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Central Fall Qualifer

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 23 10 33
2 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 17 17 34
3 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 10 26 36
4 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 18 30 48
5 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 36 24 60
6 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 33 40 73
7 Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 38 57 95
8 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 55 46 101
9 Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 68 44 112
10 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 60 57 117
11 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 53 77 130
12 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 66 67 133
13 University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 72 66 138
14 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 81 69 150
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 2 2 1 3 1 10 Carolyn Smith '17
Julia Monro '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 3 1 6 1 3 17 Jimmy Madigan '18
Amelia Winn '18
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 1 3 4 2 6 18 Joe Farned '17
Carolyn Kearney '18
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 5 6 4 2 4 2 23 Eleanor Conroy '15
Alexandra Crawford '16
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 6 7 7 3 6 4 33 Julian Fraize '18
Meredith Foor '18
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 7 9 5 5 5 5 36 Domenic Re '15
Austin Tipp '18
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 4 4 6 8 8 8 38 Brogan Savage '15
Courtney Brooks '16
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 8 10 8 7 11 9 53 John Shanahan '16
Margot Harvath '18
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 11 5 10 10 12 7 55 Caroline Udell '17
Ian Berke '16
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 14 8 9 11 7 11 60 Andrew Grasso '15
Amara Plaza-Jennings '15
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 9 11 11 14 9 12 66 Jeffrey Proko '18
Tracy Venella '16
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 10 13 13 9 10 13 68 Liam Boyle '16
Alina Robinson '17
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 13 12 12 12 13 10 72 Samuel Haksteen '17
Tina Nassehi '17
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 12 14 14 13 14 14 81 Taylor Niles '17
Melanie Cotton '18
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 1 2 3 1 1 2 10 Eric Siegel '16
Matthew Mcdermaid '17
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 4 3 2 2 3 3 17 Gary Prieto '18
Molly Hanson '17
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 3 6 1 3 4 7 24 David Alldian '17
Julianna Lee '17
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11 1 5 6 2 1 26 Greer Wattson '17
Elizabeth Dennison '17
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 2 5 4 7 8 4 30 Caroline Garth '17
Meaghan Harding '16
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 6 4 8 9 7 6 40 Thomas Slook '18
Samantha Adornati '15
Ocean County College Ocean County College Vikings 5 7 7 4 9 12 44 Mitchell Nunn '18
Tyler Zambella '16
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 7 9 6 8 11 5 46 Evan Shone '17
Morgan Dezendorf '17
Monmouth University Monmouth University Monmouth 9 12 11 10 5 10 57 Amanda Nuse '17
Giuseppe Licata '17
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 13 11 10 5 10 8 57 Lucy Hayes '16
Michael Moorin '16
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers 12 10 13 12 6 13 66 Joseph Collins '18
Castle Gushen '16
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 10 8 12 11 12 14 67 Robert Stricek '15
Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 8 14 9 14 13 11 69 Audrey Meehan '18
Yanni Daniskas '16
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 14 13 14 13 14 9 77 Sarah Culp '17
Mackenzie Nelson '15
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens10109988
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons112233
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers111112121313
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth22111414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen9910101111
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings334455
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions443322
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers121211111010
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers556677
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights665544
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks778899
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks887766
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats1313141411
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen141413131212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens10109988
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons112233
University of Maryland/Baltimore CountyUniversity of Maryland/Baltimore County Retrievers111112121313
Monmouth UniversityMonmouth University Monmouth22111414
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen9910101111
Ocean County CollegeOcean County College Vikings334455
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions443322
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers121211111010
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers556677
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights665544
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks778899
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks887766
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats1313141411
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen141413131212
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Jeffrey Proko '18 Tracy Venella '16
Dragons Robert Stricek '15 Elizabeth Jarvie '18
Monmouth University Monmouth University Brogan Savage '15 Courtney Brooks '16
Monmouth Amanda Nuse '17 Giuseppe Licata '17
Ocean County College Ocean County College Liam Boyle '16 Alina Robinson '17
Vikings Mitchell Nunn '18 Tyler Zambella '16
Penn State University Penn State University John Shanahan '16 Margot Harvath '18
Nittany Lions Sarah Culp '17 Mackenzie Nelson '15
Princeton University Princeton University Andrew Grasso '15 Amara Plaza-Jennings '15
Tigers Lucy Hayes '16 Michael Moorin '16
Rutgers University Rutgers University Taylor Niles '17 Melanie Cotton '18
Scarlet Knights Audrey Meehan '18 Yanni Daniskas '16
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Carolyn Smith '17 Julia Monro '17
Seahawks Greer Wattson '17 Elizabeth Dennison '17
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Julian Fraize '18 Meredith Foor '18
Ducks Thomas Slook '18 Samantha Adornati '15
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Jimmy Madigan '18 Amelia Winn '18
Midshipmen Gary Prieto '18 Molly Hanson '17
University of Delaware University of Delaware Caroline Udell '17 Ian Berke '16
Blue Hens Evan Shone '17 Morgan Dezendorf '17
University of Maryland/Baltimore County University of Maryland/Baltimore County Samuel Haksteen '17 Tina Nassehi '17
Retrievers Joseph Collins '18 Castle Gushen '16
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Joe Farned '17 Carolyn Kearney '18
Quakers Caroline Garth '17 Meaghan Harding '16
Villanova University Villanova University Domenic Re '15 Austin Tipp '18
Wildcats David Alldian '17 Julianna Lee '17
Washington College Washington College Eleanor Conroy '15 Alexandra Crawford '16
Shoremen Eric Siegel '16 Matthew Mcdermaid '17

Conditions — 09/20/2014 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1022.1 hPa

Temperature

73°F
↑ 76°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.7 kn
Gusts to 12.2 kn
From SSE (150°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover37% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1022.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 5 kn · S 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington College: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.25 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Washington College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →