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Crews Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 7 13 20
2 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers 2 14 16 30
3 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers 1 28 22 50
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 32 23 55
5 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 46 26 72
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 36 39 75
7 Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 42 42 84
8 Brown University Brown University Bears 31 57 88
9 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 55 58 113
10 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 58 60 118
11 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 68 52 120
12 Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 74 60 134
13 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 55 84 139
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 1 1 1 2 1 7 Margaret Swanson '16
Hannah Callahan '16
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers 2 4 3 2 2 1 2 14 Paige Omura '17
Ty Ingram '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers 1 7 4 3 5 5 4 28 Lisa Sukharev-Chuyan '16
Sophie Goemans '17
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 2 6 4 8 8 31 Nathan Housberg '19
James Woodwell '18
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 6 4 6 6 5 32 Emily Lynn '15
Hannah Duggan '15
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 6 12 5 3 7 3 36 Laura Tschiegg '17
Elise Gehling '17
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 2 7 11 8 4 10 42 Will Whelen '18
John Zupkus '16
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 11 8 7 10 3 7 46 Kevin Wilkinson '17
Kevin Wilkinson '17
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 8 11 8 11 11 6 55 Hannah Spiro '15
Mariah Smith-Jones '15
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 9 5 10 9 10 12 55 Shannon Nardi '16
Sarah Warack '16
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 12 9 9 7 12 9 58 Rebecca Freeman '18
Jade Forsberg '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 10 13 12 13 9 11 68 Elizabeth Resnick '15
Nicole Plona '18
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 13 10 13 12 13 13 74 Shane Skikne '15
Caleb Kissel '16
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Boston University Boston University Terriers 1 1 3 1 3 4 13 Lily Lichtenstein '18
Lindsey Kennett '15
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers 2 2 2 1 5 4 2 16 Greta Farrell '18
Zachary Hall '18
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers 1 6 6 5 3 1 1 22 Jorlyn Le Garrec '17
Elizabeth Zhang '16
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 4 6 2 2 6 23 Caitlin Durand '15
Erin Bondy '15
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 4 3 4 4 6 5 26 Olivia Silva '18
Gabriel Verrier-Paquette '19
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 5 5 2 9 11 7 39 John Hughes '18
Donal Ryan '19
Emmanuel College Emmanuel College Saints 7 11 7 7 7 3 42 Jamie Joyce '16
Kiley Burke '17
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 8 10 11 10 5 8 52 Stefanie Casella '16
Carl Noble '17
Brown University Brown University Bears 12 8 10 6 10 11 57 Sean O'Keefe '17
Julia Kim '18
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 9 9 9 11 8 12 58 Melissa Conway '16
Lauren Kovacs '15
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 10 12 8 12 9 9 60 Nathaniel Wiener '18 [1-4]
Olivia Tubio '18 [5-6]
Olivia Tubio '18 [1-4]
Nathaniel Wiener '18 [5-6]
Wellesley College Wellesley College Blue 11 7 12 8 12 10 60 Sarah Ertle '16
Shivani Dayal '18
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 84 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers113355
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges224466
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears335577
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1111131322
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints446688
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds77991111
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers8810101212
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers 1557799
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers 266881010
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats12121133
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies9911111313
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1010121211
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue13132244

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers224466
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges335577
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears446688
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies12121133
Emmanuel CollegeEmmanuel College Saints557799
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds8810101212
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers9911111313
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers 166881010
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Angry Beavers 277991111
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats13132244
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1010121211
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111131322
Wellesley CollegeWellesley College Blue113355

Conditions — 11/09/2014 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1013.2 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 55°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 45°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.7 kn
Gusts to 14.4 kn
From SW (223°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine6.1 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1013.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northeastern: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.17 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.13 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northeastern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at Northeastern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →