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MAISA Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 18 32 50
2 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 37 31 68
3 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 63 40 103
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 63 51 114
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 41 74 115
6 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 1 68 56 124
7 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 57 71 128
8 University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 63 102 165
9 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 2 106 61 167
10 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 89 94 183
11 American University American University American 122 117 239
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 1 3 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 4 18 Patrick Kana '12
Morgan Gould '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 8 2 2 3 2 4 6 6 1 2 1 37 Gordon Wolcott '13
Ellen Hubbard '14
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 3 1 1 4 3 2 8 4 6 6 41 Nicholas Clemence '15
Marina Carlson '12
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 6 4 5 7 3 8 9 3 5 5 2 57 Andrea Luna '15
Arianna Baker '12
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 8 8 4 7 6 5 7 6 7 3 63 Connor Timmins '14
Julie Miller '15
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 5 7 9 6 9 5 3 5 3 4 7 63 Griffin Orr '15
Stephanie Rosenbaum '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 10 5 4 8 5 9 4 2 8 3 5 63 Daniel Lochner '15
Alexa Cavalieri '14
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 1 4 6 7 9 6 2 7 4 7 8 8 68 Domenic Re '15
Marisa Demourkas '12
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 9 9 6 5 8 7 8 9 9 9 10 89 Nick Balta '15
Sonia Guior '15
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 2 7 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 106 Sarah Celone '13
Kathryn Shimko '12
American University American University American DNS 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 122 Samuel Walter '15
Chaselynn Collins '12
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 6 1 4 3 1 2 3 2 2 5 31 Christopher Stessing '14
Linda Codega '13
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 1 1 2 7 4 2 1 6 1 1 6 32 Elliott Morrill '15
Camille Conover '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 7 2 4 1 2 6 3 1 8 4 2 40 Jacob Spracher '15
Jaclyn Hollander '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 8 3 5 8 7 7 4 2 3 3 1 51 Philip Youngberg '15 [1-8]
Eugene Diaz Del Rio '13 [9-11]
Sarah Blake '15 [1-8]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 1 5 5 6 5 1 3 10 5 6 7 3 56 Andrew Sayre '12
Charles Rice '15
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 2 4 4 7 2 5 4 5 9 4 8 9 61 Scott Barnhill '14
Nelson Rice '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 6 7 8 6 8 11 7 4 5 5 4 71 Rachel Austin '14
Jessica Milligan '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 8 3 3 10 10 8 7 9 6 7 74 Allison Shane '15 [1-8]
Katherine Gluskin '13 [9-11]
Allison Smith '13 [1-8]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 9 9 9 10 9 8 6 10 7 9 8 94 Collin Clark '14
Owen Dean '14
University of Buffalo University of Buffalo Buffalo 10 10 10 9 11 5 9 8 10 10 10 102 Jon Gambacorta '13 [1-4, 9-11]
Andrew Green '14 [5-8]
Emily Nolan '13 [1-4, 9-11]
American University American University American 11 11 11 DNS 6 9 11 11 DNF DSQ 11 117 Beatriz Gimenez De Cordoba '11
Mike Whitfield '12
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2011 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
American UniversityAmerican University American11223344556
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo889910101111112
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22334455667
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen33445566778
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen44556677889
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue66778899101011
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs556677889910
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks778899101011111
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats 1101011111122334
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats 21111112233445
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos991010111111223

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
American UniversityAmerican University American11223344556
University of BuffaloUniversity of Buffalo Buffalo889910101111112
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red22334455667
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen33445566778
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen44556677889
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue66778899101011
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs556677889910
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks778899101011111
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats 1101011111122334
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats 21111112233445
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos991010111111223

Conditions — 10/22/2011 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1020.2 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.7 kn
avg  ·  max 4.7 kn
Gusts to 10.7 kn
From NW (316°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover73% Sunshine7.2 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1020.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 7 kn · SE 6 kn · S 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at St. Mary's: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.23 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at St. Mary's by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (70 labelled days at St. Mary's).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →