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Riley Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 37 48 85
2 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 53 47 100
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 78 37 115
4 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 42 79 121
5 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 81 45 126
6 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 60 66 126
7 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 90 81 171
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 114 84 198
9 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 90 108 198
10 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 97 114 211
11 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 104 126 230
12 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains Blue 149 134 283
13 George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 154 138 292
14 Bucknell University Bucknell University Bucknell 148 161 309
15 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 170 182 352
16 American University American University Eagles 168 200 368
17 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore 202 198 400
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 4 5 10 7 37 Esteban Forrer '16
Julia Wiesner '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 4 4 1 6 3 5 4 7 2 4 1 1 42 Gordon Wolcott '13 [1-12]
Ellen Hubbard '14 [1-2, 5-9]
Hannah Varden '15 [3-4, 10-12]
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 2 1 4 2 1 10 9 3 1 13 4 3 53 Samuel Bedinger '13 [1-12]
Alexandra Crawford '16 [1-4, 11-12]
Eric Siegel '16 [5-10]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 6 8 3 3 8 6 3 10 6 2 3 2 60 Jacob Spracher '15
Haley Garst '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 10 6 5 7 7 3 2 2 3 9 11 13 78 Connor Timmins '14
Connor Hendi '15
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 3 3 9 16 11 4 5 6 10 3 2 9 81 Alex Post '15
Katie Olsen '15
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 9 7 10 DSQ 6 2 7 8 8 6 5 4 90 Nicholas Clemence '15
Rachel Ryan '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 11 12 12 10 4 8 6 4 9 1 7 6 90 Francois Conde-Jahn '13 [1-12]
Noel Ingalls '15 [1-4, 9-12]
Timothy Broskus '15 [5-8]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 7 11 14 5 5 7 10 9 5 10 9 5 97 Ben Buhl '16
Julianne Costello '16
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 5 5 7 9 10 9 12 12 7 12 8 8 104 Domenic Re '15
Caitlin Grumbling '16
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 8 10 6 4 12 11 8 5 13 14 12 11 114 Edward Titcomb '13
Jennifer Irwin '15
Bucknell University Bucknell University Bucknell 12 14 13 13 13 14 13 13 12 11 6 14 148 Abbott Cowen '13
Nicholas D'Esposito '13
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains Blue 14 9 11 8 15 12 16 16 15 8 15 10 149 Mary Buhl '14 [1-8]
Victoria Miller '13 [9-12]
Grace Bluefeld '15 [1-8]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 13 13 8 11 9 16 11 14 16 15 13 15 154 William Broman '14
Rebecca Engel '13
American University American University Eagles 16 15 16 12 16 15 14 11 11 16 14 12 168 Peter Hays '14
James Ellis '15
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 15 16 15 14 14 13 15 15 14 7 16 16 170 Joshua Gopeesingh '14
Albert Berk Toledo '15
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore 17 17 17 15 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 202 Adam Rybczynski '14
Thomas Carman '15
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 1 2 1 5 2 2 1 9 1 10 2 37 Connor Hendi '15
Chelsea Smith '14
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 7 7 1 5 3 4 8 3 2 2 2 1 45 Sean Golden '16
Isabelle Ruiz De Luzuriaga '16
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 3 2 7 3 1 3 1 6 4 7 5 5 47 Dan Ricker '15 [1-10]
Eric Siegel '16 [11-12]
Blair Towers '15 [1-10]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 2 5 5 2 2 1 5 2 3 10 4 7 48 Mark Miedama '14
Grace Mason '16
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 9 6 8 6 6 5 4 7 1 3 3 8 66 Joseph David '16
Alexa Cavalieri '14
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 1 12 4 3 13 9 6 3 8 7 9 1 4 79 Christopher Stessing '14
Alexandra Brenin '15
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 5 14 10 4 4 9 6 4 8 4 7 6 81 Marissa Golison '16
Nina-Mercedes Rabin '13
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 3 4 9 8 10 9 5 10 5 6 11 84 Adam Keally '15
Mary Cervin '15
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 6 9 6 7 10 7 10 12 6 12 13 10 108 Thomas Greathouse '14 [1-12]
Alison Griffith '15 [1-4, 9-12]
Erin Hofstetter '14 [5-8]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 8 8 9 8 7 13 7 11 12 6 12 13 114 Annie Eckmann '14
Amy Craven '13
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 2 14 10 13 10 13 12 11 9 5 11 9 9 126 Samuel Patterson '16
Linda Codega '13
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains Blue 11 13 12 15 12 11 13 10 13 13 8 3 134 Richard Ross '16 [1-12]
Faith Swan '15 [1-2]
Paul Sutherland '14 [3-12]
George Washington University George Washington University Colonials 10 11 11 14 11 8 12 13 14 8 14 12 138 Alex Hitchcock '15
Madeline Taggart '15
Bucknell University Bucknell University Bucknell 15 12 15 12 15 14 14 14 11 14 11 14 161 Emily Browning '15
Peter Lander '15
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 16 15 16 16 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 182 Jela-Ni Mccarthy '16
Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed '15
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore DNF 16 17 17 16 16 16 16 DNF 16 16 16 198 Douglas Hamilton '14
Alan Ghandi '15
American University American University Eagles 13 OCS 14 11 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 200 Alexis Petter '16
Hannah London '13
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles11335577991111
Bucknell UniversityBucknell University Bucknell2244668810101212
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains3355779911111313
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains Blue446688101012121414
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams557799111113131515
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials77991111131315151717
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas66881010121214141616
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates88101012121414161611
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners99111113131515171722
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore10101212141416161133
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen11111313151517172244
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue131315151717224466
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs121214141616113355
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1414161611335577
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 11515171722446688
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 216161133557799
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1717224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles2244668810101212
Bucknell UniversityBucknell University Bucknell3355779911111313
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains446688101012121414
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains Blue557799111113131515
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams66881010121214141616
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Colonials88101012121414161611
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas77991111131315151717
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates99111113131515171722
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners10101212141416161133
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Maryland/Baltimore11111313151517172244
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen121214141616113355
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue1414161611335577
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs131315151717224466
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1515171722446688
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 116161133557799
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos 21717224466881010
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen11335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University Peter Hays '14 James Ellis '15
Eagles Alexis Petter '16 Hannah London '13
Bucknell University Bucknell University Abbott Cowen '13 Nicholas D'Esposito '13
Bucknell Emily Browning '15 Peter Lander '15
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Ben Buhl '16 Julianne Costello '16
Captains Annie Eckmann '14 Amy Craven '13
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Mary Buhl '14 [1-8]
Victoria Miller '13 [9-12]		 Grace Bluefeld '15 [1-8]
Captains Blue Richard Ross '16 [1-12] Faith Swan '15 [1-2]
Paul Sutherland '14 [3-12]
Fordham University Fordham University Edward Titcomb '13 Jennifer Irwin '15
Rams Adam Keally '15 Mary Cervin '15
George Washington University George Washington University William Broman '14 Rebecca Engel '13
Colonials Alex Hitchcock '15 Madeline Taggart '15
Georgetown University Georgetown University Alex Post '15 Katie Olsen '15
Hoyas Sean Golden '16 Isabelle Ruiz De Luzuriaga '16
Hampton University Hampton University Joshua Gopeesingh '14 Albert Berk Toledo '15
Pirates Jela-Ni Mccarthy '16 Ramatoulie Sallah-Mohammed '15
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Jacob Spracher '15 Haley Garst '14
Big Blue Joseph David '16 Alexa Cavalieri '14
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Esteban Forrer '16 Julia Wiesner '14
Monarchs Mark Miedama '14 Grace Mason '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Nicholas Clemence '15 Rachel Ryan '15
Seahawks Marissa Golison '16 Nina-Mercedes Rabin '13
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Francois Conde-Jahn '13 [1-12] Noel Ingalls '15 [1-4, 9-12]
Timothy Broskus '15 [5-8]
Mariners Thomas Greathouse '14 [1-12] Alison Griffith '15 [1-4, 9-12]
Erin Hofstetter '14 [5-8]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Connor Timmins '14 Connor Hendi '15
Midshipmen Connor Hendi '15 Chelsea Smith '14
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Adam Rybczynski '14 Thomas Carman '15
Maryland/Baltimore Douglas Hamilton '14 Alan Ghandi '15
University of Virginia University of Virginia Gordon Wolcott '13 [1-12] Ellen Hubbard '14 [1-2, 5-9]
Hannah Varden '15 [3-4, 10-12]
Wahoos 1 Christopher Stessing '14 Alexandra Brenin '15
University of Virginia University of Virginia Domenic Re '15 Caitlin Grumbling '16
Wahoos 2 Samuel Patterson '16 Linda Codega '13
Washington College Washington College Samuel Bedinger '13 [1-12] Alexandra Crawford '16 [1-4, 11-12]
Eric Siegel '16 [5-10]
Shoremen Dan Ricker '15 [1-10]
Eric Siegel '16 [11-12]		 Blair Towers '15 [1-10]

Conditions — 09/08/2012 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1007.7 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 84°F   ↓ 74°F
Feels like 87°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.2 kn
Gusts to 24.7 kn
From SSW (202°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover46% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1007.7 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 12 kn · NW 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →