scouts7788991010111112121313141415151616
Latin School of ChicagoLatin School of Chicago Varsity887766554433221120201919
Mamaroneck High SchoolMamaroneck High School Tigers99101011111212131314141515161617171818
Milton AcademyMilton Academy Mustangs1010998877665544332211
Newport Harbor High SchoolNewport Harbor High School Sailors1111121213131414151516161717181819192020
North Kitsap High SchoolNorth Kitsap High School Dogfish12121111101099887766554433
Point Loma High SchoolPoint Loma High School Pointers131314141515161617171818191920201122
Ransom Everglades SchoolRansom Everglades School Raiders141413131212111110109988776655
Rye Country Day SchoolRye Country Day School Wildcats15151616171718181919202011223344
Santa Barbara High SchoolSanta Barbara High School Dons1616151514141313121211111010998877
Shorecrest Preparatory SchoolShorecrest Preparatory School Chargers1717181819192020112233445566
St. George's SchoolSt. George's School Dragons18181717161615151414131312121111101099
Tabor AcademyTabor Academy Seawolves191920201122334455667788
WandoWando Wando Warriors2020191918181717161615151414131312121111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bainbridge High School Bainbridge High School Blake Bentzen '16 [1-20] Elizabeth Rolfes '17 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14, 17-18]
Nicole Sanford '16 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16, 19-20]
Spartans Caelan Juckniess '16 [1-20] Sophia Kasper '18 [1, 4, 8-11, 15-16, 19-20]
Karl Anderson '16 [2-3, 5-7, 12-14, 17-18]
Brunswick School Brunswick School Jack Parkin '17 Leyton Borcherding '21
Brunswick Bruins Peter Pillari '17 [1-20] William Michels '21 [1-4, 9-20]
Peter Pillari '17 [5-8]
Christchurch School Christchurch School Hector Guzman '16 [1-20] Sally Johnson '18 [1-2, 7-20]
Eric Demario '18 [3-6]
Seahorses Boyd Bragg '19 [1-20] Eric Demario '18 [1-2]
Alara Sahin '18 [3-20]
Clear Falls High School Clear Falls High School Wiley Rogers '18 Hunter Skinner '16
Knights Dane Byerly '16 [1-20] Laura Masterson '16 [1-8, 12-18]
Julia Sheaffer '18 [9-11]
Bailey Spatz '16 [19-20]
Corona del Mar High School Corona del Mar High School Rhodes Garner '16 [1-13, 19-20]
Sean Dahl '17 [14, 17-18]
John Horton '17 [15-16]		 Kate Madigan '16 [1-10, 19-20]
Sammy Pickell '18 [11-18]
Sea Kings Varsity Derek Pickell '16 [1-12, 19-20]
Porter Killian '18 [13-18]		 Victoria Thompson '17 [1-10, 13-20]
Sean Dahl '17 [11-12]
Key School Key School Christian Filter '16 [1-20] Nicholas Papadopoulos '18 [1-14, 16-20]
Sarah Musante '17 [15]
Zags Harrison Koller '17 [1-20] Isadora Gallanar '17 [1-2, 15-20]
Noah Chapman '16 [3]
Declan Lombard '17 [4-14]
Lake Forest High School Lake Forest High School William Curtiss '16 [1-20] Su Yardimci '18 [1-6, 15-20]
William Porter '18 [7-14]
Scouts Nicholas Elsasser '18 Connor Sheridan '18
Latin School of Chicago Latin School of Chicago Mark Davies '16 [1-20] Julia Fairbank '19 [1-2, 18-20]
Marleigh Belsley '19 [3-17]
Varsity Allie Cahn '16 [1-20] Leah Peluchiwski '16 [1-2, 18-20]
Will Davies '18 [3-17]
Mamaroneck High School Mamaroneck High School Will Mckeige '16 Lizzy Kaplan '19
Tigers Carmen Cowles '19 [1-20] Emma Cowles '19 [1, 15-20]
Katie Lawless '16 [2-14]
Milton Academy Milton Academy Henry Burnes '17 [1-20] Jamie Fox '21 [1-14, 16-20]
Emily Grace '16 [15]
Mustangs Luke Monnich '21 Charles Hibben '18
Newport Harbor High School Newport Harbor High School Sean Segerblom '16 [1-20] Briggs D'Eliscu '16 [1-3, 7-20]
Andrew Person '17 [4-6]
Sailors Michael Sabourin '16 [1-12]
Patrick Shannon '16 [13-18]
Joseph Hou '18 [19-20]		 Madeline Bubb '16 [1-18]
Eliza Moody '16 [19-20]
North Kitsap High School North Kitsap High School Liam Sherry '16 [1-20] Julia Sherry '19 [1-4, 11-13, 15-18]
Alaina Marcotte '19 [5-10, 14, 19-20]
Dogfish Maddie Ekin '16 [1-20] Anna Sherry '19 [1-4, 9-20]
Morgan Chapman '19 [5-8]
Point Loma High School Point Loma High School Jack Mcgraw '16 [1-20] Katharine Bowman '16 [1-2, 5-10, 12-20]
Nate Dimelfi '16 [3-4, 11]
Pointers Steven Leuck '16 Megan Lansdale '16
Ransom Everglades School Ransom Everglades School Shawn Harvey '17 [1-20] Adrianne Han '16 [1-18]
Delilah Lubarsky '17 [19-20]
Raiders Tucker Weed '18 [1-6, 9-20]
Paul Lobree '18 [7-8]		 Vera Mariani '16 [1-3, 5-6, 9-13, 15-20]
Jax Malloy '16 [4]
Alex Sidi '17 [7-8, 14]
Rye Country Day School Rye Country Day School Cooper Yeager '17 [1-20] Zoe Athanason '18 [1-2, 17-20]
Jack Briano '17 [3-4, 11-16]
Ruth Reynolds '17 [5-6, 9-10]
Will Dunn '18 [7-8]
Wildcats Andrew Rochat '16 [1-9, 13-17, 20]
Lucie Rochat '18 [10-12, 18-19]		 Jack Briano '17 [1-2]
Hugh Reynolds '16 [3-14, 17-20]
Will Dunn '18 [15-16]
Santa Barbara High School Santa Barbara High School Evan Heffernan '16 [1-19]
Caden Scheiblauer '19 [20]		 Caden Scheiblauer '19 [1-6]
Jodie Jacobs '16 [7-20]
Dons Lucas Pierce '17 Lauren Seigel '16
Shorecrest Preparatory School Shorecrest Preparatory School Josh Dochoda '16 [1-20] Andreea Ranney-Pace '16 [1-2, 9, 15-20]
Kyle Dochoda '17 [3-8, 10-14]
Chargers Hannah Steadman '16 [1-16, 19-20]
Kyle Dochoda '17 [17-18]		 Peninah Benjamin '16 [1-14]
Kyle Dochoda '17 [15-16, 19]
Elizabeth Shanahan '19 [17-18]
Andreea Ranney-Pace '16 [20]
St. George's School St. George's School Will Logue '16 [1-20] Oliver Parsons '17 [1-4, 10-17]
Collin Alexander '16 [5-9]
Ben White '18 [18-20]
Dragons Matt Logue '18 [1-4, 9-20]
John Kirkpatrick '18 [5-8]		 Caroline Macaulay '16 [1-5, 15-17]
Ben White '18 [6-8]
Taylor Kirkpatrick '16 [9-10, 18-20]
John Kirkpatrick '18 [11-14]
Tabor Academy Tabor Academy Parker Loftus '16 [1-4, 11-14, 17-20]
Peter Thibodeau '16 [5-10, 15-16]		 Nathalie Cavallo '16 [1-2, 7-14, 17-20]
Tom Kelly '16 [3-6]
Stephanie Zou '16 [15-16]
Seawolves Chase Cooper '17 [1-16]
Tucker Hersam '16 [17-20]		 Tucker Hersam '16 [1-16]
Tom Kelly '16 [17]
Stephanie Zou '16 [18-20]
Wando Wando Austin Ando '17 [1-19]
Hunter Moore '16 [20]		 Hunter Moore '16 [1-2, 15-19]
Peter Creed '16 [3-14]
Austin Ando '17 [20]
Wando Warriors Cameron Gise '16 [1-20] Austin Googer '17 [1-9, 12-14]
Caroline Main '18 [10-11, 15-20]

Conditions — 05/14/2016 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 46%  ·  Pressure 1011.9 hPa

Temperature

80°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 79°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 22.0 kn
From WSW (248°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity46% Pressure1011.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 10 kn · NW 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at College of Charleston: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.12 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.00 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at College of Charleston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 6 labelled days at College of Charleston, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →