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Central Fall #1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 66 51 117
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 78 69 147
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 97 63 160
4 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 94 131 225
5 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 133 116 249
6 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 108 153 261
7 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 154 136 290
8 Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 142 161 303
9 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 133 204 337
10 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 194 160 354
11 Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola College 160 198 358
12 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 130 228 358
13 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 240 149 389
14 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 233 163 396
15 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 279 257 536
16 Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 239 303 542
17 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 306 244 550
18 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 288 277 565
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 4 3 4 4 1 1 2 4 4 4 2 3 8 2 2 13 1 4 66 Jack Swikart '15 [1-18]
Patricia Andrade '15 [1-9]
Meaghan Harding '16 [10-18]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 2 6 7 2 6 1 11 8 1 1 4 7 1 3 4 6 5 78 Benjamin Garber '17
Julia Monro '17
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 13 1 12 3 10 8 3 1 10 3 7 6 2 3 6 1 2 3 94 Elizabeth Tell '17
Mary Hamilton '14
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 6 7 1 8 5 15 8 1 8 10 1 1 6 1 6 5 6 97 Charles Peck '15
Alyson Eng '16
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 5 7 3 8 4 11 14 2 3 7 12 8 4 4 7 3 4 2 108 Austin Powers '17 [1-18]
Lauren Crowder '17 [1-6, 13-18]
Grace Bluefeld '15 [7-12]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 12 13 1 6 3 2 4 5 9 11 3 9 5 12 10 8 7 10 130 John Shanahan '16
Eliza Crawford '14
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 7 4 2 18 9 10 12 10 2 6 8 5 3 9 9 7 11 1 133 Nicolas Carabelli '17 [1-18]
Samantha Adornati '15 [1-9]
Matthew Guenther '14 [10-14]
Andrew Daponte '14 [15-18]
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 9 5 5 2 6 4 13 3 5 2 13 2 9 10 13 9 10 13 133 Charles Nunn '16 [1-15]
Liam Boyle '16 [16-18]
Sarah Scheidt '17 [1-15]
Connor Wells '14 [16-18]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 1 12 15 10 5 9 8 7 6 9 15 7 6 8 4 5 8 7 142 Paul Stevens '14
Alissa Ridarick '14
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 10 16 8 5 7 3 6 14 16 5 4 17 10 5 5 2 12 9 154 Eric Siegel '16
Karlyn Long '17
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola College 8 10 9 11 11 7 5 6 7 10 6 10 14 14 11 10 3 8 160 Thomas Zanowic '15
Chris Lane '17
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 6 8 BYE 15 14 15 10 9 14 13 5 11 13 7 8 11 13 11 194 Joan Boyle '14 [1-12]
Chris Myers '15 [13-18]
Jakub Tyczynski '15 [1-12]
Tracy Venella '16 [13-18]
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 14 9 11 14 DNF 14 7 16 DNF 12 9 12 12 13 15 12 9 16 233 Lindsey Press '14 [1-16]
Casey Jackson '17 [17-18]
Gavin Buckley '14 [1-12]
Casey Jackson '17 [13-16]
Patricia Kelley '14 [17-18]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 11 11 14 9 13 17 11 13 11 14 17 14 15 11 14 15 15 14 239 Courtney Williams '14
Owen Kaufman '14
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 15 15 10 12 12 12 9 15 12 15 11 13 16 17 12 18 14 12 240 Andrew Grasso '15 [1-6]
Sarah Gross '15 [7-18]
Greta Hayes '14 [1-6]
Summer Shaw '16 [7-18]
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 16 18 16 16 16 13 17 12 17 17 14 18 11 15 16 14 16 17 279 Josiah Hyatt '15
Yuval Millet '16
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 17 14 13 13 15 18 16 17 15 18 18 15 18 16 17 16 17 15 288 Adam Rybczynski '14
Melissa Conway '16
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens DNF 17 17 17 17 16 18 18 13 16 16 16 17 18 18 17 18 18 306 Teddy Straus '17 [1-18]
Kate Ranney '15 [1-6]
Tyler Wyatt '17 [7-18]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 R17 R18 TOT Sailors
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 1 1 2 1 1 2 9 1 1 1 1 1 4 2 2 2 13 6 51 Maximiliano Agnese '16 [1-18]
Catie Hopkins '17 [1-6]
Meaghan Harding '16 [7-9]
Patricia Andrade '15 [10-18]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 6 3 2 2 1 8 3 2 4 3 6 3 4 7 1 2 4 63 Michael Madigan '17
Karen Vargas '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 3 5 5 13 6 4 3 4 3 3 2 3 1 5 1 3 3 2 69 Jonathan Lutz '17
Rachel Ryan '15
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 4 2 4 6 12 3 6 7 8 12 14 7 8 3 6 7 4 3 116 Zachary Schippe '14
Mary Elizabeth '16
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 13 3 12 7 3 9 7 5 10 2 6 9 5 11 16 11 1 1 131 Johanna Monro '16
Elizabeth Foulston '17
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 11 4 8 17 5 10 4 2 14 8 7 5 6 7 8 4 6 10 136 Matthew Mcdermaid '17
Hannah Schmidt '17
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 5 11 1 9 7 11 1 13 6 11 4 2 15 8 17 9 8 11 149 Samantha Gebb '14 [1-12]
Adrija Navarro '15 [13-18]
Layton Hopper '16 [1-12]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 6 7 9 5 10 5 2 DSQ 7 7 11 4 13 14 5 8 9 12 153 Amanda Attardi '17 [1-18]
Katie Padgett '17 [1-6, 13-18]
Julia Davis '16 [7-12]
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 12 9 13 8 11 6 10 6 5 14 5 8 7 10 9 5 14 8 160 Jeffrey Proko '18 [1-18]
Tracy Venella '16 [1-12]
Jakub Tyczynski '15 [13-18]
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 7 8 15 12 8 8 12 11 4 15 BKD BKD 2 1 10 10 5 15 161 Brogan Savage '15
Courtney Brooks '16
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 9 10 6 4 13 12 16 10 12 5 12 15 10 6 3 6 7 7 163 Scott Barnhill '14 [1-18]
Patricia Kelley '14 [1-9]
Gavin Buckley '14 [10-12]
Jennifer White '16 [13-18]
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Loyola College 8 13 11 11 4 7 5 12 11 6 9 13 17 18 15 18 15 5 198 Thomas Clark '16
Daniel Lyons '17
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 10 BKD 7 BKD 9 13 15 9 15 13 10 10 12 16 14 16 11 9 204 Mackenzie Mcguckin '16 [1-9]
Thomas Hickey '18 [10-18]
Meredith Foor '18 [1-4]
Andrew Daponte '14 [5-18]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 15 17 10 14 15 14 17 8 16 9 8 12 11 15 4 17 12 14 228 Charles Herlihy '14
Mackenzie Nelson '15
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 14 15 14 15 16 17 13 14 9 16 13 11 14 12 11 14 10 16 244 Caroline Udell '17
Jessica Penney '17
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 16 14 16 10 17 15 11 15 17 10 16 14 18 9 12 12 17 18 257 Zachary Wiles '16
Elizabeth Siegal '16
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 18 16 17 16 14 16 14 16 13 17 15 DNF 16 13 13 13 18 13 277 Michael Moubarek '15
Bryan Rich '13
Rutgers University Rutgers University Rutgers 17 18 18 18 18 18 18 17 18 18 17 16 9 17 18 15 16 17 303 Taylor Niles '17
Daniel Klarnet '16
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A17A18A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445566778899
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions22111818171716161515141413131212
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens3344556677889910101111
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons4433221118181717161615151414
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams55667788991010111112121313
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola College665544332211181817171616
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers778899101011111212131314141515
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth88776655443322111818
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen9910101111121213131414151516161717
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings10109988776655443322
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions121211111010998877665544
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers16161515141413131212111110109988
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1111121213131414151516161717181811
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers131314141515161617171818112233
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1414131312121111101099887766
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks15151616171718181122334455
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats1717181811223344556677
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen181817171616151514141313121211111010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B17B18B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains112233445566778899
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions22111818171716161515141413131212
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens3344556677889910101111
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons4433221118181717161615151414
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams55667788991010111112121313
Loyola University MarylandLoyola University Maryland Loyola College665544332211181817171616
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers778899101011111212131314141515
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth88776655443322111818
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen9910101111121213131414151516161717
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings10109988776655443322
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions121211111010998877665544
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers16161515141413131212111110109988
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1111121213131414151516161717181811
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Rutgers131314141515161617171818112233
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks1414131312121111101099887766
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks15151616171718181122334455
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats1717181811223344556677
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen181817171616151514141313121211111010
School / Team SkipperCrew
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Austin Powers '17 [1-18] Lauren Crowder '17 [1-6, 13-18]
Grace Bluefeld '15 [7-12]
Captains Amanda Attardi '17 [1-18] Katie Padgett '17 [1-6, 13-18]
Julia Davis '16 [7-12]
Columbia University Columbia University Josiah Hyatt '15 Yuval Millet '16
Lions Zachary Wiles '16 Elizabeth Siegal '16
Drexel University Drexel University Joan Boyle '14 [1-12]
Chris Myers '15 [13-18]		 Jakub Tyczynski '15 [1-12]
Tracy Venella '16 [13-18]
Dragons Jeffrey Proko '18 [1-18] Tracy Venella '16 [1-12]
Jakub Tyczynski '15 [13-18]
Fordham University Fordham University Elizabeth Tell '17 Mary Hamilton '14
Rams Johanna Monro '16 Elizabeth Foulston '17
Loyola University Maryland Loyola University Maryland Thomas Zanowic '15 Chris Lane '17
Loyola College Thomas Clark '16 Daniel Lyons '17
Monmouth University Monmouth University Paul Stevens '14 Alissa Ridarick '14
Monmouth Brogan Savage '15 Courtney Brooks '16
Ocean County College Ocean County College Charles Nunn '16 [1-15]
Liam Boyle '16 [16-18]		 Sarah Scheidt '17 [1-15]
Connor Wells '14 [16-18]
Vikings Zachary Schippe '14 Mary Elizabeth '16
Penn State University Penn State University John Shanahan '16 Eliza Crawford '14
Nittany Lions Charles Herlihy '14 Mackenzie Nelson '15
Princeton University Princeton University Andrew Grasso '15 [1-6]
Sarah Gross '15 [7-18]		 Greta Hayes '14 [1-6]
Summer Shaw '16 [7-18]
Tigers Samantha Gebb '14 [1-12]
Adrija Navarro '15 [13-18]		 Layton Hopper '16 [1-12]
Rutgers University Rutgers University Courtney Williams '14 Owen Kaufman '14
Rutgers Taylor Niles '17 Daniel Klarnet '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Benjamin Garber '17 Julia Monro '17
Seahawks Jonathan Lutz '17 Rachel Ryan '15
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Nicolas Carabelli '17 [1-18] Samantha Adornati '15 [1-9]
Matthew Guenther '14 [10-14]
Andrew Daponte '14 [15-18]
Ducks Mackenzie Mcguckin '16 [1-9]
Thomas Hickey '18 [10-18]		 Meredith Foor '18 [1-4]
Andrew Daponte '14 [5-18]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Charles Peck '15 Alyson Eng '16
Midshipmen Michael Madigan '17 Karen Vargas '16
University of Delaware University of Delaware Teddy Straus '17 [1-18] Kate Ranney '15 [1-6]
Tyler Wyatt '17 [7-18]
Blue Hens Caroline Udell '17 Jessica Penney '17
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Adam Rybczynski '14 Melissa Conway '16
Retrievers Michael Moubarek '15 Bryan Rich '13
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Jack Swikart '15 [1-18] Patricia Andrade '15 [1-9]
Meaghan Harding '16 [10-18]
Quakers Maximiliano Agnese '16 [1-18] Catie Hopkins '17 [1-6]
Meaghan Harding '16 [7-9]
Patricia Andrade '15 [10-18]
Villanova University Villanova University Lindsey Press '14 [1-16]
Casey Jackson '17 [17-18]		 Gavin Buckley '14 [1-12]
Casey Jackson '17 [13-16]
Patricia Kelley '14 [17-18]
Wildcats Scott Barnhill '14 [1-18] Patricia Kelley '14 [1-9]
Gavin Buckley '14 [10-12]
Jennifer White '16 [13-18]
Washington College Washington College Eric Siegel '16 Karlyn Long '17
Shoremen Matthew Mcdermaid '17 Hannah Schmidt '17

Conditions — 09/21/2013 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1011.0 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.5 kn
avg  ·  max 13.4 kn
Gusts to 28.8 kn
From S (176°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover75% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1011.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 16 kn · NW 18 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Ocean County: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.09
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.25 ± 0.06)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ocean County by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Ocean County).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →