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Rose Bowl 2012

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 24 37 61
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 29 43 72
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 42 35 77
4 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 31 47 78
5 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 31 48 79
6 Boston College Boston College Eagles 95 42 137
7 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 66 87 153
8 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 81 MRP 72 MRP 153 MRP
9 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 64 102 166
10 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 131 36 167
11 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 103 82 185
12 California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 101 MRP 93 MRP 194 MRP
13 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 82 113 195
14 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 86 110 196
15 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 86 114 200
16 Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 126 85 211
17 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 159 63 222
18 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Channel Islands 82 MRP 179 MRP 261 MRP
19 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 133 130 263
20 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 146 131 277
21 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 126 MRP 152 MRP 278 MRP
22 Arizona State University Arizona State University Arizona State 128 MRP 183 MRP 311 MRP
23 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 165 MRP 150 MRP 315 MRP
24 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 210 117 327
25 Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 171 MRP 182 MRP 353 MRP
26 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 154 210 364
27 University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis 210 210 420
28 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 230 MRP 196 MRP 426 MRP
29 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 230 MRP 197 MRP 427 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 7 3 3 2 5 3 1 24 Jason Carminati '12
Alice Hong '12
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 2 4 5 6 2 9 29 Kieran Chung '15
Yuri Namikawa '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 10 5 8 3 1 2 31 Sydney Bolger '12
Katia Dasilva '15
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 5 1 1 11 1 6 6 31 Ben Spector '13
Perry Emsiek '12
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 15 2 7 4 7 4 42 Jacob La Dow '15
Katherine Gluskin '13
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 4 12 14 17 8 4 5 64 Nicholas Kaschak '12
Krystal Treiberg '12
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 6 11 16 16 9 5 3 66 Alexander Sachs '12
Mary Hamilton '14
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 12 6 6 3 12 11 11 81 MRP Cameron Hutcheson '14
Alexis Tarakjian '15
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Channel Islands 10 7 8 1 11 15 10 82 MRP Gregory Dair '15
Bianca Barnes '15
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 16 5 17 13 15 8 8 82 Philip Gordon '12 [1-7]
Jamie Wai '12 [1-6]
Mickey Scott '14 [7]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 14 9 19 12 7 12 13 86 Scott Hoffmann '14
Alexa Cavalieri '14
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 15 17 10 4 10 16 14 86 Colin Kincaid '14
Martha Davis '12
Boston College Boston College Eagles 9 18 18 9 17 9 15 95 Stephanie Hudson '13
Shelby Hamilton '14
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 13 4 9 6 2 17 DSQ 101 MRP Dustin Durant '12 [1-6]
Mark Ryan '15 [7]
Lauren Hobson '15 [1-6]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 8 13 7 15 14 DSQ 16 103 Casey Pruitt '13
Debbi Kenote '13
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 18 21 11 14 16 14 12 126 MRP Travis Benton '14
Lorraine Chu '14
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 19 14 13 21 18 18 23 126 Brandon Wood '14 [1-4]
Dylan Ale '15 [5-7]
Daniel Marks '14 [1-4]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Arizona State 17 20 20 18 13 13 7 128 MRP Spenser Branch '14
Chad Hardgrove '15
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 11 8 12 10 DNS DNS DNS 131 William Macdonald '15
James Bartlein '15
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 23 19 22 20 22 10 17 133 Lily Grimshaw '15
Molly Utter '14
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 21 23 21 23 19 19 20 146 Collin Weston '13
Leslie Holt '12
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego 25 24 15 24 23 22 21 154 John Olson '14
Alan Tong '12
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 24 25 25 22 24 20 19 159 William Edwards '12 [1-4]
Emelia Pelliccio '13 [5-7]
Carly Olenick '13 [1-4]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 22 22 23 19 20 21 18 165 MRP Tommy Pastalka '13
Jean Rutledge '13
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 20 16 24 25 21 23 22 171 MRP Johan Jorna '14 [1-7]
Alyssa Staples '14 [1-2]
Jennifer Russell '15 [3-4]
Breton Zyirek '14 [5-7]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 210 Samantha Gebb '14 [1-7]
Andrew Werner '14 [1-3]
Dylan Ackermamn '14 [4-7]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 210 Eric Cibit '15
Marnie Phillips '14
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 230 MRP Scott Doyle '14
Nick Weis '??
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 230 MRP Shaun Prestridge '13
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 3 10 5 11 2 2 35 Kayla Mccomb '13
Nicole Deangeli '14
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 9 4 7 4 3 4 5 36 George Saunders '12
Annie Schmidt '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 2 3 2 6 5 16 37 Michael Grove '14
Caroline Lockett '12
Boston College Boston College Eagles 7 10 11 7 5 1 1 42 William Bowman '14
Molly Clarke '13
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 7 1 3 7 11 9 43 Sarah Mace '14 [1-3]
Michael Dahl '15 [4-7]
Haley Kirk '15 [1-3]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 4 1 8 15 10 3 6 47 Andrew Mason '12
Leslie Cowen '13
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 8 9 1 8 13 8 48 Michael Ramming '13
Alexis Scott '13
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 8 6 12 9 2 15 11 63 Judge Ryan '14 [1-2, 5-7]
Peter Bailey '15 [3-4]
Erica Parker '14 [1-2, 5-7]
Louise Lehman '14 [3-4]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 6 5 2 8 1 9 21 72 MRP Mallory Schluter '14 [1-3, 5-7]
Kelsey Rupp '12 [4]
Carina Prynn '14 [1-3, 5-7]
Olivia Gebelein '15 [4]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 14 12 6 14 13 10 13 82 Patrick Taylor '12
Meghan Mcdonald '12
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Santa Clara 13 17 13 19 12 8 3 85 John Connor Bathen '14
Lindsay Grove '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 10 11 5 22 19 6 14 87 Alex Reynolds '14
Jennifer Irwin '15
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach 49ers 11 9 4 16 9 14 10 93 MRP Shane Young '14
Kristen Barca '13
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 12 19 21 12 14 7 17 102 Cameron Walsh '13
Jessica Schem '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 15 20 22 6 16 24 7 110 Evan Hoffmann '14
Jaclyn Hollander '15
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 20 16 15 17 4 22 19 113 Andrew Balter '12 [1-7]
Anna Hahn '14 [1-2, 5-7]
Mickey Scott '14 [3-4]
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 16 14 16 10 20 16 22 114 Brian Hoover '12
Christopher Huang '12
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 17 18 17 23 15 12 15 117 John Marzulli '12 [1-3, 5-7]
Gene Merewether '13 [4]
Eleanor Elbert '12 [1-3, 5-7]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 22 22 19 20 22 21 4 130 Alyce Flanagan '13
Ivy Gooch '12
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 23 15 14 24 18 17 20 131 Ava Kovach '12
Vianne Euresti '13
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz 18 13 23 11 24 23 18 150 MRP Ian Spilman '15
Emma Shaw '14
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Berkeley 24 24 24 13 17 18 12 152 MRP Petter Flordal '13 [1-3]
Joshua Kew '12 [4-7]
Frank Ma '13 [1-3]
Cody Schaaf '15 [4-7]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Channel Islands 19 25 18 27 23 20 27 179 MRP Sierra Marangola '15
Jeffrey Tedmori '15
Portland State University Portland State University Vikings 21 21 26 21 21 27 25 182 MRP Scott Van Bergen '15 [1-3]
Aldyn Brudie '13 [4-7]
Aldyn Brudie '13 [1-3]
Brianne Busey '14 [4-7]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Arizona State 27 23 25 18 25 19 26 183 MRP Steven Cassingham '14
Jennifer Brandon '15
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 26 27 20 26 27 26 24 196 MRP Matt Collins '15
Andre Mercader '14
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang 25 26 27 25 26 25 23 197 MRP Macy Stout '13
Rosie Bubb '13
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego UC San Diego DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 210 Jennifer Lyons '12
Jaclyn Lovato '14
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis UC Davis DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ DSQ 210 Lucas Murray '15
Ryan Wilkerson '14
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (19 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Arizona State6688101012
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley5555575759592
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles13131515171749
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers17174949515153
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang18185050525254
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Channel Islands595922446
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars3355779
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers585811335
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams2244668
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas881010121214
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen12121414161618
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs14141616181850
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks15151717494951
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings11111313151517
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers991111131315
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks55779911
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara57575959224
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans1133557
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks7799111113
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal56565858113
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies44668810
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis5454565658581
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters53535555575759
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins52525454565658
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego51515353555557
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos50505252545456
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz49495151535355
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies16161818505052
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings10101212141416

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Arizona State7799111113
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Berkeley56565858113
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles14141616181850
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers18185050525254
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustang49495151535355
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Channel Islands1133557
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars44668810
California State University Long BeachCalifornia State University Long Beach 49ers595922446
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams3355779
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas991111131315
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen13131515171749
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs15151717494951
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks16161818505052
Portland State UniversityPortland State University Vikings12121414161618
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers10101212141416
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks6688101012
Santa Clara UniversitySanta Clara University Santa Clara585811335
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans2244668
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks881010121214
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal57575959224
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies55779911
University of California at DavisUniversity of California at Davis UC Davis5555575759592
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters5454565658581
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins53535555575759
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego UC San Diego52525454565658
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos51515353555557
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz UC Santa Cruz50505252545456
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies17174949515153
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings11111313151517
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Spenser Branch '14 Chad Hardgrove '15
Arizona State Steven Cassingham '14 Jennifer Brandon '15
Boston College Boston College Stephanie Hudson '13 Shelby Hamilton '14
Eagles William Bowman '14 Molly Clarke '13
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Shaun Prestridge '13
Mustang Macy Stout '13 Rosie Bubb '13
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Scott Doyle '14 Nick Weis '??
Keelhaulers Matt Collins '15 Andre Mercader '14
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Gregory Dair '15 Bianca Barnes '15
Channel Islands Sierra Marangola '15 Jeffrey Tedmori '15
California State University Long Beach California State University Long Beach Dustin Durant '12 [1-6]
Mark Ryan '15 [7]		 Lauren Hobson '15 [1-6]
49ers Shane Young '14 Kristen Barca '13
College of Charleston College of Charleston Ben Spector '13 Perry Emsiek '12
Cougars Michael Ramming '13 Alexis Scott '13
Fordham University Fordham University Alexander Sachs '12 Mary Hamilton '14
Rams Alex Reynolds '14 Jennifer Irwin '15
Georgetown University Georgetown University Sydney Bolger '12 Katia Dasilva '15
Hoyas Andrew Mason '12 Leslie Cowen '13
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Scott Hoffmann '14 Alexa Cavalieri '14
Monarchs Evan Hoffmann '14 Jaclyn Hollander '15
Portland State University Portland State University Johan Jorna '14 [1-7] Alyssa Staples '14 [1-2]
Jennifer Russell '15 [3-4]
Breton Zyirek '14 [5-7]
Vikings Scott Van Bergen '15 [1-3]
Aldyn Brudie '13 [4-7]		 Aldyn Brudie '13 [1-3]
Brianne Busey '14 [4-7]
Princeton University Princeton University Samantha Gebb '14 [1-7] Andrew Werner '14 [1-3]
Dylan Ackermamn '14 [4-7]
Tigers John Marzulli '12 [1-3, 5-7]
Gene Merewether '13 [4]		 Eleanor Elbert '12 [1-3, 5-7]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University William Macdonald '15 James Bartlein '15
Hawks George Saunders '12 Annie Schmidt '14
Santa Clara University Santa Clara University Brandon Wood '14 [1-4]
Dylan Ale '15 [5-7]		 Daniel Marks '14 [1-4]
Santa Clara John Connor Bathen '14 Lindsay Grove '13
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Jacob La Dow '15 Katherine Gluskin '13
Seahawks Kayla Mccomb '13 Nicole Deangeli '14
Stanford University Stanford University Kieran Chung '15 Yuri Namikawa '14
Cardinal Sarah Mace '14 [1-3]
Michael Dahl '15 [4-7]		 Haley Kirk '15 [1-3]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Collin Weston '13 Leslie Holt '12
Aggies Ava Kovach '12 Vianne Euresti '13
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jason Carminati '12 Alice Hong '12
Midshipmen Michael Grove '14 Caroline Lockett '12
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Travis Benton '14 Lorraine Chu '14
Berkeley Petter Flordal '13 [1-3]
Joshua Kew '12 [4-7]		 Frank Ma '13 [1-3]
Cody Schaaf '15 [4-7]
University of California at Davis University of California at Davis Eric Cibit '15 Marnie Phillips '14
UC Davis Lucas Murray '15 Ryan Wilkerson '14
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Colin Kincaid '14 Martha Davis '12
Anteaters Brian Hoover '12 Christopher Huang '12
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles William Edwards '12 [1-4]
Emelia Pelliccio '13 [5-7]		 Carly Olenick '13 [1-4]
Bruins Judge Ryan '14 [1-2, 5-7]
Peter Bailey '15 [3-4]		 Erica Parker '14 [1-2, 5-7]
Louise Lehman '14 [3-4]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego John Olson '14 Alan Tong '12
UC San Diego Jennifer Lyons '12 Jaclyn Lovato '14
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Nicholas Kaschak '12 Krystal Treiberg '12
Gauchos Cameron Walsh '13 Jessica Schem '13
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Tommy Pastalka '13 Jean Rutledge '13
UC Santa Cruz Ian Spilman '15 Emma Shaw '14
University of Oregon University of Oregon Philip Gordon '12 [1-7] Jamie Wai '12 [1-6]
Mickey Scott '14 [7]
Ducks Andrew Balter '12 [1-7] Anna Hahn '14 [1-2, 5-7]
Mickey Scott '14 [3-4]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Cameron Hutcheson '14 Alexis Tarakjian '15
Trojans Mallory Schluter '14 [1-3, 5-7]
Kelsey Rupp '12 [4]		 Carina Prynn '14 [1-3, 5-7]
Olivia Gebelein '15 [4]
University of Washington University of Washington Lily Grimshaw '15 Molly Utter '14
Huskies Alyce Flanagan '13 Ivy Gooch '12
Western Washington University Western Washington University Casey Pruitt '13 Debbi Kenote '13
Vikings Patrick Taylor '12 Meghan Mcdonald '12

Conditions — 01/07/2012 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 81%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.8 kn
Gusts to 13.4 kn
From S (180°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover17% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity81% Pressure1015.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 8 kn · N 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Southern Cal: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.02 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Cal by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Southern Cal, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →