Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 19 16 35
2 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 34 14 48
3 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 27 24 51
4 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 37 29 66
5 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 35 38 73
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 46 33 79
7 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 56 29 85
8 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 48 42 90
9 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 59 45 104
10 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 79 60 139
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 2 4 4 3 2 2 1 19 Max Famiglietti '13
Natalie Viera '13
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 5 3 7 2 3 1 3 27 Peter Pellegrini '12
Sarah Muzyka '12
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 8 4 1 2 6 5 3 5 34 Peter Edmunds '14
Mae Speight '13
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 1 5 3 5 8 5 6 35 Bradley Milliken '14
Amanda Hamlet '12
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 6 3 2 1 9 10 4 2 37 Gordon Wolcott '13
Alexandra Brenin '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 9 6 9 5 4 1 8 4 46 Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk '14
Janelle Veary '15
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 5 8 8 9 1 4 6 7 48 David Pierce '12
Camilla Nivison '14
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 7 7 6 8 7 6 7 8 56 Erik Brydges '14
Rachel Cruz '14
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 4 9 7 6 8 7 9 9 59 Isaac Clark '12 [1-6]
Bill Parker '14 [7-8]
Derrill Hagood '13 [1-6]
Diana Kong-Wasielewski '14 [7-8]
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 10 10 10 10 10 9 10 10 79 Lily Everson '12
Daniel Moore '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 4 2 3 2 1 14 Jeff Goodrich '12
Clare-Elizabeth Henry '12
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 1 1 4 4 1 5 16 William Heausler '13
Claire Abberger '15
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 4 3 1 2 8 6 24 Kyle Carney '13
Mary Zeolla '13
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 3 5 7 8 3 3 29 Tony Collins '15
Meredith Weber '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 8 2 6 5 4 4 29 Christopher Stessing '14
Hannah Varden '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 9 5 1 5 7 33 Conor Lodge '14
Tasha Greenwood '15
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 5 6 3 6 9 9 38 William Howard '14 [1, 3-6]
Lauren Cefali '15 [2]
Jaimie Chicoine '14 [1, 3-6]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 9 8 8 9 6 2 42 Edward Moan '14
Katlyn Flynn '15
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 7 7 9 7 7 8 45 Adam Siegel '15
Diana Kong-Wasielewski '14
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Jacksonville 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 David Horton '12 [1-4]
Jenna Spangler '14 [5-6]
Karolina Dzieniszewski '15 [1-4]
Coulter Fordham '15 [5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11335577
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears22446688
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears33557799
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons4466881010
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators55779911
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville6688101022
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies77991133
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks8810102244
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos99113355
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1010224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats224466
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears335577
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears446688
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons557799
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators66881010
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Jacksonville779911
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies88101022
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks991133
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos10102244
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe113355

Conditions — 11/12/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1025.9 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 67°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.3 kn
avg  ·  max 5.5 kn
Gusts to 12.6 kn
From NE (52°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1025.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn · SE 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Jacksonville: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Jacksonville by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at Jacksonville).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →