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HWS Fall Intersectional

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 42 29 71
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 55 29 84
3 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 71 21 92
4 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 52 52 104
5 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 85 27 112
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 75 39 114
7 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 42 73 115
8 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 44 75 119
9 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 56 77 133
10 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 81 64 145
11 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 20 138 158
12 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 86 82 168
13 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 100 73 173
14 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 69 148 217
15 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 95 144 239
16 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 134 107 241
17 Hamilton Hamilton Hamilton 139 MRP 129 MRP 268 MRP
18 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 152 152 304
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 2 1 1 3 1 4 6 2 20 Shawn Murray '12
Thomas Sippel '14
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 7 4 6 4 2 5 10 42 Alexander Sachs '12
Emma Pfohman '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 14 2 5 5 6 2 3 42 Johnny Norfleet '13
Chris Klevan '12
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 1 11 6 11 9 1 4 1 44 Michael Whitford '12
Thomas Heist '15
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 12 14 4 7 5 1 6 52 Nick Johnstone '15
Alicia Blumenthal '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 14 5 7 2 10 10 3 4 55 Jason Carminati '12
Julie Digiovanni '13
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 11 6 10 7 3 3 7 9 56 Michael Lee '14 [1-2, 5-8]
Connor Trepton '15 [3-4]
Katrina Debbink '15 [1-2, 5-8]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 7 2 3 15 6 13 10 13 69 Christopher Price '14
Catherine O'Sullivan '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 6 15 5 14 2 11 13 5 71 George Saunders '12
Chelsea Maguire '13
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 15 4 13 10 8 9 8 8 75 Steven Pelissier '14
Kristina Landsvik '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs DSQ 3 8 1 15 8 16 11 81 Brady Stagg '14
Julia Wiesner '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 8 8 11 9 16 7 14 12 85 Gary Herring '12
Noel Ingalls '15
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 12 9 15 8 11 15 9 7 86 Geoff Pedrick '12
Matthew Zampa '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 10 10 9 12 13 16 11 14 95 Thomas Presti '13
Eleanor Leonard '13
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 9 13 12 13 12 14 12 15 100 Duncan Howes '15
Lindsey Ludwig '14
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 16 17 17 16 17 17 17 17 134 Andrew Grasso '15 [1-4]
Philip Oasis '13 [5-8]
Lauren Bleakney '13 [1-4]
Hamilton Hamilton Hamilton 13 16 16 17 14 12 15 16 139 MRP
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks DSQ DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 152 No Show
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SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 6 3 1 1 2 4 2 2 21 Andrew Tamblyn '13
Josh Gershuny '14
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 5 2 2 7 4 1 5 1 27 Daniel Liberty '12
Francois Conde-Jahn '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 1 3 4 3 5 4 8 29 Alex Ramos '15
Saverio Maldari '12
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 4 8 6 2 1 2 3 3 29 Austen Anderson '12
Jane Rew '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 4 5 5 10 7 1 5 39 Nate Jermain '15
Adriana Kopp '12
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 3 7 4 10 6 9 7 6 52 Samuel Stokes '12
Brooks Clark '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 8 13 7 6 12 8 6 4 64 Zach Runci '13
Shannon Wilkins '13
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 7 9 12 12 9 3 9 12 73 Alden Sonnenfeldt '13
Martha Peterson '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 10 6 11 8 8 11 10 9 73 Alex Reynolds '14
Sarah Mckay '12
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 11 10 9 13 7 6 8 11 75 Mildred Conroy '12 [1-2]
Sam Fitzgerald '14 [3-8]
Matt Lawler '13 [1-2]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 12 14 8 3 5 10 11 14 77 Brendan Boylan '13 [1-4]
John Kinzel '14 [5-8]
Kirstin Reeser '15 [1-4]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 9 12 10 9 11 12 12 7 82 Michael Cornew '13
Katherine Nickele '12
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 13 16 13 11 13 14 14 13 107 Adrija Navarro '15
Dylan Ackermamn '14
Hamilton Hamilton Hamilton 14 17 14 14 14 13 13 10 129 MRP
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers DSQ 5 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 138 Tyler Steel '13
Paige Conlin '14
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies DSQ 11 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 144 Colin Silveno '12
Catherine Stavola '14
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green DSQ 15 DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 148 Timothy Scanlon '12
Phoebe Palmer '14
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 152 No Show
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Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars11335577
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies151517171133
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22446688
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33557799
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams4466881010
HamiltonHamilton Hamilton5577991111
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen668810101212
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners779911111313
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen88101012121414
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats99111113131515
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1010121214141616
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1111131315151717
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1212141416161818
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks13131515171711
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks14141616181822
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161618182244
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717113355
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers1818224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars22446688
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies161618182244
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red33557799
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green4466881010
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams5577991111
HamiltonHamilton Hamilton668810101212
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen779911111313
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners88101012121414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen99111113131515
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats1010121214141616
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1111131315151717
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1212141416161818
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers13131515171711
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks14141616181822
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks151517171133
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1717113355
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1818224466
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers11335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
College of Charleston College of Charleston Nick Johnstone '15 Alicia Blumenthal '15
Cougars Samuel Stokes '12 Brooks Clark '13
Cornell University Cornell University Duncan Howes '15 Lindsey Ludwig '14
Big Red Alden Sonnenfeldt '13 Martha Peterson '12
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Christopher Price '14 Catherine O'Sullivan '14
Big Green Timothy Scanlon '12 Phoebe Palmer '14
Fordham University Fordham University Alexander Sachs '12 Emma Pfohman '13
Rams Alex Reynolds '14 Sarah Mckay '12
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Johnny Norfleet '13 Chris Klevan '12
Statesmen Austen Anderson '12 Jane Rew '14
Northwestern University Northwestern University Geoff Pedrick '12 Matthew Zampa '15
Wildcats Michael Cornew '13 Katherine Nickele '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Brady Stagg '14 Julia Wiesner '14
Monarchs Zach Runci '13 Shannon Wilkins '13
Princeton University Princeton University Andrew Grasso '15 [1-4]
Philip Oasis '13 [5-8]		 Lauren Bleakney '13 [1-4]
Tigers Adrija Navarro '15 Dylan Ackermamn '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University George Saunders '12 Chelsea Maguire '13
Hawks Andrew Tamblyn '13 Josh Gershuny '14
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Shawn Murray '12 Thomas Sippel '14
Privateers Tyler Steel '13 Paige Conlin '14
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University No Show No Show
Seahawks No Show No Show
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Gary Herring '12 Noel Ingalls '15
Mariners Daniel Liberty '12 Francois Conde-Jahn '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jason Carminati '12 Julie Digiovanni '13
Midshipmen Alex Ramos '15 Saverio Maldari '12
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Thomas Presti '13 Eleanor Leonard '13
Huskies Colin Silveno '12 Catherine Stavola '14
University of Vermont University of Vermont Steven Pelissier '14 Kristina Landsvik '12
Catamounts Nate Jermain '15 Adriana Kopp '12
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Michael Lee '14 [1-2, 5-8]
Connor Trepton '15 [3-4]		 Katrina Debbink '15 [1-2, 5-8]
Badgers Brendan Boylan '13 [1-4]
John Kinzel '14 [5-8]		 Kirstin Reeser '15 [1-4]
Washington College Washington College Michael Whitford '12 Thomas Heist '15
Shoremen Mildred Conroy '12 [1-2]
Sam Fitzgerald '14 [3-8]		 Matt Lawler '13 [1-2]

Conditions — 10/08/2011 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1030.8 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 5.6 kn
Gusts to 12.1 kn
From S (189°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1030.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn · S 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Hobart & William Sm: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hobart & William Sm by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (30 labelled days at Hobart & William Sm).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →